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Heading into the 2024-25 NFL Season, most pundits and fans believe that the NFC East will be a two-team race between the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles. Based on what we saw last year, along with minimal off-season progress, the New York Giants and Washington Commanders are expected to finish well-behind the Eagles and Cowboys in the division.
However, not only are Philly and Dallas tabbed as NFC East favorites, they’re also in the hunt to represent the NFC in Super Bowl 59. Can the Cowboys win the division for a second straight year or will the Eagles take back their divisional crown?
Let’s take a look at the latest NFC East odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our 2024-25 NFC East Division predictions.
NFC East Division
NFC East Team | 2023-24 Record | 2023-24 ATS | 2023-24 NFC East Record |
---|---|---|---|
Dallas Cowboys | 12-5 SU | 10-7 ATS | 5-1 SU |
Philadelphia Eagles | 11-6 SU | 7-8-2 ATS | 4-2 SU |
New York Giants | 6-11 SU | 8-8-1 ATS | 3-3 SU |
Washington Commanders | 4-13 SU | 6-10-1 ATS | 0-6 SU |
2024 Dallas Cowboys Season Preview
Last season was another disappointment for the Dallas Cowboys and Jerry Jones, who isn’t getting any younger. We’re saying there isn’t a lot of time left for him to win another Super Bowl. He hired a head coach who’d won a ring before, but Mike McCarthy couldn’t deliver the degree of success that Jones was looking for.
To a certain extent, the same can be said for the well-paid Dak Prescott, who has produced great numbers but nothing in the way of a conference championship. Who knows how long Prescott’s going to be around? Much may depend on what he does this year, and we’re not being overly dramatic when we say that.
McCarthy’s contract ends after this season, and Jones has been reticent to give him an extension.
That’s not unintentional. Jones wants to pay his players AND his coaches based on performance, and it makes sense that he wants to see McCarthy achieve the goal of reaching the Super Bowl. If not, there are a lot of candidates waiting in line. That’s the truth, and Jones knows it. Besides, he has gone on record stating that there is far too much “dead money” that teams incur after firing coaches before the expiration of their contracts, and he sees no reason to create more of that.
It was very aggravating for Jones to see his team go down so meekly in the first round of the NFC Playoffs and to McCarthy’s former employer, no less (Green Bay).
More disappointment came in the off-season. The team lost offensive tackle Tyron Smith and center Tyler Biadasz. Retooling on the O-Line will be a process, and toward that end, the Cowboys drafted OT Tyler Guyton of Oklahoma in the first round.
Replacing running back Tony Pollard (now property of the Tennessee Titans) will be more problematic. Pollard may not have been an every-down back, but he supplied that element of explosiveness that isn’t always found at the position. Ezekiel Elliott, who was once arguably the league’s premier tailback, is back in Dallas after a stint with New England.
We don’t know exactly how he’ll be used, but it would surprise us if he became the #1 option in the backfield. Jones is said to have coveted University of Texas running back Jonathon Brooks, but he could not land him in the draft.
Athletic linebacker Eric Kendricks, who was an All-Pro five years ago, will try to bounce back with the Cowboys after getting released by Jim Harbaugh and the Chargers. However, Dallas has been far from active with personnel moves in the off-season. That contrasts the Philadelphia Eagles, who knew they couldn’t afford to sit still.
2024-25 Dallas Cowboys Win Total
- Over 10.5 (+160)
- Under 10.5 (-200)
The Cowboys come into the season tied for the 12th toughest strength of schedule (.505). They’re tied with the Los Angeles Rams, the New York Jets and the San Francisco 49ers.
Currently, NFL odds favor the Cowboys to finish with 10 wins or less on the year partly due to their schedule and partly due to their roster composition.
Dallas’ 2024-25 schedule is fairly winnable in the first-half of the season where they also have a Week 7 Bye. Their toughest stretch is Week 8 to Week 11. Over that stretch, they are at the 49ers, Falcons, home vs. Philly and Houston.
Over their last seven games, they can potentially run the table as they face the Giants, Washington twice, the Buccaneers, Panthers, Bengals and Eagles. More than likely, they slip up at Philly in Week 17 but the Bengals game will be at home, which they could win.
Bottom line, this team has a strong chance of winning 11 or more games. I see them going 4-2 heading into their Bye Week, then at least 7-4 in the remaining 11 games. I really like the value of +160 odds to win Over 10.5 games as this team should be a Playoff contender once again.
Bet: Over 10.5 games (+160)
2024-25 Dallas Cowboys Record After 5 Games
- 3 Wins (+190)
- 2 Wins (+200)
- 4 Wins (+350)
- 1 Win (+500)
- 5 Wins (+1000)
- 0 Wins (+2000)
Dallas opens the season on the road at the AFC North’s Cleveland Browns before returning home to face the Saints and Ravens. Weeks 4 and 5 will see the Cowboys go back out on the road against the Giants and Steelers. Even though they are playing Baltimore at home, I like the Ravens in that matchup. The only question is whether or not the Cowboys can win in Cleveland to kick off the season.
If they can beat the Browns on the road, then I see Dallas going 4-1 to start off the season. I like the value of +350 odds for 4 wins more than I do the +190 odds for 3 wins. I’m not sold on the Browns and I think Dallas has the weapons to make a strong statement in the opening weekend. For their first five games, I like Dallas to go at least 4-1.
Bet: 4 Wins (+350)
Will The Dallas Cowboys Make The 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?
- Yes (-200)
- No (+160)
As mentioned above, I like the Cowboys to win 11 games and be a Playoff team. Even if they don’t win the NFC East, Dallas can still land one of the three Wild Card spots. A favorable back-half of the season should allow the Cowboys to go on a run and enter the postseason with plenty of momentum.
Bet: Yes (-200)
2024 Philadelphia Eagles Season Preview
It was almost depressing how the Philadelphia Eagles came down the stretch in the 2023 season. After beating the Cowboys, AFC West’s best in the Kansas City Chiefs, and Bills in consecutive games, they were 10-1 and regarded by fans and the media as the best team in the NFL. In fact, at that point of the season, the Eagles were the odds-on favorites to win the Super Bowl.
But there were warning signs. They had been outgained for four straight contests. This manifested itself in their finish, which saw them lose five of their last six regular-season games, banged up, stumbling, and generally outplayed. Then they walked into Raymond James Stadium and rolled over, getting slapped around by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, outgained by 150 yards, and losing a 32-9 decision.
This does not sit well with General Manager Howie Roseman, who is always on the move. The Eagles may have done as much as anyone in terms of addressing what they had to do.
Remember that Nick Sirianni originally got this program rolling with a run-based offense. And they may have their best running back in years, as Roseman went out and signed Saquon Barkley. Barkley had 962 yards while missing three games last year and had a career-high in rushing yards in 2022. If Barkley can stay healthy, he is a premier back and the kind of guy who can hurt an opponent whether he’s running the ball or receiving.
Quarterback Jalen Hurts dealt with injuries last year. He had 15 rushing touchdowns but fell short of four yards a carry and was intercepted fifteen times. They need something better from him. Wideouts AJ Brown and Devonta Smith topped 1000 yards, but I’m not sure DeVante Parker adds too much. They will have to find the successor to Jason Kelce, the future Hall of Fame center who called it quits in the off-season.
Only one team allowed more passing yards last season than the Eagles. So they brought in safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson and spent their top two draft picks on Toledo’s Quinton Mitchell and Iowa’s Cooper DeJean to bolster the secondary.
Other changes to the defense include the trade of linebacker Haason Reddick, the release of safety Kevin Byard, a two-time All-Pro, and the retirement of great defensive tackle Fletcher Cox. Regarding the latter, they depend even more on second-year man Jalen Carter up front.
This is now the time to erase the bad vibes that might have gathered in the late stages 2023. Will the Eagles demonstrate they are closer to the team that won ten of the first eleven last year? They still have more on the ball than anyone else in the NFC East.
2024-25 Philadelphia Eagles Win Total
- Over 10.5 (-115)
- Under 10.5 (-105)
The Eagles are tied for the 21st toughest schedule (.491) this season. It’s surprising that such a talented team would benefit from such a favorable slate. But when looking over their schedule, this team is poised for a big 2024-25 regular season.
I think Dallas and Philly will split their divisional head-to-head matchups. However, the Eagles have an easier non-divisional schedule than the Cowboys do. Unfortunately, Philly does have a Week 5 Bye, which doesn’t help anyone. But they really only have six tough games on the year and two of them are against Dallas.
If the Eagles can go at least 3-3 in those six tough matchups, then I see them finishing 9-2 over their easier games against teams like the Giants, Commanders, Falcons, Saints, Buccaneers, Steelers, Jaguars and Panthers.
Last year, Dallas finished one game better than Philly on the season. This year, I think we see a reversal. Look for the Eagles to win at least 11 or 12 games and finish with one more victory than Dallas on the season. For this prop bet, it’s an easy Over 10.5 wins for the Eagles.
Bet: Over 10.5 (-115)
2024-25 Philadelphia Eagles Record After 5 Games
- 2 Wins (+170)
- 3 Wins (+200)
- 1 Win (+350)
- 4 Wins (+600)
- 5 Wins (+800)
- 0 Wins (+5000)
As mentioned, the Eagles have a Week 5 Bye. So, looking at their first four games, Philly should go at least 3-1, if not 4-0. They will beat the Falcons, Saints and Buccaneers. In fact, they should sweep the NFC South Division on the year.
The only tough game over the first month of the season is a matchup against the Packers in Brazil. It’s hard to imagine how both teams will play as they get acclimated to the climate, travel and disallowing of wearing the color green.
Coming out of the Bye Week, the Eagles play at home against the Browns who they should beat. So, we’re looking at four or five wins for Philly over their first five games. I wouldn’t be surprised if they went unbeaten until a Week 8 matchup at Cincinnati or a Week 10 game at Dallas.
For this prop bet, let’s take the safer of the two options and pick Philly to go 4-1 over the first five games of the 2024-25 regular season.
Bet: 4 Wins (+600)
Will The Philadelphia Eagles Make The 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?
- Yes (-225)
- No (+175)
As you can see by the odds, Philly is favored to make the postseason. In fact, they have the third best odds to make the NFL Playoffs in the NFC. The Eagles are only behind the Lions (-290) and 49ers (-450).
For me, the only question is whether they enter the Playoffs as a Wild Card team or the NFC East winner. We’ll answer that question further below. With that soft schedule and talented roster on both sides of the ball, it’s an easy “Yes” for me on this NFL prop bet.
Bet: (-225)
2024 New York Giants Season Preview
The New York Giants are in the doldrums; there’s no question about it. Things looked pretty promising after the 2022 season, as they had made the playoffs in Brian Daboll’s first year as head coach. He had come with high recommendation from the players he had worked with in Buffalo, so let’s face it – he looked like a genius after guiding Big Blue into the postseason.
But last season became a disaster. Quarterback injuries led to them using undrafted rookie Tommy DeVito as their starter. It is true that DeVito progressed as he got more snaps, and as a local kid, he became a folk hero of sorts. He has secured himself a spot on the roster going into training camp, but he was not ready to be an NFL starter.
The question as things stand now is whether Daniel Jones is ready to be that guy for the long term. When those first-round picks sign, it’s for four years, and then the team has an option year. After that, the player can go to free agency.
The timing was perhaps not so fortuitous that Jones had an encouraging season in ’22, throwing only five interceptions in 472 attempts and leading his team to the playoffs. The team feared losing him and signed him to a four-year, $160 million contract extension. And then, of course, there was a second neck injury and a torn ACL that took him out for the season.
So, there has understandably been some buyer remorse. It was common knowledge that the Giants were exploring the possibilities of a deal with the Patriots for the #3 pick, which turned out to be Drake Maye. And you have to wonder what that does for Jones’ confidence coming into this season.
Another situation that presented concern was that surrounding running back Saquon Barkley. As you know, when he’s healthy, Barkley can be the cornerstone of an offense. The Giants put the franchise tag on him before last season but lost him to the Philadelphia Eagles.
So, now they will have to figure out a solution back there. The workmanlike Devin Singletary was signed, but he’s not the kind of guy who can compensate for the lack of a quality passing game.
We can’t say we are fans of what Daboll and his staff have done with receivers. It was miraculous that they succeeded in 2022 with the group they were working with. Kadarius Toney, a first-round draft pick, couldn’t even get on the field. They didn’t like his attitude, and they had a point. But there’s no arguing with the fact that Toney went on to play a starring role in the Super Bowl after he was dealt to the Chiefs. Somehow, tight end Even Engram was ineffective for several years, but when he got to Jacksonville, he caught 114 passes.
So, you have to be somewhat skeptical this season, considering that they never got the best out of speed-burner Jalin Hyatt (23 catches for 373 yards as a rookie). Will Hyatt take another step? And how much will they get out of first-round pick Malik Nabers of LSU?
The defense ranked 27th in the NFL last year. The up-front guys were soft, allowing 4.7 yards per carry. There was a lot of friction between Daboll and coordinator Wink Martindale, which was a distraction. So he’s gone, and the new coordinator is Shane Bowen, who held that position with the Titans for the last three seasons.
Martindale loved to blitz; the Giants will do that less under Bowen and play more zone. So what they needed was more pressure from the defensive line. They hope to pick that up from edge rusher Brian Burns, a Pro Bowler who came in a trade with Carolina. His contract guarantees him $87.5 million.
The Giants have all their chips on the table with an injury-prone quarterback right now. If something goes wrong, they’d have to turn to the newly-acquired Drew Lock or DeVito again. And at that point, Daboll’s job is very much on the line.
2024-25 New York Giants Win Total
- Over 6.5 (+120)
- Under 6.5 (-150)
Washington and New York are both listed at an Over/Under of 6.5 games. However, the Giants have slightly worse odds to go Over than the Commanders do.
Coming into this season, New York is tied with the Bills for the 6th toughest schedule (.516). That does not bode well for a team that stunk last season, lost their best offensive player in the off-season to a divisional rival, and still believes that Daniel Jones can be their franchise quarterback.
The Giants do have a Week 11 Bye, which is an optimal time for any team. A week off late in the season helps the team recover mentally and physically from the grind of a long year. With that said, I am struggling to find seven wins on the schedule for the Giants.
Even if they can split with Washington, there aren’t six other games that they should win. New York could beat the Vikings, Commanders, Panthers and possibly upset the Saints, Buccaneers or Falcons. But, that’s six wins at best. And, honestly, I don’t see this team sweeping the NFC South. They will be lucky to go 2-2.
Take the Under 6.5 wins for the Giants as this team is poised for another clunker of a season. Hopefully, it doesn’t cost Daboll his job.
Bet: Under 6.5 wins (-150)
2024-25 New York Giants Record After 5 Games
- 2 Wins (+175)
- 1 Win (+265)
- 3 Wins (+275)
- 4 Wins (+600)
- 0 Wins (+700)
- 5 Wins (+3300)
The Giants play the Vikings, Commanders, Browns, Cowboys and Seahawks over the first five weeks of the season. Even if they can come out red-hot by winning their first two games, I see the Giants getting swept by Cleveland, Dallas and at Seattle.
Two wins is the best that the G-Men will do in their first five games. More than likely, they get a win in the season opener at home against the Vikings, but then lose their next seven games before playing Washington again in Week 9.
Bet: 1 Win (+265)
Will The New York Giants Make The 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?
- Yes (+400)
- No (-600)
In the NFC Conference, only the Carolina Panthers (-900) have larger odds to miss the Playoffs. Surprisingly, the Commanders have much better odds to make the postseason (+300) despite both teams listed with the same Over/Under of 6.5 wins.
This NFL prop bet is a no-brainer. New York has absolutely zero chance of making the Playoffs this season. In fact, I don’t see a path to the postseason for the next few years.
Bet: No (-600)
2024 Washington Commanders Season Preview
The Washington Commanders are an organization that has undergone massive change in the off-season. To begin with, they have new owners. And those owners, right away, were hit with many interests that wanted them to come up with a better nickname. I’m not sure that’s forthcoming.
They dropped Ron Rivera and hired a new head coach. Dan Quinn got the Atlanta Falcons to the Super Bowl, of course, the Super Bowl in which they blew a huge second-half lead to the New England Patriots of the AFC East. Eventually, he was let go and redeemed himself as the defensive coordinator with the Dallas Cowboys.
Now he’ll be charged with reviving a franchise that not only deteriorated on the defensive side of the ball (allowing 389 yards per game) but has found itself in quarterback hell in recent years.
We don’t really want to blame Sam Howell too much, as he’s got talent and some potential. But the offensive line hung him out to dry, and he didn’t have enough to compensate for it. Howell threw for 3946 yards, but he also tossed 21 interceptions and sustained 64 sacks.
Eric Bienemy, who has sulked about not being hired for a head coaching job, had an opportunity as the offensive coordinator. But he produced no protection and had a substandard running game. Consequently, the Commanders threw the football 66% of the time, the highest frequency of any NFL team. Bienemy is now employed at UCLA.
Meanwhile, here comes Kliff Kingsbury, who mostly struggled as head coach of the Arizona Cardinals but has a good reputation for developing quarterbacks. His project as the new O-coordinator is Jayden Daniels, the Heisman Trophy winner who was the second overall pick in the draft. Daniels has the run-pass abilities to make this attack dynamic. What he needs is to gain some experience.
And he’ll get it. To make it a more pleasant experience, the Commanders reached out to get him some help. Austin Ekeler, who gained more than 1600 yards from scrimmage in 2022, could not get a contract extension from the Chargers before last season, which made him a very unhappy camper. So, he came to the nation’s capital as a free agent.
Center Tyler Biadasz left Dallas for its hated rival, and Nick Allegretti, who filled in at guard for Joe Thuney and won a Super Bowl for the Chiefs, has also arrived. The tight-end situation is in better shape with Zach Ertz and second-round draft pick Ben Sinnott.
The Commanders will be more exciting on offense, but there is a long way to go on the stop unit, even though it will benefit from the presence of LB Bobby Wagner, who was with Quinn in Seattle (where he was the D-coordinator) and rejoins him here.
2024-25 Washington Commanders Win Total
- Over 6.5 (-130)
- Under 6.5 (+100)
As mentioned, the Commanders and Giants have the same O/U of 6.5 wins. But, unlike New York, Washington is favored to win 7 or more games. The Commanders enter the season tied for the 16th toughest schedule (.502). They have a very favorable Week 14 Bye, which would help most teams. Unfortunately, this squad will be well-behind in the Wild Card race by then, so it won’t matter much.
Washington’s best chances at victory are against the Giants, Buccaneers, Cardinals, Panthers, AFC South’s Titans and Falcons. Even if they can win those six games, that still puts them Under 6.5 wins. With that said, I don’t think they can beat the Titans or Buccaneers.
The Commanders have a new coaching staff, new offensive and defensive systems, and a rookie starting at QB. It could take the Commanders a few months before they really start playing to their full potential.
Last year, Washington didn’t win a divisional game. This year, I see them going 1-5 as they split with the Giants. But it’s going to be hard for this team to pick up six more wins. Take the Under 6.5 wins and the +100 odds as it offers solid betting value.
Bet: Under 6.5 wins (+100)
2024-25 Washington Commanders Record After 5 Games
- 2 Wins (+175)
- 1 Win (+250)
- 3 Wins (+250)
- 4 Wins (+700)
- 0 Wins (+750)
- 5 Wins (+3300)
Washington opens the season at Tampa Bay before returning home against the Giants. They then head out for road games at the Bengals and the Cardinals. Their Week 5 matchup is at home against the Browns.
I see Washington being more competitive this year than last season. However, I don’t see that translating to more wins. The Commanders will be lucky to go 2-3 over the first five weeks of the season. Those two road games come on a short week, which makes it harder for the Commanders as a Cardinals matchup could be winnable if they weren’t coming off a MNF game against the Bengals.
The smart play is on Washington to go 1-4 over the first month of the season. Too much risk to think they can win multiple games in September.
Bet: 1 Win (+250)
Will The Washington Commanders Make The 2024-25 NFL Playoffs?
- Yes (+300)
- No (-400)
Like with the Giants, there’s no chance for the Commanders to make the postseason. Washington will be one of the worst NFL Teams in the league for the 2024-25 season. However, unlike the Giants, the Commanders actually have a brighter future with Daniels leading this offense over Jones in New York. Washington will take their lumps this year, but it will help them grow and succeed in 2025-26.
Bet: No (-400)
NFC East Division Odds
- Philadelphia Eagles +100
- Dallas Cowboys +140
- New York Giants +1000
- Washington Commanders +1000
The Eagles are slight favorites over the Cowboys to win the NFC East title. Since 2002, Philly has won nine divisional crowns. Dallas has won seven division titles. In fact, over the last 10 years, the Cowboys have won the division five times, which is the most of any NFC East team.
The Commanders and the Giants both have three divisional crowns apiece since the 2002 realignment. However, New York hasn’t won the NFC East since 2011. Washington last won in 2020. Since then, Dallas and Philly have been alternating divisional crowns.
This year, I think the game of division hot-potato continues as Philly takes back the NFC East crown. The Eagles have an easier schedule and a better roster than the Cowboys. Additionally, they were just in the Super Bowl two years ago and an epic late-season collapse led to Philly’s pitiful 2023-24 season.
Adding Barkley at running back is good for at least another win or two on the year and the defensive improvements will make this team one of the best in the NFC. In fact, I see this team challenging the NFC West San Francisco 49ers for the top spot in the conference.
Bet: Philadelphia Eagles +100
NFC East Exact Order Of The Division
Philadelphia Eagles | Dallas Cowboys | New York Giants | Washington Commanders |
---|---|---|---|
1st (+120) | 1st (+120) | 1st (+1000) | 1st (+1000) |
2nd (+140) | 2nd (+140) | 2nd (+550) | 2nd (+550) |
3rd (+400) | 3rd (+400) | 3rd (+180) | 3rd (+180) |
4th (+2000) | 4th (+2000) | 4th (-110) | 4th (-110) |
Despite the odds being the same between Dallas and Philly, I like the Eagles to finish first in the NFC East and winning their 10th divisional title since 2002. Philly has more talent, an easier schedule and better coaching than Dallas does. There’s great value with the Eagles finishing first at +120 odds.
With Dallas pegged as the second-best team in the NFC East, it comes down to who will finish last: Giants or Commanders.
Washington has an easier schedule and more offensive talent than New York does. I think the Giants go 4-13 or 5-12 at best, and end up last in the division. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Giants challenge the NFC South Carolina Panthers for the worst record in the NFC. Washington should finish higher due to a tiebreaker or by picking up one more victory than the Giants.
Bet: Eagles 1st (+120), Cowboys 2nd (+140), Commanders 3rd (+180), Giants 4th (-110)
NFC East Division Top 2 Finishing Position
- Dallas Cowboys & Philadelphia Eagles (-230)
- Dallas Cowboys & New York Giants (+700)
- Dallas Cowboys & Washington Commanders (+700)
- Philadelphia Eagles & New York Giants (+700)
- Philadelphia Eagles & Washington Commanders (+700)
- New York Giants & Washington Commanders (+4500)
We started this NFC East preview by stating how the division will be a two-team race just like in the NFC North. And, all of our analysis has backed up this premise. The division is top-heavy with the Eagles and Cowboys having far more talent than the Giants and Commanders.
Oddsmakers have emphasized this fact by heavily favoring the Eagles and Cowboys to finish as the Top 2 NFC East teams. Although there’s no value, there’s also no scenario where these two teams don’t finish first and second.
Bet: Dallas Cowboys & Philadelphia Eagles (-230)