2024-25 NFL NFC Championship Odds and Predictions  

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Unlike the AFC Conference, where the top four seeds advanced to the Divisional Round, the NFC Conference saw only three of the top four seeds move on. The #6 seeded Washington Commanders crashed the party to prevent the NFC from going chalk as well.

The Detroit Lions enjoyed having a bye week during the Wild Card Round as they are the #1 seed in the NFC and will now host the Commanders in what should be an exciting matchup. The Lions remain the Super Bowl favorites heading into the second round of the Playoffs.

The other NFC Divisional Round game is a rematch between the Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Rams. Of the three NFC Wild Card games, the Rams looked the most impressive after dominating the Minnesota Vikings.

With that said, let’s take a look at the latest NFC Championship odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our 2024-25 NFC Championship predictions. 

NFC Championship Odds 

The Detroit Lions continue to see their NFC title odds shrink as they’ve gone from +120 to +105 heading into the Divisional Round. The Eagles are still right behind the Lions as their odds were cut in half from +325 to +165.

The Los Angeles Rams also saw their odds go from +1400 to +600 following their Wild Card win. Lastly, the Washington Commanders remain the longshot with odds of +1000. That’s down from their +1600 odds heading into their Wild Card matchup versus the Buccaneers.

NFC Playoff Teams

The following NFL teams have made the NFL Playoffs and are vying for the 2024-25 NFC Championship:

Detroit Lions

As mentioned above, the Detroit Lions earned the top seed in the NFC and a first round bye during the Wild Card Round. Additionally, with a 15-2 regular season record, the Lions captured home field advantage throughout the Playoffs.

However, they didn’t accomplish these feats until Week 18 of the regular season after defeating the Minnesota Vikings to also capture the NFC North division.

The Lions were able to overcome a plethora of injuries on both sides of the ball, especially the defense. Some of these players might be able to return this week or in the NFC Championship game should the Lions advance.

Detroit is an offense first team. In fact, they have one of the best offenses in the NFL. The Lions led the NFL in scoring (33.2 ppg), were 2nd in total yards (409.5 ypg), led the league in touchdowns per game (4.1), 4th in third down conversion rate (47.57%), 3rd in red zone touchdown percentage (69.44%), 2nd in passing yards per game (263.2 ypg), and 6th in rushing yards per game (146.4 ypg).

Basically, it’s pick your poison when it comes to playing the Lions. In fact, it’s very similar to what Buffalo displayed against the Broncos when they ran for 200 yards and threw for 272 yards. If you focused on one of Detroit’s offensive aspects, then they will beat you with the other.

The Playoff opposition will need to outscore the Lions or stop them from scoring over 30 points in order to have a shot at winning. I don’t know about you, but that seems very unlikely unless it’s the Eagles playing to their full potential which we did not see in the Wild Card Round.

Is this the year that the Detroit Lions finally go to a Super Bowl?

Philadelphia Eagles

The Philadelphia Eagles have won 13 of their last 14 games including their Wild Card matchup against the Green Bay Packers. However, the NFC East champ didn’t look great in their Playoff victory.

The Eagles vaunted offense only put up 290 total yards against the Packers. 169 yards came on the ground, which was expected considering they had the second-best running game in the league at 179.3 rushing yards per game.

However, their passing attack only put up 131 yards, which is not going to cut it against the Rams or if they play in the NFC Championship game.

Their defensive effort was solid as expected. They held the Packers to 302 total yards and forced 4 turnovers. Additionally, the Packers only scored 10 points. Philly allow the second fewest points in the league at 17.8 points per game.

They also allowed the fewest yards (278.4 ypg), third lowest 3rd down conversion (35.55%), and the third lowest TDs per game (1.9) during the regular season.

Although Philly looked good in some aspects on the defensive side of the ball, they did struggle in other areas. The Eagles allowed Green Bay to go 7-of-13 on third downs. The Eagles who led the NFL in passing yards allowed (174.2 ypg), also let the Packers throw for nearly 200 yards despite three interceptions.

I have real concerns for the Eagles offense that couldn’t pass the ball and only picked up 2 third downs in 11 tries. Additionally, they only put up 290 total yards, threw one completion to AJ Brown, and had just 16 first downs in 11 drives.

The Eagles will need to clean up these issues if they want to beat the Rams. Fortunately, Philly did beat LA in the regular season and have the tools to repeat this accomplishment in the Divisional Round. Will Philly play to their full potential this weekend?

Los Angeles Rams

Speaking of the Los Angeles Rams, they looked like a completely different team in their Wild Card win over the Vikings. Yes, LA won the NFC West Division and finished as the #4 seed in the NFC, but they had the second highest odds to win the NFC behind the Commanders. Additionally, they were underdogs versus Minnesota.

The most impressive thing about the Rams in the Wild Card Round was their defense. They held a top-notch Vikings offense to just 269 total yards and forced 2 turnovers. Additionally, the defenses harassed Sam Darnold all game long and even scored a touchdown.

If the Rams play like this each round of the NFC Playoffs, then they could find themselves back in the Super Bowl.

LA will need to replicate this performance against the Eagles if they want to win the game. Holding Minnesota to 109 rushing yards is not the same as holding Philly to that mark.

With that said, the Rams looked much better than the Eagles did in the Wild Card Round and this weekend’s rematch could be much closer than their Week 12 game that saw the Eagles dominate 37 to 20.

Can the Rams pull off another Playoff upset?

Washington Commanders

The Washington Commanders aren’t your typical Wild Card team. Like the Vikings (14-3), the Commanders had a strong regular season as they went 12-5 and earned the #6 seed in the conference. That also earned them a trip to Tampa Bay where they had to take on the surging Bucs.

Led by the league’s most sensational rookie, Washington’s Jayden Daniels won his first Playoff game on the road in spectacular fashion.

Daniels threw for 268 yards, 2 TDs, and led the team with 36 rushing yards. He’s the closest thing to Lamar Jackson, but showed more poise than Lamar has in most of his Playoff outings.

Even more impressive for Washington was that they held Tampa’s Top 5 offense to just 284 total yards. They also forced one turnover, made Bake Mayfield look average with just 183 passing yards, and won the time of possession battle at 35:26 to 24:34.

It wasn’t a pretty game to watch, but there were moments of excitement especially Zane Gonzalez’s game winning field goal as time expired.

The Commanders have an offense that can score with the Lions in their Divisional Round matchup. Washington finished 5th in scoring (28.5 ppg), 7th in total yards per game (369.6 ypg), 6th in touchdowns scored per game (3.2), 6th in 3rd down conversion rate (45.62%), 1st in 4th down conversion rate (86.96%), and were 3rd in rushing yards per game (154.1 ypg).

Now, their rushing game went up against an elite run defense in Tampa Bay. However, they should have more success against the Lions this weekend.

For Washington to have a real shot against the Lions, they need to tighten up their run defense. This unit gave up 137.5 ypg on the ground, which is the 3^rd most in the league. However, they did hold Tampa’s strong rushing attack to just 101 yards.

Can the Commanders keep their Cinderella season alive?

NFC Divisional Round Matchups

The following is a quick breakdown of the NFC Divisional Round games:

Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions are double-digit favorites over the Washington Commanders. That’s a bit surprising considering how good Washington is. Sure, the Lions should win this game, but to beat a good team by 10 points is saying a lot.

I see the Commanders being very competitive and using their run game to control the clock. Additionally, look for Daniels to use his legs to extend plays and pick up first downs. This is going to be a close game. Take the Lions to win, but take the Commanders to cover this large spread.

Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles

As mentioned, Philly beat the Rams by 17 points in their Week 12 matchup. It was also the game that Saquon Barkley had a career-best rushing performance and entered the MVP conversation.

However, these Rams look like a completely different team as they’ve shored up their offensive line since then along with improving on defense. Their young defensive players appear to be fulfilling their potential, which was on full display versus the Vikings.

I don’t see Philly steamrolling the Rams like they did before. However, I do think this offense bounces back from a subpar performance in the Wild Card Round. I like for the Eagles to win the game, but for the Rams to cover the six points.

NFC Championship Predictions: Who Wins The NFC?

In the preseason, I picked the Philadelphia Eagles to win the NFC. At the midseason point, I doubled down on the Eagles to win the conference. And, heading into the Playoffs, I was still soaring with the Eagles.

Unfortunately, after what I saw in the Wild Card Round, I can’t pick Philly to beat out the Lions in Detroit if these two teams were to face each other.

For the first time all season long, I am jumping on the Detroit bandwagon and taking the Lions to win the NFC Conference. Sure, I might flip flop after this round if Philly’s offense bounces back and looks like the elite unit that they were all regular season long.

Jalen Hurts concerns me when throwing the ball and his decision making. I rather have Goff, Stafford, or Daniels over Hurts in the NFC’s Final Four.

Philly’s defense is still the best in the NFC, but that might not mean as much if the offense doesn’t put up points. I don’t see the Eagles forcing four turnovers versus the Rams or the Lions if they play against each other.

The Lions inside their dome, and in front of their rabid fans, gives me more confidence heading into the second round of the NFC Playoffs than the Eagles do.

Bet: Detroit Lions (+105)

Previous NFC Championship Prop Bets

The following prop bets were listed throughout the season. You can look back at our predictions for these NFL props and how we thought the NFC Conference would play out.

Which Team Will Finish as the NFC #1 Seed?

With the way things are unfolding, the #1 seed should come down to the Lions and Eagles. Currently, the Lions are 9-1 and the Eagles are 8-2.

I picked the Eagles to win the NFC and I think one of the reasons why is because they end up as the #1 seed and secure home field advantage throughout the Playoffs.

I believe that the Eagles have an easier schedule over the final two months of the season. Sure, the Rams, Ravens and Steelers are tough games but Philly could win all three.

They already beat the Commanders, so I think they will be favored in that matchup. Additionally, they close out the season against the lowly Cowboys and Giants. I fully expect the Eagles to win the NFC East and possibly finish 13-4 or 14-3.

The Lions play the Bears twice, the Packers, Bills, 49ers and Vikings. Despite Chicago’s struggles over the last month, they’re still a team that’s capable of beating the Lions, especially if you believe that they turned the corner following the firing of their offensive coordinator.

Furthermore, the Bills are every bit as good as the Lions, the 49ers will be desperate for a Wild Card spot and should still be mathematically alive in this Week 17 matchup, the Packers and Vikings both want revenge against their divisional rival.

I can see Detroit finishing 14-3 or 13-4 following this final stretch of games. I can also see them going 15-2 and only losing against Buffalo or the final week against Minnesota.

The Lions offer no betting value (-250) and have a tougher schedule than Philly who still provides solid value with their +325 odds.

Bet: Philadelphia Eagles (+325) 

To Reach 2024-25 NFC Championship Game 

Since I picked the Eagles to finish with the top seed, it gives them a higher chance of making the NFC Championship game because they will have home field in the Playoffs and a first-round bye.  

Joining the Eagles in the NFC Championship game should be the 49ers. This team is far too talented to get tripped up in earlier NFC Playoff rounds. With Super Bowl experience, a solid QB, balance on both sides of the ball, and plenty of playmakers all over the field, San Francisco can almost punch their ticket for an NFC Championship game spot as early as October.  

We’re going to get a rematch from the 2022-23 NFC Championship game where the 49ers came up short due to injuries to their quarterbacks.  

Bet: San Francisco 49ers (-140), Philadelphia Eagles (+260) 

Which NFC Division Wins The 2024-25 NFC Championship? 

• NFC West (+140) 

• NFC North (+225) 

• NFC East (+280) 

• NFC South (+800) 

It’s clear that the NFC South will be the weakest division in the NFC this year. In fact, it might just be the worst division in all of football. The NFC East will be a two-team race between the Cowboys and the Eagles, which I believe Philly wins.  

The NFC North is going to beat each other up all year long and it will be a war of attrition as to which team wins. The NFC West has the 49ers head-and-shoulders above the rest, but don’t be surprised if the Rams make some noise this year.  

With that said, I like the Eagles to finish as the top seed in the NFC and to represent the conference in the Super Bowl. At +280 odds, the NFC East is my pick for this NFL prop bet. The cherry on the top is the solid value that it provides as the third longest option for this wager.  

Bet: NFC East (+280)