2024 NASCAR Quaker State 400 Odds, Predictions and Race Winner

On Sunday, September 8, NASCAR’s Cup Series will be live from the Atlanta Motor Speedway for the Quaker State 400 available at Walmart. Yes, that’s the full name of the race. However, for simplicity, we will refer to this race as the Quaker State 400 throughout the rest of the betting preview. 

This is the 27^th overall race of the season and the first race of the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs. 16 drivers have qualified for the postseason and a chance to win the 2024 NASCAR Championship. 

The Quaker State 400, and the remaining races on the season, act like two races in one. There’s the Playoff chase where 16 drivers are trying to score Playoff points to advance to the next round. And, then, there’s also the race for the checkered flag where the entire field is eligible. We’ll be examining both aspects of this exciting Atlanta race. 

With that said, let’s take a look at the latest Quaker State 400 odds and make our NASCAR Cup Series predictions for this weekend’s race at the Atlanta Motor Speedway.

Quaker State 400 Race Profile

The Atlanta Motor Speedway first opened in 1960, and since then, the NASCAR Cup Series has held two annual races per season at this track, except from 2011-2020. During that span, this Atlanta race was replaced by an event at Kentucky. However, in 2020, that race was removed from Kentucky and returned to Atlanta. 

Since 2021, the first Atlanta race of the year, Ambetter Health 400, is held in the spring while the Quaker State 400 is held in the fall. 

This Speedway is a classic quad-oval track with a lap distance of 1.54 miles. The turns feature 28 degrees banking, while the straights feature 5 degrees in banking. 

Sunday’s Quaker State 400 race breaks down as follows:

• Total Miles: 400 miles
• Total Laps: 260 laps
• Stage 1: 60 laps
• Stage 2: 100 laps
• Final Stage: 100 laps

The Quaker State 400 is set to begin at 3 pm ET and will air live on USA.

Previous Quaker State 400 Winners

Cale Yarborough holds the record for the most wins in this race with six. Dale Earnhardt is second all-time with five. If you include the spring Atlanta race, then Earnhardt has the most wins at this venue with nine total. 

The following is a list of the most recent winners for the Quaker State 400 race since returning in 2021:

• 2023: William Byron
• 2022: Chase Elliott
• 2021: Kurt Busch

NASCAR Quaker State 400 Odds

The following NASCAR Cup Series Quaker State 400 odds are courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

NASCAR Quaker State 400 Playoff Drivers

The following drivers are in the 16-car Playoff field. Let’s take a look at how these drivers have fared at Atlanta in recent years, along with their momentum coming into the Playoffs:

Kyle Larson 

• Standings: 1^st 
• Playoff Points: 2040
• Race Odds: +1600
• Wins: 4
• Top 5: 10
• Top 10: 13

After two poor performances at Michigan and Daytona, Kyle Larson finished 4^th in Darlington last weekend. However, despite leading the field in wins this year, Larson fell short of winning the regular season title as Tyler Reddick edged him out. 

Larson enters the postseason as the top driver in Playoff Points. Unfortunately, of the 10 Playoff races, Atlanta is one of two tracks that Larson has never won at. The other is Talladega. 

In his last five Atlanta races, Larson has four crashes including the spring Atlanta race this year. Larson hasn’t cracked the Top 10 since the spring of 2021. Although he’s the favorite to win the Cup Series Championship, avoid Larson this weekend. 

Christopher Bell  

• Standings: 2^nd 
• Playoff Points: 2032
• Race Odds: +2200
• Wins: 3
• Top 5: 9
• Top 10: 15

Currently sitting second in the Playoff Standings, Christopher Bell enters the postseason with some solid momentum. The #20 car has four Top 6 finishes in his last five races including two third-place results over the last two weeks. 

However, like Larson, Bell has not had success at this Speedway in his Cup Series career. In eight Atlanta starts, Bell has an 18.6 average finish with four results of 19^th or worse in his last five appearances. Additionally, he crashed out of the spring race this season. Bell’s ceiling is a Top 10 finish. More than likely, he’s slide into the Top 15. I would also avoid Bell this weekend as well.

Tyler Reddick 

• Standings: 3^rd 
• Playoff Points: 2028
• Race Odds: +2000
• Wins: 2
• Top 5: 11
• Top 10: 18

Tyler Reddick has been the most consistent driver during the regular season. It’s why he won the regular season title despite having only two wins compared to Larson’s four victories. Reddick led the field in Top 5s, Top 10s and average finish. He sits third in the Playoff standings. 

Unfortunately for Reddick, he falls into the same category as Larson and Bell. In eight Atlanta starts, Reddick has two DNFs and a 20.8 average finish. In his last five appearances at this track, he has four finishes of 27^th or worse. He also has two finishes of 27^th or worse over the last two Quaker State 400 races. 

Like Larson and Bell, Reddick’s ceiling is a Top 10 result. However, there are better drivers to wager on this weekend. 

William Byron 

• Standings: 4^th 
• Playoff Points: 2022
• Race Odds: +1200
• Wins: 3
• Top 5: 8
• Top 10: 13

William Byron has had a solid season up until the last six weeks. Over his last five races on the season have been rough. Over that stretch, he’s had a runner-up result in Michigan. However, he’s also had three crashes including two races in a row. Last week, he crashed out of Darlington after being one of the Top 10 cars for a large portion of the race.

With that said, Byron is one of the Playoff drivers with a victory at this venue. In fact, he has two race wins at Atlanta including last year’s Quaker State 400 race. However, when he’s not winning, Byron is finishing outside of the Top 15. So, he’s hit or miss at this track. 

I think the #24 car should be a Top 10 driver with a Top 5 ceiling if he can stay out of trouble. He could be worth a look this weekend if you feel like he’s on the up and not another crash.

Ryan Blaney 

• Standings: 5^th 
• Playoff Points: 2018
• Race Odds: +1000
• Wins: 2
• Top 5: 7
• Top 10: 11

The defending Cup Series Champion enters the Playoffs in the fifth spot, but is the odds-on favorite to win the Quaker State 400 race on Sunday. However, he has crashed out of the last two races on the season. Fortunately for the #12 car, Atlanta is a track where he’s been the best driver of the field at. This includes part-time Cup Series drivers as well.

In 12 Atlanta races, Blaney leads the field with a 10.6 average finish. He also has seven Top 9 finishes in his last eight Atlanta races. Blaney has a 6.3 average finish in the last three Quaker State 400 races and was second in the Atlanta spring race. 

I like Blaney as one of the drivers to beat on Sunday. Look for the #12 car to be one of the best in the field and contend for the checkered flag. But, who will join him as the best cars on Sunday? 

Denny Hamlin

• Standings: 6^th 
• Playoff Points: 2015
• Race Odds: +1600
• Wins: 3
• Top 5: 9
• Top 10: 12

Like many Playoff drivers, Hamlin has had some ups and downs during the last few months. Over his last six races, Hamlin has four Top 9 finishes and two crashes. He also has two runner-up results at Pocono and Richmond. The #11 car is sixth in the Playoff standings; despite being tied for the second most wins this season with three. He’s tied with Bell and Byron.

Although Hamlin has won at this venue (2012), he’s had some difficulty over the last five races. During that stretch, the #11 car has three finishes of 25^th or worse and just one Top 10 result. He was 14^th in this race last year and 23^rd in the spring Atlanta race earlier this season. 

Hamlin’s ceiling is a Top 10 finish this weekend. I would lump him in with Reddick, Bell and Larson as Playoff drivers to avoid betting on winning this race. 

Chase Elliott 

• Standings: 7^th 
• Playoff Points: 2014
• Race Odds: +1200
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 7
• Top 10: 12

From a driver to avoid, to a driver to bet on, Chase Elliott is one of the Playoff drivers to consider this weekend just like Ryan Blaney. In fact, Elliott is second behind Blaney with an average finish of 11.8 in 11 Atlanta races. 

Elliott won this race in 2022, and has four consecutive finishes of 15^th or better. He was 15^th in the spring Atlanta race and needs a strong result this weekend, after a quiet final month of the regular season. 

Other than his crash in Daytona two weeks ago, Elliott has five finishes of 9^th to 15^th in his last six races. That’s like putting it on cruise control when driving on the freeway.

I like for Elliott to start off the Playoffs with a strong result. Look for the #9 car to be a Top 3 driver and contend for the race win. Besides Blaney, who else will Elliott contend with to win the checkered flag?

Brad Keselowski 

• Standings: 8^th 
• Playoff Points: 2008
• Race Odds: +1200
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 8
• Top 10: 12

Throughout my regular season coverage of the Cup Series, I’ve mentioned multiple times how well Brad Keselowski has performed this year, especially compared to the last few seasons. He comes into the Playoffs sitting 8^th in the standings, but has a 9.0 average finish over his last three races on the year. 

In 19 Atlanta races, Keselowski has a 14.9 average finish which is 5^th best among full time Cup Series drivers. Despite crashing out of the spring Atlanta race, Keselowski was 6^th in this race last year. He has two wins in Atlanta and a 57.9% Top 10 finishing rate. 

I like for Keselowski to be a Top 5 car on Sunday with the potential for a Top 3 finish. A little luck, in the pits and on the track, could put Keselowski into contention for the win. 

Joey Logano 

• Standings: 9^th 
• Playoff Points: 2007
• Race Odds: +1000
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 4
• Top 10: 8

I’ve detailed ad nauseum on Joey Logano’s subpar season. Looking at his last five races of the regular season, Logano has three crashes and an 8^th finish as his best result. This substandard racing is why he’s only 9^th in the Playoff standings and in danger of being eliminated after the first round.

Like his up and down season, Logano’s career has seen up and down results at the Atlanta Motor Speedway. Over his last nine Atlanta races, Logano has one win, three Top 10s, and six races of 15^th or worse including three outside of the Top 20. 

Logano did win the 2023 spring Atlanta race, but he was 28^th in that race this year and 17^th in the 2023 Quaker State 400. In fact, he was also 26^th in the 2022 Quaker State 400. 

I would avoid Logano this weekend as he’ll be fortunate to crack the Top 10. More than likely, Logano slides in at a Top 15 to 20 spot.

Austin Cindric 

• Standings: 10^th 
• Playoff Points: 2007
• Race Odds: +2000
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 2
• Top 10: 3

By virtue of winning at Gateway this season, Austin Cindric clinched a spot in the Playoffs. However, he hasn’t done much else on the year with just one additional Top 5 and one additional Top 10 finish. 

Cindric finished 13^th last weekend at Darlington, which was just the second Top 15 finish in his last 11 races since winning at Gateway. 

Fortunately for the #2 car, Atlanta has been good to him. In six starts, he has two Top 5s, two Top 10s, and a 14.0 average finish which is 4^th best among full-time Cup Series drivers. 

Cindric has four consecutive Top 12 finishes at this track. He was 4^th in the spring Atlanta race this year, and has a 7.5 average finish in his last two Quaker State 400 races. 

Don’t be surprised if Cindric finishes as a Top 5 driver on Sunday. He should snag at least a Top 10 result, which is paying out at +150 odds. That plus-money line is very appealing and a good addition to your NASCAR Cup Series ticket this weekend.

Daniel Suarez 

• Standings: 11^th 
• Playoff Points: 2006
• Race Odds: +1600
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 2
• Top 10: 6

If there’s one driver happy to see Atlanta on the calendar, it’s Daniel Suarez. The #99 car won the spring Atlanta race which was his lone victory of the season and locked him into the Playoffs. However, since that victory, it’s been a poor showing for most of the season. That was until Suarez put together a solid run over the last month.

Prior to his car catching fire at Daytona two weeks ago, Suarez had three consecutive Top 10 finishes. That was half of his Top 10 results on the season.

Suarez’s victory in Atlanta was his fourth Top 6 finish in his last five races at that Speedway. Prior to that, he never finished higher than 10^th.

With some decent results over the last six weeks, and scoring a 4.0 average finish in the last two Quaker State 400 races, I believe Suarez can be a Top 10 driver this weekend with a Top 5 ceiling.

Alex Bowman 

• Standings: 12^th 
• Playoff Points: 2005
• Race Odds: +3300
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 6
• Top 10: 12

Since winning at Chicago two months ago, and finishing third at Pocono, Alex Bowman has tallied five straight finishes of 16^th or worse. Four of those finishes were 19^th or worse with three at 27^th or worse. Despite this poor stretch to close out the regular season, the #48 car is hoping to get out of the first round of the Playoffs for the first time since 2020.

Last year, Bowman didn’t make the postseason as he was winless on the year. In 2022, he was 16^th and eliminated at the end of the 1st round of the Playoffs. In 2021, he finished 14^th and was eliminated in the first round as well.

In 12 Atlanta starts, Bowman has just three Top 10s with an 18.4 average finish. He was 27^th in the spring Atlanta race and has a 29.0 average finish over the last two Quaker State 400 races.

I would avoid Bowman across the board this weekend. The #48 car would be lucky to crack the Top 15, but will more than likely finish below his 18.4 career average at this venue.

Chase Briscoe 

• Standings: 13^th 
• Playoff Points: 2005
• Race Odds: +3300
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 3
• Top 10: 7

Chase Briscoe clinched a Playoff spot in the last regular season race by winning the Cook Out Southern 500. He became the 14^th different driver to win a race this year. It was his first Top 10 finish in nine races and just his 7^th of the season. Needless to say, Briscoe would not have made the Playoffs if he didn’t win last weekend.

As for Atlanta, Briscoe has an abysmal 20.9 average finish in seven starts. His best result was 15^th as he’s never even cracked the Top 10. The #14 car crashed out of the spring Atlanta race.

Briscoe’s ceiling is a Top 15 finish. Yet, I wouldn’t even wager on him finishing in the Top 20. Briscoe is not even worth a flier this weekend.

Harrison Burton  

• Standings: 14^th 
• Playoff Points: 2005
• Race Odds: +6600
• Wins: 1
• Top 5: 1
• Top 10: 2

By winning the Coke Zero Sugar 400 race at Daytona two weeks ago, Harrison Burton shocked the sport of NASCAR and created the most memorable moment of the season. With his father Geoff Burton calling the race for NBC, the younger Burton held off Kyle Busch to win the race by a nose. This is the same driver who doesn’t even have a team for next season.

That win was Burton’s only Top 5 result this season, and just his second Top 10 finish on the year. He does have an 11^th result on the year, and that came in Atlanta during the second week of the season.

Burton’s Atlanta experience has been awful in his young Cup Series career. Three of his five Atlanta starts have seen him finish 25^th or worse. He did score a 10^th result in the 2022 Quaker State 400, which is his best result in Atlanta.

Like Briscoe and others, stay far away from the #21 car this weekend. Let’s not try to bet on lightning striking twice with a shocking Burton victory.

Ty Gibbs 

• Standings: 15^th 
• Playoff Points: 2004
• Race Odds: +3300
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 7
• Top 10: 11

Ty Gibbs sits 15^th in the Playoff Standings and is fortunate to make the postseason despite not winning a race all year to date. In fact, he and Martin Truex Jr. are the only two drivers to have made the Playoffs without a win.

Gibbs closed out the regular season with a nice run. He scored a third in Michigan and 5^th at Daytona, before finishing 20^th last weekend at Darlington.

Despite needing some luck to make the Playoffs in the final race of the regular season, Gibbs has fared well in Atlanta over his brief Cup Series career. Gibbs has two Top 10 finishes in three career starts.

If you are looking for a longshot driver to crack the Top 10, Gibbs is a great choice as he provides +240 odds. But, avoid him for a race win or Top 5 result.

Martin Truex Jr.  

• Standings: 16^th 
• Playoff Points: 2004
• Race Odds: +2500
• Wins: 0
• Top 5: 4
• Top 10: 9

If there’s any driver who backed into the Playoffs, it was Martin Truex Jr. The veteran driver, who is retiring from full time racing at the end of the year, just got into the postseason by a whisker. He crashed out of Darlington last weekend, and had to wait 365 laps before seeing if he would make the postseason or not.

Truex has five straight results of 24^th or worse on the season, including two DNFs. It was an awful way to finish off his last year as a full-time driver.

The 2017 Cup Series Champion desperately needs a strong showing in Atlanta this weekend if he wants to stick around the Playoffs for another round.

Although he’s never won at Atlanta in 29 starts, Truex does have a decent 15.5 average finish. He was 12^th in the spring Atlanta race but hasn’t cracked the Top 10 at this track since the spring of 2022. That was his last Top 10 result, which was also his ninth in a row.

Sentimentally, I will be rooting for Truex to finish strong. I’ve been a fan of his since he joined DEI in 2006. I think he can crack the Top 10 this weekend if he can stay out of trouble. But, he’s not worth wagering on.

Quaker State 400 Best of the Rest

The following drivers are not qualified for the 2024 Cup Series Playoffs, but they still offer value at Atlanta Motor Speedway:

Kyle Busch +1000

I won’t sit here and pretend that I wasn’t rooting for Kyle Busch to make the Playoffs. For the last four to six weeks, I found myself checking to see where the #8 car was in the final laps and hoping he could make a run at the checkered flag.

And, that’s what he did in the last three races, but fell ever so short. At Michigan, Busch finished 4^th. At Daytona and Darlington, Busch finished second. If he would’ve won either of those races, then the two-time Cup Series Champ would’ve made the postseason.

Now, Busch has to settle for trying to get a win on the season and keep his legendary streak alive. Since becoming a full time Cup Series driver in 2005, Busch has won at least one race every season. He’s in danger of snapping that streak this season.

Despite not making the Playoffs, oddsmakers like Busch’s chances to win in Atlanta. They have him tied with drivers like Ryan Blaney as the odds-on favorite to win the Quaker State 400.

In 29 Atlanta starts, Busch leads or is tied for the lead in wins (2), Top 5s (10) and Top 10s (14). He’s also third with a 13.2 average finish.

Busch has no pressure on him this weekend. In fact, he can take all the chances he wants to get the elusive win. Busch will be a Top 10 car for most of the race. He has a Top 3 ceiling this Sunday. Maybe he finally gets the win that has alluded him for 26 races so far.

Ross Chastain +1800

Outside of Busch, there’s only one other non-Playoff driver that I think could make some noise this weekend – Ross Chastain.

Chastain just missed out on the Playoffs despite finishing 5^th at Darlington last weekend. It was his second Top 5 finish in the last four races. He closed out the regular season with an 11.7 average finish and narrowly missing the postseason.

In Atlanta, Chastain scored a 7^th in the spring race. He had car issues last year and ended up 35^th. Prior to that, Chastain had two seconds and a 13^th. If you take out the car problems, which weren’t his fault, Chastain would have a 6.0 average finish in his last four Atlanta appearances.

That’s a solid average and one that I think he continues this weekend with a Top 10 finish.

The Best Top 5 Bet for the Quaker State 400

As you can see from the analysis above, not many drivers have had a lot of success in Atlanta. With that said, there is one driver I feel very comfortable with finishing in the Top 5 and that’s Ryan Blaney.

The defending Cup Series champ has five Top 5 finishes in his last eight Atlanta appearances. Additionally, he was runner up in the spring Atlanta race this year and has a 6.3 average finish over his last three Quaker State 400 races.

With +180 odds to finish in the Top 5, I love the value that Blaney provides us for this Sunday’s race.

The Best Top 10 Bet for the Quaker State 400

In his last five Atlanta appearances, Daniel Suarez (+100) has four Top 6 finishes. He won the Atlanta spring race and was runner up in this race last year. He also has a 4.0 average finish in his last two Quaker State 400 races.

This is Suarez’s best chance, in the first round of the Playoffs, to pick up a high finish and hope it propels him to the Round of 12 (second round). I expect the #99 car to remain clean for most of the race and find a Top 10 finish by time the checkered flag drops on the Quaker State 400.

Quaker State 400 Driver H2H Matchups

For these NASCAR bets, you must pick which driver will have the better result in each head-to-head matchup: 

Tyler Reddick (-130) vs. Michael McDowell (+100)

Tyler Reddick has not fared well in Atlanta. With that said, he still has better numbers than Michael McDowell. In eight Atlanta starts, Reddick has one Top 5, two Top 10s, and a 20.9 average finish. McDowell has one Top 5, two Top 10s, and a 26.8 average finish in 17 starts.

The #34 car was 8^th in the spring race this season and 4^th in this race last year. Prior to that, McDowell never finished higher than 15^th and has four DNFs.

Don’t let McDowell’s recent success fool you. McDowell had just two Top 5s and six Top 10s on the season. Reddick had two wins, 11 Top 5s, and 18 Top 10s. He also had an 11.2 average finish compared to McDowell’s 21.1 average finish. McDowell also had six DNFs on the year, compared to Reddick with just two.

Reddick’s consistency and push for a Championship will be the difference makers in this head-to-head matchup.

Bet: Tyler Reddick (-130) 

NASCAR Quaker State 400 Predictions: Who Takes The Checkered Flag? 

Despite being on the Cup Series circuit for over 60 years, Atlanta has proved to be a tough track for many of the current drivers, especially those at the top of the Playoff standings.

Typically, we’re including drivers like Larson, Hamlin, and Bell in our list of Top 5 cars on a weekly basis. However, that’s not the case this weekend. I am fading all three of them. And, that’s a tough thing for me to do considering Larson is my favorite driver.

Instead, I’m looking at Blaney, Elliott, Keselowski, Busch and Chastain or Suarez. I don’t see Suarez sweeping the Atlanta races, but I do like his chances at a Top 10 and possibly even another Top 5 result.

Busch has come so close to winning over the last three weeks. He’s due for a victory. Yet, until he wins one, it’s foolish to bet on him to take the checkered flag.

This race should come down to Blaney, Elliott and Keselowski. I think any of these three drivers are capable of winning on Sunday. Of the eight active Cup Series drivers to have won in Atlanta before, all three of these drivers are on that list.

Blaney and Elliott lead the field in average finish for this venue, while Keselowski is fifth among full time Cup Series drivers. With that said, I really like the race win to come down to either Elliott or Blaney. You can flip a coin to pick the winner or bet on both as they each have odds of +1000 or higher.

For me, I’m taking Elliott to crawl out of the shadows and announce to the field that he’s ready to be a real Championship contender.

Bet: Chase Elliott (+1200) 

NASCAR Quaker State 400 Prop Bets

The following NASCAR Quaker State 400 prop bets are courtesy of Bet365:

Either To Finish Top 3: Blaney or Keselowski (+140)

Well, since I believe Keselowski and Blaney are going to finish in the Top 3 along with Elliott, it makes perfect sense to take these two in this NASCAR prop bet.

For those wondering, Blaney and Elliott to finish in the Top 3 is +140 as well. So, you can wager on that option if you don’t like this one.

I think Blaney is a Top 3 driver no matter who he’s paired with. Getting Keselowski in addition to Blaney, is just icing on the cake.

Bet: Blaney or Keselowski (+140)

Winning Manufacturer

• Chevrolet (+125)
• Ford (+130)
• Toyota (+350)

Toyota has won this race just one time and it came in 2008. Ford has won this race 13 times with the last one coming in 2005. Chevy has the most wins in this race with 20, including winning three in a row.

Elliott, my pick to win the Quaker State 400 race, drives a Chevy. So, I think this is a great opportunity to hedge our bets by taking Ford at +130 odds. Both Blaney and Keselowski drive a Ford. Joey Logano, who has also won in Atlanta, also drives a Ford as well.

Bet: Ford (+130)

Quaker State 400 Group Winner

• Joey Logano (+175)
• Brad Keselowski (+225)
• Kyle Larson (+350)
• Denny Hamlin (+350)

As you have read, I’m pretty high on Brad Keselowski this weekend. So, it should come as no surprise that I’m picking Keselowski to win this group bet.

Just quickly comparing these drivers, Keselowski has the best average finish at Alanta with a 14.9. Logano (16.6), Hamlin (17.1), and Larson (18.8), have not come close to the same level of success that the #8 car has had in Atlanta.

Both Hamlin and Logano have wins in Atlanta, but Keselowski has more wins and better Top 5 and Top 10 finishing rates than all three of the other drivers in this group bet.

Keselowski is a solid play this weekend, for a variety of different wagers.

Bet: Brad Keselowski (+225)

Team of Race Winner 

• Hendrick Motorsports (+320)
• Team Penske (+350)
• Joe Gibbs Racing (+500)
• RFK Racing (+650)
• Trackhouse Racing (+800)
• Richard Childress Racing (+800)
• 23XI Racing (+1100)
• Stewart-Haas Racing (+1200)

Hendrick Motorsports has won the last two Quaker State 400 races in Atlanta, and I am picking Blaney to win this race, but I think this is a great opportunity to hedge our bets. Instead of doubling down on Elliott and his Hendrick #9 car, I’m taking Team Penske.

Both Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano driver for Penske. Additionally, one of my sleeper plays this weekend, Austin Cindric, also drives for Penske. Prior to the 10-year hiatus (2011-2020), Penske had won the 2009 and 2010 Atlanta Quaker State 400 races.

Bet: Team Penske (+350)

Race Winner Number

• Over 16.5 (-125)
• Under 16.5 (-125)

This is one of my favorite NASCAR prop bets, but it hasn’t been available the last few weeks by the time of publishing our weekly Cup Series race betting previews. So, I am excited to see it available this week. And, I’m even more excited to take the Under 16.5 for this prop bet.

The drivers we get with the Under, is remarkable: Chastain (1), Cindric (2), Larson (5), Keselowski (6), Busch (8), Elliott (9), Hamlin (11), and Blaney (12) to name a few.

My Top 3 drivers for this race, four of my Top 5, and two of my sleepers are all listed Under 16.5. You can’t ask for a better chance at winning this prop bet than this weekend.

Bet: Under 16.5 (-125)