NFL Friday Week 1 Game: Packers vs. Eagles Odds and Predictions

On Friday, September 6, the NFL will be live from the Corinthians Arena in Sao Paulo, Brazil, as the Green Bay Packers take on the Philadelphia Eagles. This is the first time that the NFL will play a game in Brazil, let alone, South America.

In addition to the weekend festivities, Brazil’s Anitta will headline the Halftime Show. There will be musical and entertainment acts pre and postgame as well.

This will also be the first time that the NFL has played a Friday game on opening weekend since 1970. That year, the St. Louis Cardinals played against the Los Angeles Rams. For those wondering, the Rams won that game 34-13.

This week’s Friday game is not to be confused with the NFL Black Friday game which is becoming an annual tradition for the league as they look to take over the entire Thanksgiving Holiday weekend.

For the Green Bay Packers, this is the 10^th time in the last 12 years that they opened the season on the road. It includes six consecutive seasons as the road team. However, technically speaking, both teams are on the road for this game. Last time I checked, Green Bay and Philly were not in Brazil.

As for the game itself, both teams are NFC Championship contenders. A Week 1 win could go a long way toward winning their respective divisions and conference. Additionally, both teams are hoping to take that next step and get back to the Super Bowl.

When you add this Brazil game to the Thursday Night Football season kickoff of the Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs, the NFL has put together a very exciting 1-2 combo.

Let’s dive deeper into the latest NFL odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Week 1 NFL Predictions for the Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles.

What Channel Is NFL Friday Football On?

• Thursday Night Football Channel: Peacock
• Thursday Night Football Time: 8:15 p.m. EST
• Thursday Night Football Announcers: Noah Eagle and Todd Blackledge  

Friday Night Football Betting

Keep an eye on the latest NFL odds for FNF and monitor how the lines change throughout the week.

The Philadelphia Eagles opened as a -120 and -1.5 betting favorite. Both of those lines have shifted considerable since then. The Eagles are now a -150 favorite with a spread of -3 points. The Total opened at 48.5 points and has gone up slightly to an Over/Under of 49 points.

Friday Night Football Odds

The following Friday Night Football odds are courtesy of ScoresandStats:

The Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles will face each other for the 47^th time. The Packers hold the series advantage with a 28-18 record.

Green Bay has won three of the last five meetings. However, it was the Eagles who won their last matchup. The two teams last met in 2022, which Philly won 40-33.

The Eagles are 12-10 in home games against the Packers. However, Green Bay has won three of the last four meetings in Philly. The Packers have also scored 27 or more points in five straight games against the Eagles.

Green Bay head coach Matt LaFleur is 56-27, while Nick Sirianni is 34-17 in their respective careers. Against each other, Sirianni is 1-0. That’s also his only game against the Packers. LaFleur is 1-2 all-time against the Eagles.

Friday Night Football Betting Trends

Check out the following Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia betting trends:

Packers vs. Eagles Betting Trends

• Packers are 6-4 SU in last 10 meetings
• Packers are 6-4 ATS in last 10 games
• The Under is 7-3 in last 10 matchups

Green Bay Packers Betting Trends

• 4-1 SU in last five games
• 13-5 SU in last 18 September games
• 4-1 ATS in last five games
• 12-6 ATS in last 18 NFC games
• 2-4 ATS in last six NFC East games
• Over is 7-2 in last nine games
• Over is 6-1 in last seven road games

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends

• 1-6 SU in last seven games
• 6-0 SU in last six September games
• 6-0 SU in last six NFC North games
• 0-7 ATS in last seven games
• 0-5 ATS in last five NFC games
• 0-5 ATS in last five games as the favorite

Friday Night Football Predictions

Let’s take a closer look at some of the key matchups for this game as we make our NFL Friday game predictions. NFL stats are courtesy of TeamRankings and Pro Football Reference.

Packers Offense vs. Eagles Defense

Last year, the Green Bay Packers had a Top 10 offense for most major categories. They averaged 23.8 ppg (8^th), 348.3 total ypg (10^th), 2.8 TDs per game (7^th), and tallied a 47.97% third down conversion rate (3^rd).

Jordan Love took over as the franchise quarterback and had a stellar season with 4,625 yards, 37 TDs and 13 INTs. His maturation was the biggest factor as to why this team saw an accelerated timeline into NFC contention.

Additionally, the Packers discovered that they have a plethora of highly talented receivers. In fact, no other team is as deep at wide receiver as the Packers are with Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks, and Christian Watson. This quartet is in addition to the talented tight ends in Tucker Kraft and Luke Musgrave.

The Eagles have made numerous moves to try and shore up their secondary which was one of the worst in the league last year. Philly gave up 255.7 ypg (30^th), 38.2 passes a game (32^nd), and only had 6.39% sack rate (24^th). Philly gave up 25.6 ppg (30^th), 360 total ypg (26^th) and allowed 65% red zone touchdowns (29^th). No matter how you cut it, this unit was one of the worst in the league.  

Philly starts the season thin at safety and will need their corners to really step up. But, will the new additions be enough to slow down the Packers’ passing game?

Green Bay’s rushing attack was 14^th in the league last year at 114.9 yards per game. This year, they upgraded their backfield with the additions of free agent Josh Jacobs and rookie Marshawn Lloyd. Former running back mainstay Aaron Jones departed for the Vikings and AJ Dillon was put on IR for the season.

Philly had the 11^th best rushing defense last year allowing just 104.3 yards per game. This unit could be about the same this year, and with an improvement to the secondary, we could see a much better Eagles defense. However, this defense will be put to the test immediately on Friday.

Eagles Offense vs. Packers Defense

In addition to a terrible defense, the Eagles offense took a step backwards in production compared to their Super Bowl run two years ago. This step back actually cost them at the end of the season and in the Wild Card round where Philly was embarrassed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Eagles averaged 24.6 ppg (7^th), 350 total ypg (9^th), and 59.68% td scores in the red zone (9^th). Where they took a step back was in the individual facets of this offense. The passing game was 17^th at 226 yards per game and the rushing attack was 9^th at 124 yards per game.

In 2022, Philly had the 4^th best rushing attack at 152 ypg and the 9^th passing attack at 233.8 ypg. Although these numbers aren’t significantly different, they were still big enough to prevent the Eagles from winning the NFC East and advancing in the Playoffs. Additionally, it prompted the front office to make a major offseason move.

Enter, Saquon Barkley to lead the rushing game and help this offense become one of the best in the league. Barkley left the New York Giants to head to their divisional rival and he will certainly make this offense the most dangerous it’s been in recent memory.

Now, defenses will have to stop Barkley in the run game, out of the backfield, and watch for QB Jalen Hurts to scramble. That’s a lot to worry about, considering they also have to try and cover the talented receiving duo of AJ Brown and Devonta Smith.

Last year, D’Andre Swift finished with 1,083 yards rushing and another 246 yards receiving. He’s not playing for the Chicago Bears. However, I expect Barkley to easily surpass those numbers this season.

Green Bay’s defense was 22^nd in total yards allowed at 345.4 ypg and 13^th in points allowed at 21.4 ppg. However, they were 28^th against the run at 127.1 ypg and 13^th against the pass at 218.3 ypg. The Packers’ defense was a question mark last year and it ended up costing them the NFC Divisional Round game against the 49ers.

Like the Eagles, Green Bay also has numerous questions marks on the defensive side of the ball. However, they still should be better than Philly’s defense. But, will they be better than Philly’s offense?  

Who Wins: Packers or Eagles?

This Friday NFL game is going to be a lot of fun to watch, especially for fans of both teams. We should see the total come close to the O/U of 49, which means there will be plenty of scoring. Fans and fantasy football fanatics will love both.

The reality is that whichever team’s defense makes the timely stops, should win the game. I love what Philly has done by adding Barkley to the backfield. However, I don’t see how that defense is going to stifle this Packers offense.

The addition of Jacobs to the Green Bay backfield is almost as stunning as the addition of Barkley to Philly’s backfield. Additionally, the Packers are at least four deep at receiver, which will test every aspect of this Eagles’ secondary. As long as Jordan Love can stay upright, I see the Packers torching the Philly secondary.

Last year, the Packers were 11-8 ATS overall, 8-4 ATS as an Underdog, 6-5 ATS as a Road Team, and 5-3 ATS as the Road Underdog. With this explosive offense, deep rotation of talented receivers, and a legit dual threat running back in Jacobs, I’m taking the Packers to cover the 3-point spread and will place a flier on this team to win the game.

Bet: Green Bay Packers +3 (-110)

Friday Night Football Prop Bets

Check out our picks for the best Packers vs. Eagles Game and Player Prop bets:

Green Bay Packers Team Touchdowns

• Over 2.5 TDs (-120)
• Under 2.5 TDs (-110)

The Eagles are going to have to show me that this defense has improved from last year’s putrid season long performance. The Eagles’ secondary was arguably the worst in the league. Philly’s defense allowed 25.6 ppg last year and 3 TDs per game to opposing offenses. They gave up a 65% touchdown rate once the opposing offense got into the red zone.

Green Bay scored 23.8 ppg last season with 2.8 TDs per game. The addition of Josh Jacobs will improve the rushing TDs per game from 0.7 to at least 1.0 along with keeping opposing defenses honest by not dropping back seven into coverage.

The Packers have an O/U of 23.5 points for this game and I see them easily scoring 3 TDs on Friday against an Eagles defense that still has a lot to prove to bettors and detractors.

Bet: Over 2.5 TDs (-120)

Anytime Touchdown Scored

• Saquon Barkley (+100)
• Jalen Hurts (+110)
• Josh Jacobs (+100)

Just about every skilled player on both offenses is listed for this NFL prop bet. With that in mind, these are my three favorites to score a touchdown on Friday.

We already discussed how bad that Philly defense was last season, but they also gave up 4.3 yards per carry to opposing rushers and 0.7 rushing TDs per game. I see Jacobs getting at least one rushing TD this week, if not two or more total TDs against Philly.

Green Bay’s rushing defense was actually worse than Philly’s. They allowed 127.1 rushing yards per game which was 28^th in the league. They also allowed 0.9 rushing TDs per game, which was 24^th in the league last year.

Saquon Barkley scored 10 TDs last season in 14 games, which was an average of 0.71 TDs per game. Hurts rushed for 15 TDs last season, which was an average of 0.88 TDs per game. Both of them should be able to rush for a TD this week against a suspect Packers rushing defense.

Bet: Saquon Barkley (+100), Jalen Hurts (+110), Josh Jacobs (+100)

Jordan Love Passing Yards

• Over 257.5 yards (-110)
• Under 257.5 yards (-110)

Jordan Love averaged 244.6 passing yards per game last year, during the regular season. The terrible Eagles defense allowed 255.7 passing yards per game which was 30^th in the league. I see Love having a fantastic game on Friday.

Philly also gave up 360 total yards per game last year, but I see them allowing close to 400 yards in this week’s matchup. Love should flirt with 300 yards passing with this explosive passing game and a Philly secondary that has a lot to prove.

Bet: Over 257.5 yards (-110)

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards

• Over 15.5 yards (-110)
• Under 15.5 yards (-110)

Barkley averaged 20 receiving yards per game last year. For his career, he’s averaged 28.4 receiving yards per game. Against the Packers, Barkley only averaged 9.2 yards per game in three contests. However, that was with the anemic New York Giants offense.

I fully expect the Eagles talented receivers of Brown and Smith to stretch the field. This will open up the underneath for Hurts to dump it off to Barkley. Look for Saquon to easily eclipse this mark on Friday.

Bet: Over 15.5 yards (-110)

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards

• Over 64.5 yards (-110)
• Under 64.5 yards (-110)

Although Barkley only averaged 9.2 receiving ypg against the Packers, he does have a 79.7 rushing ypg average versus Green Bay. Last year, when the Giants played the Packers, Barkley finished with 86 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns.

Last season, with every defense stacking the box to stop Barkley, he still finished with 68.7 rushing yards per game. The Packers allowed 127.1 yards per game last year, which was 28^th in the league.

This looks like a great opportunity for Barkley to put up close to 100 rushing yards on Friday as he should have his way with an inferior Packers rushing defense.

Bet: Over 64.5 yards (-110)

Jordan Love Rushing Yards

• Over 6.5 yards (-110)
• Under 6.5 yards (-110)

With the Packers featuring a balanced offense, the Eagles defense will most likely be all over the place trying to stop Green Bay. I highly doubt that they will be keeping their eyes on Jordan Love coming out of the backfield.

Last year, Love averaged 14.5 rushing yards per game during the regular season. He surpassed the 6.5 yards mark in 11 of the 17 regular season contests. I expect Love to go Over 6.5 yards in the first half of the game and most likely flirt with 20 yards on the ground against this Eagles defense.

Bet: Over 6.5 yards (-110)

Best Bets For Friday Night Football

The best bets for Friday Night Football are as follows:

• Green Bay Packers +3 (-110)
• Saquon Barkley Over 64.5 rushing yards (-110)
• Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (+100)

Not only do I think Green Bay can win this game, but I believe they will easily cover the 3-point spread. The Packers were 8-4 ATS as an Underdog last year. Additionally, they’re 6-3 ATS in their last nine games versus the Eagles.

Last year, Green Bay’s defense allowed 2.3 TDs per game and 0.9 rushing TDs per game. Barkley averages 1.0 TDs scored against the Packers. He also averages 79.7 rushing yards per game against Green Bay. The Packers gave up 127.1 rushing ypg and 4.5 yards per carry last season. Barkley only need 15 carries to surpass the Over based on those numbers.

Barkley going Over 64.5 rushing yards against the 28^th rushing defense from last season, is my favorite bet for this Friday NFL game in Brazil.