Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Picks and Predictions March 13th 2025

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers March 13th 2025

Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Panthers versus the Maple Leafs? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. The Panthers are favored by -1.5 in this Atlantic division showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 5.5 goals.

Florida vs. Toronto Key Information

• Teams: Panthers at Maple Leafs
• Where: Scotiabank Arena Toronto
• Date: Thursday, March 13th
• Betting Odds FLA -120 | TOR +101 O/U 5.5

The Panthers Can Win If…

Florida improved to 40-22-3 with a 4-2 win over the Stars. The Panthers covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 6.5 goals fell short, with the teams combining for 6 goals.

Four different Panthers scored in the game, and they took the lead for good with A.J. Greer’s goal at 17:28 in the third period. Sam Reinhart added an empty-netter to seal the win.

After 16 giveaways, the Panthers managed to score 4 times in their 4-2 win over the Stars. A.J. Greer netted his first goal of the season, while Sam Reinhart scored his 10th with an empty-netter. Evan Rodrigues opened the scoring for the Panthers, and Matthew Tkachuk added his third goal of the season.

The Panthers took 25 shots on goal and scored once on the power play. Each of their four goals came from different players.

Florida’s defense gave up two goals to Dallas, both coming in the second period. The first was a power-play goal at 8:38, followed by another at 8:04. However, they shut out the Stars in the third period, helping secure a 4-2 victory. Spencer Knight made 23 saves with a 92% save percentage, while the Panthers’ defense added 8 takeaways and 22 hits.

• Spanning across their last three games, Florida have gone 2-1. In addition, their puck line record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 0-3 over-under mark.
• Florida has put together a record of 8-2 in their last ten games (regular season). In these contests, the team went just 5-5 against the spread, while going 2-8 on the over-under.

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The Maple Leafs Can Win If…

Toronto fell to 39-22-3 after a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. The Maple Leafs trailed early, as Ryan Hartman scored for Minnesota at 10:19 in the first period. Toronto responded with a goal from William Nylander at 19:08 in the first, but Matt Boldy’s goal at 2:14 in overtime sealed the win for the Wild.

The total for the game was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3. Toronto, as the underdog on the puck line, failed to cover. Nylander’s goal was his 9th of the season, and it came on the power play.

Toronto’s offense managed just one goal in their 2-1 overtime loss to Minnesota. William Nylander netted his 9th of the season on a power play, with Auston Matthews picking up his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner his 12th.

The Maple Leafs took 28 shots on goal but were held scoreless after the first period. They also had 10 giveaways in the game.

Toronto’s defense gave up the first goal at 9:41 in the first period and the game-winner just 2:14 into overtime, but they held strong in between, not allowing another goal. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage, while the defense added 2 takeaways and 30 hits.

• Through their last three regular season contests, Toronto has a record of 1-2. Across these games, their puck line record was just 0-3, while posting an over-under record of 3-0.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Maple Leafs have gone 6-4 straight up. Against the spread, Toronto went 2-8 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 7-3.

The Lean

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Panthers to take down the Maple Leafs on the road. With the moneyline currently at -120, I’m placing my bet on the Panthers straight-up.

When it comes to my suggested pick for the puck line, I’d advise taking the Maple Leafs to cover. Even in the event of a Panthers victory, this matchup is likely to remain closely contested, and the Maple Leafs should cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.

Panthers and Maple Leafs Collide in Battle for Atlantic Division Supremacy

With playoff positioning on the line, the Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs are set to square off in a high-stakes matchup on Thursday night. Both teams have their eyes on first place in the Atlantic Division, but recent struggles in protecting leads add an extra layer of intrigue to this critical clash.

Atlantic Division Race Heats Up

As the regular season inches toward its final stretch, every point becomes crucial. Florida currently sits atop the division with 83 points through 65 games, while Toronto lurks just behind with 81 points in 64 contests. The standings could shift dramatically based on Thursday’s result, making this one of the most pivotal matchups of the season.

However, both teams are coming off games in which multi-goal leads slipped away. The Panthers saw their six-game winning streak snapped in a 3-2 loss to the Boston Bruins, a game in which they entered the third period up 2-0 but failed to close out. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs nearly let another game slip away against the Utah Hockey Club. After jumping out to a 3-0 lead, they allowed Utah to claw back before ultimately securing a 4-3 shootout victory.

These recent struggles highlight a critical concern: can either team maintain control when it matters most?

Toronto Returns Home After Grueling Road Stretch

The Maple Leafs’ victory over Utah ended a three-game losing streak and marked the conclusion of a stretch in which 11 of their last 13 games were on the road. Understandably, fatigue has been a factor, and head coach Craig Berube acknowledged that his team has been navigating adversity.

“We got off to a great start,” Berube said. “Our first period was really good, made a couple of mistakes in the second. Right now, we’re fighting through some adversity and the guys came through in the third, did a good job and ended up winning the shootout.”

Mitchell Marner played the hero, scoring the decisive shootout goal while extending his personal point streak to seven games (five goals, four assists). William Nylander also contributed, pushing his streak to six games (three goals, five assists).

Toronto now opens a four-game homestand, looking to re-establish consistency and use home ice to strengthen their push for the division lead.

Florida Adjusting to Life Without Ekblad

Florida’s loss to Boston was about more than just a blown lead—it was also their first game without star defenseman Aaron Ekblad, who was suspended 20 games after failing a random drug test. His absence leaves a significant hole in the lineup, but newly acquired Seth Jones is expected to take on an expanded role.

“(Ekblad) has been on the top of our No. 1 power-play unit, so Seth will step into that,” Panthers coach Paul Maurice said. “He takes more penalty-kill time than Seth has, but that’s a place that we wanted Seth to step into. We wanted him to kill more penalties in the last 20 games to get used to what we do.”

Jones’ ability to adapt quickly will be crucial, especially as the Panthers continue their six-game road trip. After facing Toronto, they will encounter a series of teams fighting for their playoff lives, adding to the intensity of their upcoming schedule.

Defensive Fortitude vs. Offensive Firepower

Despite Tuesday’s letdown, Florida remains one of the NHL’s stingiest defensive teams. Prior to the Boston loss, the Panthers recorded back-to-back shutouts and had three clean sheets in their previous four games, outscoring opponents 12-1 in that stretch. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky has been in top form, and the team’s defensive core has been effective at shutting down high-powered offenses.

On the flip side, Toronto has relied heavily on its star forwards to generate offense. Marner, Nylander, Auston Matthews, and John Tavares are all capable of swinging a game in an instant. With Toronto playing in front of its home crowd after an exhausting road trip, the Maple Leafs will be eager to set the tone early and avoid another late-game collapse.

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Which Team Can Hold Their Ground?

With both teams fighting for division supremacy and struggling to close out games, Thursday’s matchup is about more than just two points—it’s a test of resilience and execution. The Panthers will look to reassert their defensive dominance, while the Maple Leafs will aim to capitalize on home ice and regain control of their destiny.

One thing is certain: no lead will be safe in this battle for the top of the Atlantic Division.