2024 NFL Week 13 Odds and Predictions

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As the 2024 NFL season rolls into Week 13, just about every game feels like a playoff matchup. Teams are battling for seeding or simply trying to stay in contention, and this week delivers a slate of matchups with significant implications. From Thanksgiving’s traditional showdowns to a Monday night clash in Denver, Week 13 promises excitement across the board.

Let’s take a detailed look at the schedule, odds, and predictions for each game, complete with NFL analysis, betting trends, and best bets.

NFL Week 13 Schedule

NFL Week 13 Predictions

Let’s take a gander at the NFL odds for every matchup in Week 13 and find our best bets for the holiday week.

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions Odds

The Detroit Lions are playing like one of the NFC’s top teams in 2024, especially at Ford Field, where their offense has been a nightmare for opposing defenses. Jared Goff continues to lead a well-balanced attack, while the dynamic backfield of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery consistently keeps defenses guessing.

On the other side, the Chicago Bears are navigating the growing pains of rookie quarterback Caleb Williams. While the No. 1 overall pick has shown flashes of brilliance, his inexperience and struggles with turnovers have hampered Chicago’s ability to compete against top-tier teams like Detroit.

The Bears’ defense will have their hands full trying to contain the Lions’ “Sonic & Knuckles” backfield of Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. Montgomery’s bruising running style pairs perfectly with Gibbs’ electric speed and receiving ability, making them one of the most dynamic backfield duos in the league. Chicago has struggled to stop the run in 2024, and Detroit’s ability to rotate between Montgomery’s power and Gibbs’ explosiveness could lead to a long day for the Bears’ front seven.

On offense, Caleb Williams will look to continue building his chemistry with veteran wideout Keenan Allen, who had a standout performance in Week 12’s heartbreaking overtime loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Allen hauled in 9 catches (15 targets!) for 86 yards and a touchdown in that game, reminding everyone why he’s still one of the best route runners in the league. For a rookie quarterback like Williams, Allen’s reliability and ability to create separation have been crucial. However, facing a Lions defense that thrives on pressure and disrupts timing, the Bears will need Williams and Allen to be in sync to have any chance of keeping pace.

Ultimately, Detroit’s ability to control the clock with their backfield will likely be too much for Chicago to handle. By dominating time of possession, the Lions can keep Caleb Williams and the Bears’ offense off the field, forcing the rookie quarterback into difficult comeback situations. Detroit’s opportunistic defense, which excels at creating turnovers, will further complicate matters for Williams as he faces one of the toughest tests of his young career.

Predictions:

• Spread: Lions -10 (-112) – The Lions’ offensive firepower and aggressive defense make it likely they’ll cover this large spread. Chicago has struggled to stay competitive against playoff-caliber opponents.
• Moneyline: Lions (-500) – Detroit’s balance on offense and defense makes them the clear pick to win outright. While the moneyline has little value, it’s a safe play for parlays.
• Total: Under 48.5 (-108) – Although Detroit should score consistently, Chicago’s inability to sustain drives will likely keep the total under the number.

Betting Trends:

• The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• The Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.
• The total has gone under in 5 of Detroit’s last 6 games.

Prediction: Lions 30, Bears 14
Best Bet: Lions -10 (-112)

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds

The Week 13 clash between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants will feature both teams relying on backup quarterbacks. For Dallas, Cooper Rush will take the reins under center, filling in for an injured Dak Prescott. Rush has proven to be a reliable game manager in the past, and this will be his third start of the 2024 season.

Meanwhile, the Giants are dealing with uncertainty at quarterback as Tommy DeVito is battling a forearm injury. If DeVito is healthy enough to play, he’ll make his second start of the campaign. However, if he’s unable to go, New York will turn to Drew Lock, who hasn’t started a game all season. With both teams relying on reserves at the most important position, this matchup could come down to which defense steps up in the critical moments.

Dallas enters this matchup fresh off a wild win in Washington last week, where Cooper Rush and some special teams plays helped the Cowboys edge out a thrilling 34-26 victory. However, despite their road success, the Cowboys remain winless at home this season—a surprising statistic for a team that typically thrives at AT&T Stadium. With Thanksgiving magic in the air, Dallas will look to break their home losing streak and secure their first win at home since last year. A strong defensive effort and steady play from Rush could help the Cowboys finally give their fans something to celebrate in Arlington.

On the other side, the Giants are firmly in rebuild mode and appear to be tanking in hopes of landing one of the top quarterbacks in the 2025 draft class, with Colorado’s Shedeur Sanders among the potential targets. Regardless of whether DeVito or Lock starts under center, the Giants are unlikely to put forth much of an effort as their focus seems to have shifted to the future. Adding to the chaos, tensions between the team and head coach Brian Daboll have reportedly grown, with many believing his days in New York are numbered. It’s a tough spot for a franchise that entered the season with playoff aspirations but now finds itself spiraling toward the league’s basement.

I think Dallas will win this one, and you can argue the 3.5-point spread is too small given the toxic status of the Giants’ locker room.

Predictions:

• Spread: Cowboys -3.5 (-110) – Dallas’ defense will create havoc for the Giants’ offensive line, helping them cover this modest spread.
• Moneyline: Cowboys (-185) – Dallas hasn’t won at home, but there’s a first time for everything.
• Total: Over 37.5 (-112) – Dallas’ efficient offense could push this game over, even if the Giants fail to contribute much.

Betting Trends:

• The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
• The Giants are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.
• The total has gone over in 5 of the last 7 matchups between these two teams.

Prediction: Cowboys 27, Giants 17
Best Bet: Cowboys -3.5 (-110)

Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers Odds

The Miami Dolphins could face serious challenges generating offense at Lambeau Field, as frigid conditions are expected in Green Bay. Miami’s explosive, speed-based attack—headlined by Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle—relies heavily on timing and precision, which could be disrupted by the chilly weather.

Additionally, quarterback (and Hawaii native) Tua Tagovailoa has historically struggled in cold environments, and the Dolphins’ lack of a consistent running game could leave them one-dimensional against Green Bay’s tough defense. These factors give the Packers a significant edge at home, where their physical style of play is tailor-made for November football.

The Green Bay Packers are coming off an impressive win over the 49ers last week, highlighted by Josh Jacobs’ dominant three-touchdown performance. Jacobs powered the Packers’ offense with a combination of tough runs and red-zone efficiency, reminding everyone why he’s one of the NFL’s premier running backs. Despite Miami’s solid defensive efforts this season, they’ll have their hands full containing Jacobs in cold weather conditions that favor a physical ground game. While the Packers are still in the thick of the NFC playoff race, they remain behind the Lions and Vikings in the stacked NFC North, making this a must-win to keep pace.

The spread for this game is surprisingly tight, but it’s easy to see why the Packers have the edge. On a short week, Miami could be in for a no-show performance, especially with their speed-based offense likely neutralized by the frigid conditions at Lambeau Field. The Packers thrive in these late-season, cold-weather games, and their home crowd will be rocking on Thanksgiving night. That said, Miami has looked better since Tua came back, and they’re good enough to keep this one competitive enough to pull off the cover on the road.

Predictions:

• Spread: Dolphins +3.5 (-115) – Miami’s offensive firepower could allow them to keep this game close, even if Green Bay ultimately prevails.
• Moneyline: Packers (-175) – Green Bay’s defense and home-field advantage give them the edge to win outright in a close contest.
• Total: Under 47 (-112) – The Packers’ ability to slow the game down, coupled with cold weather conditions, makes the under the better play.

Betting Trends:

• The Dolphins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• The total has gone under in 4 of Green Bay’s last 5 games.

Prediction: Packers 23, Dolphins 20
Best Bet: Dolphins +3.5 (-115)

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds

The Las Vegas Raiders could see 2nd-year quarterback Aidan O’Connell return from a thumb injury just in time to lead them into a daunting matchup against the Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead. Kansas City improved to 10-1 last week with a surprisingly narrow overtime victory over the Panthers, but they’re massive favorites in this AFC West clash. With a spread approaching two touchdowns—the largest of Week 13—the oddsmakers expect the Chiefs to throttle a struggling Vegas team.

The Chiefs can likely afford to take their foot off the gas as the playoffs near, but we’re not quite at that point in the season yet. That said, Kansas City played a surprisingly close game in Vegas just a few weeks ago, squeaking out a win in a game many expected to be a blowout. Despite their 10-1 record, this Chiefs team hasn’t consistently looked like the dominant squad capable of covering a massive spread like this one. With the Raiders potentially getting Aidan O’Connell back and Kansas City focusing more on the long haul, this matchup could end up being more competitive than the oddsmakers anticipate.

Asking the Raiders to stay competitive on the road against the Chiefs is a tall task, especially with Kansas City rolling at 10-1. However, this spread is far larger than what you typically see in the NFL, even in lopsided matchups. Divisional games and rivalry matchups like this one tend to be more competitive than expected, and the Chiefs have already shown this season that they’re not immune to close calls against lesser opponents. While Kansas City has the firepower to dominate, history suggests the Raiders may keep this game closer than the odds imply.

Predictions:

• Spread: Chiefs -12.5 (-108) – KC hasn’t been a dominant offense this season, so Vegas can cover this big margin.
• Moneyline: Chiefs (-700) – The Chiefs are unlikely to lose outright in such a lopsided matchup.
• Total: Over 42.5 (-110) – Kansas City’s offense should score enough points to push this game over, even if the Raiders struggle to contribute.

Betting Trends:

• The Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against AFC opponents.
• The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• The total has gone over in 6 of Kansas City’s last 8 games against the Raiders.

Prediction: Chiefs 34, Raiders 24
Best Bet: Raiders +12.5 (-112)

Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Jets Odds

The Seattle Seahawks are coming off a gritty, low-scoring win over the Arizona Cardinals in rainy conditions last week, while the Jets continue to flounder with their season heading nowhere fast after the bye. Oddsmakers had been bullish on the New York Jets for much of the season, but after repeated disappointments, they’ve finally cooled on New York. Seattle comes in as a slight favorite—about a field goal—despite having to travel cross-country. With a balanced offense and a defense that continues to improve, the Seahawks look like the better bet against a Jets team that hasn’t solved its offensive woes.

The Aaron Rodgers era in New York seems to be heading toward a quick and unremarkable end. While Rodgers has stated he wants to play next season, reports suggest it won’t be with the Jets. For now, the team continues to start him, but Tyrod Taylor looms as a potential replacement if the struggles persist. If things go poorly for Rodgers and the Jets again this week, it wouldn’t be shocking to see the veteran benched in favor of Taylor as the team looks to salvage any momentum heading into the offseason.

The Seahawks remain firmly in the thick of the NFC West race, and their passing game could be a major problem for the Jets. While New York’s defense was expected to be a strength this season, they’ve failed to meet expectations, particularly in critical moments. Containing Seattle’s trio of DK Metcalf, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Tyler Lockett will be a tough challenge for a Jets secondary that has been inconsistent. If Geno Smith has time to operate, this passing attack could give New York all kinds of headaches.

This spread is too tight given the state of the Jets. West Coast teams traveling across the country generally struggle to adapt to the new time zone, but I can’t in good faith recommend betting on the Jets.

Spread: Seahawks -2.5 (-110) – Seattle’s offensive balance should give them the edge in a tight game, while the Jets’ offense continues to struggle generating points.
Moneyline: Seahawks (-135) – Seattle’s ability to make key plays on offense, paired with their edge at quarterback, makes them the safer outright pick.
Total: Under 41.5 (-108) – With both teams featuring top-10 defenses and the Jets’ offensive inefficiency, this game should stay well under the total.

Betting Trends:

• The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against AFC opponents.
• The Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the Jets’ last 5 games at home.

Prediction: Seahawks 20, Jets 13
Best Bet: Seahawks -2.5 (-110)

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds

The Houston Texans are coming off a shocking upset loss at home to the Tennessee Titans last week, a game where Houston’s offense looked uncharacteristically flat. Now, they’ll look to bounce back on the road in Jacksonville against a Jaguars team that appears to be playing out the string. Doug Pederson’s job security is a growing question mark, with many around the league viewing him as a “dead man walking.” While Jacksonville has young talent to build on, this season seems to have slipped away, and the focus may already be shifting toward 2025.

It’s worth wondering whether the Jaguars view Trevor Lawrence as a potential lost cause. While the third-year quarterback isn’t committing many turnovers, the offense has failed to live up to expectations for the second straight season. Lawrence’s development seems to have stalled, and Jacksonville’s inability to consistently score points is raising serious concerns about the team’s long-term direction. With Pederson’s future in doubt, the Jaguars may need to decide whether they can build around Lawrence or if it’s time to consider other options.

C.J. Stroud’s second NFL season has been a bumpy ride, due in large part to a Texans offensive line that has struggled to protect him consistently. However, this matchup against a vulnerable Jaguars defense presents a prime bounce-back opportunity. Jacksonville’s secondary has been picked apart on a weekly basis, failing to contain opposing passing games. If Houston’s offensive line can hold up against the Jags’ pass rush, Stroud should have time to connect with Nico Collins, who could be poised for a big boom performance against this shaky unit.

The spread feels a bit large given Houston’s recent struggles, especially after last week’s shocking loss to Tennessee. However, it’s hard to imagine the Texans dropping a second straight divisional game against a weaker foe. Despite their issues, Houston has more talent on both sides of the ball, and this matchup against a struggling Jaguars team gives them a prime opportunity to get back on track.

Spread: Texans -5 (-110) – Houston’s ability to capitalize on turnovers and control the pace of the game should help them cover this number.
Moneyline: Texans (-218) – Houston’s defensive advantage and better overall consistency make them the safer pick.
Total: Over 43.5 (-105) – Both teams have the capability to put up points, especially with Jacksonville’s tendency to play from behind.

Betting Trends:

• The Texans are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
• The Jaguars are 3-5 ATS in their last 8 games at home.
• The total has gone over in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams.

Prediction: Texans 27, Jaguars 20
Best Bet: Texans -5 (-110)

Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders Odds

The Washington Commanders are coming off a wild, high-scoring loss to the Cowboys last week, where special teams mistakes proved costly in a 34-31 defeat. Now riding a three-game losing streak, Washington will look to get back into the win column with a winnable matchup at home against the scuffling Titans. Tennessee’s inconsistent offense and shaky defense give the Commanders a good chance to snap their skid, provided they can clean up their mistakes and capitalize on opportunities.

The Titans are coming off a surprising 32-27 upset victory over the Texans in Houston, a game where their offense showed signs of life. Will Levis has looked like a different player since returning from a shoulder injury, throwing 5 touchdowns to just 2 interceptions over his last three games. His improved play has given Tennessee’s offense some much-needed stability, and they’ll look to carry that momentum into Washington as they aim for a second straight win against a Commanders team desperate to snap a three-game losing streak.

Slowing down mobile, run-first quarterbacks has been a recurring issue for Tennessee’s defense this season, and they’ll face another challenge in Commanders QB Jayden Daniels. Last week, Daniels finally got things going on the ground, scoring his first rushing touchdown since Week 4 in Washington’s loss to Dallas. He also added two touchdown passes, connecting with Zach Ertz and Terry McLaurin. While the Titans did a fine job of containing C.J. Stroud in their upset win over Houston, keeping Daniels and Washington’s offense in check will be a much taller task, especially with the Commanders’ recent success at spreading the ball around.

This game has plenty of shootout potential, as both young quarterbacks—Jayden Daniels for Washington and Will Levis for Tennessee—are capable of making big plays. The Commanders’ offense showed flashes of explosiveness last week against Dallas, while the Titans are coming off a 32-point performance in Houston. With both defenses struggling to consistently contain opposing offenses, this feels like a matchup where points could come in bunches. At a 44.5 over/under, the over looks like a solid play in what could turn into an exciting back-and-forth affair.

Spread: Commanders -5.5 (-112) – Washington’s defense should dominate Tennessee’s offense, giving them a comfortable margin to cover.
Moneyline: Commanders (-250) – The Commanders are in better form and playing at home, making them the safer pick to win outright.
Total: Over 44.5 (-112) – Both young QBs come into this game in solid form, so I think the over looks like the play on an attackable total.

Betting Trends:

• The Commanders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
• The total has gone under in 6 of Tennessee’s last 8 games.

Prediction: Commanders 30, Titans 21
Best Bet: Over 44.5 (-112)

Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds

The Cardinals are fresh off a sloppy loss in Seattle last week, where turnovers and missed opportunities plagued their effort in a divisional matchup. They’ll stay on the road this week, heading to Minnesota to face a Vikings team that pulled out a hard-fought overtime win in Chicago against the Bears. Sam Darnold stepped up, helping Minnesota improve to 9-2 on the season. Despite their strong record, the Vikings remain just a game behind the Lions in the hyper-competitive NFC North, making this a critical matchup as they push for the division lead.

The Vikings have been one of the toughest teams in the league against the run this season, which could spell trouble for the Cardinals if they can’t get James Conner going. Conner had a rough outing last week in Seattle, managing just 8 yards on 7 carries in a game where Arizona’s offense sputtered. Despite his struggles, the Cardinals will likely try to establish the run early to take some pressure off Kyler Murray. However, if Conner and the ground game can’t find success, Arizona could be in for a long afternoon against a Vikings team that thrives on forcing opponents into predictable passing situations.

The Vikings have continued to find success this season, even during a down year for star receiver Justin Jefferson. Jefferson caught just 2 of 5 targets for 27 yards in last week’s win over the Bears and hasn’t topped 100 yards receiving in any of his last three games. Fortunately for Minnesota, their offense has plenty of other weapons. Second-year wideout Jordan Addison exploded for 162 yards on 8 catches with a touchdown last week, showcasing his big-play ability. Meanwhile, Aaron Jones provided balance on the ground, rushing for over 100 yards and finding the end zone. This versatility has been key to the Vikings’ offensive success, even when Jefferson isn’t at his best.

Spread: Vikings -3.5 (-108) – Minnesota’s offense is too strong for Arizona’s struggling secondary, making them a good bet to cover the number.
Moneyline: Vikings (-180) – At home, Minnesota’s offense and a serviceable defense make them the better overall team.
Total: Over 45 (-110) – Both teams have the ability to score quickly, especially with Arizona’s defensive struggles.

Betting Trends:

• The Vikings are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
• The Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
• The total has gone over in 5 of Arizona’s last 7 road games.

Prediction: Vikings 28, Cardinals 21
Best Bet: Vikings -3.5 (-108)

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Odds

The Pittsburgh Steelers are on the heels of a tough loss in a blizzard last Thursday in Cleveland, where they struggled to generate offense in brutal conditions. This week, they’ll look to bounce back against another AFC North rival in the Cincinnati Bengals. The loss marked Russell Wilson’s first as Pittsburgh’s starting quarterback, and he’ll face another stiff test against a rested Cincinnati squad coming off a much-needed bye. With the Bengals still in the playoff hunt and the Steelers looking to stay competitive in the division, this game carries significant stakes for both teams.

The Bengals have endured a string of heartbreaking, high-scoring losses, and their potent offense alone explains why this game carries a high 47 over/under. Cincinnati was last in action two weeks ago, falling by a touchdown to the Chargers in Los Angeles. Joe Burrow has been sensational despite the team’s struggles, throwing 7 touchdowns since his last interception. Over his last three games, Burrow has accounted for 12 touchdowns to just 1 pick, solidifying his place as one of the league’s most efficient quarterbacks. Against a Steelers defense that has shown cracks recently, Burrow could be in line for another big day.

The Bengals’ secondary has been highly vulnerable this season, making this a great bounce-back spot for George Pickens. The Steelers’ top wideout had a quiet outing last week in Cleveland, finishing with just 4 catches for 48 yards in the blizzard. However, Cincinnati’s defense has routinely been gashed through the air, allowing explosive plays to opposing passing games. Russell Wilson has yet to eclipse 300 passing yards since joining Pittsburgh, but this matchup provides a golden opportunity for him to break through. If the Steelers can protect Wilson against the Bengals’ pass rush, this could be the week their aerial attack finally clicks.

While the Steelers aren’t built to be a high-scoring offense, the Bengals seem to find themselves in shootouts almost every week. Cincinnati’s potent offense and vulnerable defense often lead to back-and-forth games, and this matchup has the potential to follow that trend. While Pittsburgh typically prefers a slower, more methodical pace, this feels like a game where both teams could do some offensive damage. With Joe Burrow playing at an elite level and Russell Wilson showing signs of settling into the Steelers’ system, the over on 47 is very much in play—even if it’s not the style Pittsburgh usually embraces.

Spread: Bengals -3 (-102) – Cincinnati’s offense should be able to move the ball effectively against the Steelers’ defense, and a late score could help them cover.
Moneyline: Bengals (-155) – Joe Burrow’s ability to create big plays, combined with home-field advantage, makes the Bengals the safer pick.
Total: Over 47 (-110) – I think this is another game with shootout potential, especially given the way Cincinnati plays.

Betting Trends:

• The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• The Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on the road.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams.

Prediction: Bengals 30, Steelers 27
Best Bet: Over 47 (-110)

Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots Odds

The Indianapolis Colts are looking to rebound after falling at home to the juggernaut Lions last week in a game where their offense took a noticeable step back following a promising Week 11 performance. Meanwhile, the New England Patriots were thoroughly outclassed in Miami, getting their doors blown off by the Dolphins in a lopsided loss. New England is firmly in rebuild mode, but rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown flashes of brilliance despite the team’s struggles. Maye’s ability to extend plays and push the ball downfield gives the Patriots hope for the future, though consistency remains a work in progress.

The Patriots’ defense is a far cry from the dominant units we saw during Bill Belichick’s heyday, making this a prime bounce-back spot for Anthony Richardson. The Colts’ rookie quarterback has flashed his dual-threat ability this season, and two weeks ago against the Jets, he rushed for two touchdowns while adding another through the air. This matchup sets up well for Richardson to make plays both on the ground and through the air against a rebuilding New England defense. Additionally, don’t be surprised if Jonathan Taylor has a big game. The star running back was bottled up by Detroit last week, finishing with just 35 yards on 11 carries, but he should have plenty of opportunities to get back on track against a Patriots front that has struggled to stop the run.

While the Colts’ offense has some intriguing playmakers, it’s hard to trust them to deliver a massive explosion, especially with their recent inconsistencies. On the other side, New England’s offense has struggled to gain any traction and will likely face an uphill battle against a Colts defense that has been stout in key moments. With both teams showing limitations offensively, the over/under of 42.5 may still be a touch too high. Expect a slower-paced, low-scoring affair—bet the under.

Spread: Colts -3 (-102) – Indianapolis has the offensive balance to outlast New England, whose offense hasn’t been able to keep games close.
Moneyline: Colts (-148) – The Colts’ superior roster and ability to finish drives make them the safer outright pick.
Total: Under 42.5 (-112) – With New England’s offensive struggles and Indianapolis’ methodical pace, expect a lower-scoring affair.

Betting Trends:

• The Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
• The Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• The total has gone under in 5 of New England’s last 6 games.

Prediction: Colts 23, Patriots 13
Best Bet: Under 42.5 (-112)

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds

The Los Angeles Chargers are coming off a tough home loss to the Baltimore Ravens last week, where they fell short in a closely contested matchup. This week, they’ll face another bird-themed foe as they travel to Atlanta to take on the Falcons. Coming off their bye week, the Falcons will look to get back on track and continue their pursuit of a playoff spot in the wide-open NFC South. With fresh legs and playoff aspirations, Atlanta will aim to take advantage of a Chargers team that has struggled to find consistency this season.

Justin Herbert has found his groove after a slow start to the season, but his supporting cast has had its ups and downs. Rookie wideout Quentin Johnston had a rough outing on Monday Night Football, failing to catch any of his five targets and dropping three of them. Despite those struggles, this week’s matchup presents a great opportunity for Johnston to bounce back. The Falcons’ secondary has allowed opposing receivers to post gaudy numbers throughout the season, making this a favorable spot for the TCU product to redeem himself and provide Herbert with another reliable option.

The Chargers’ defense has been stingy under head coach Jim Harbaugh, often scheming to neutralize the opposing team’s primary playmaker. This week, that focus is likely to fall on Bijan Robinson, who has already surpassed 200 touches this season as Atlanta’s offensive centerpiece. If Los Angeles can successfully bottle up Robinson, it will put more pressure on Kirk Cousins to deliver a big performance through the air. While Cousins has been solid since joining the Falcons, leaning too heavily on the passing game hasn’t been Atlanta’s recipe for success, making this a key area to watch in the matchup.

Spread: Chargers -2 (-110) – Justin Herbert’s ability to make plays under pressure gives the Chargers the edge in a must-win game.
Moneyline: Chargers (-130) – Los Angeles’ explosive offense is likely to outscore the Falcons in what could be a close contest.
Total: Over 48 (-108) – With two struggling defenses and capable offenses, this game has shootout potential.

Betting Trends:

• The Chargers are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
• The total has gone over in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games.

Prediction: Chargers 30, Falcons 27
Best Bet: Over 48 (-108)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers Odds

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are riding high after dismantling the Giants at the Meadowlands last week in a dominant performance. This week, they’ll aim to keep the momentum going as they head to Carolina to face the Panthers. While the Panthers won’t be punching a playoff ticket this season, they’ve shown signs of progress, particularly with Bryce Young leading the way. Last week, Carolina took the powerhouse Chiefs to overtime, ultimately falling short but delivering an impressive showing from a young team on both sides of the ball. If the Panthers can build on that performance, they could give the Bucs a tougher fight than expected.

Baker Mayfield likely won’t win MVP this season, but his name deserves to be in the conversation. The veteran quarterback delivered another sterling performance last week, throwing for nearly 300 yards and adding a rushing touchdown in the Bucs’ rout of the Giants. Most of Tampa Bay’s offensive damage came on the ground, as Rachaad White, Sean Tucker, and Bucky Irving all found the end zone with rushing scores. The return of Mike Evans from a hamstring injury also provided a boost. While Evans had a quiet outing, his presence alone stretched the field and opened up opportunities for the rest of Tampa Bay’s offense. With Mayfield in command and the rushing game clicking, the Bucs look poised to keep rolling.

Bryce Young’s rookie season has been a rollercoaster, with just 5 touchdowns compared to 6 interceptions so far. However, his performance last week against Kansas City’s vaunted defense was encouraging, as he threw for 263 yards in a hard-fought overtime loss. Young doesn’t look as skittish in the pocket as he did earlier in the season before his brief benching, showing signs of improvement that suggest the former No. 1 pick isn’t a lost cause just yet. Against Tampa Bay, look for Carolina to try and assert their will on the ground with Chuba Hubbard, who has emerged as the Panthers’ most reliable offensive weapon all year long.

Taking the Panthers to pull off the upset at home is somewhat tempting after their impressive showing against the Chiefs last week, but it’s hard to bet against the Buccaneers right now. Tampa Bay has momentum on their side, with Baker Mayfield playing at a high level and the offense firing on all cylinders. While Carolina has shown flashes of improvement, I buy what the Bucs are selling. Look for Tampa Bay to keep things rolling with another road win.

Spread: Buccaneers -6 (-110) – Carolina’s struggles on both sides of the ball make it hard to see them keeping this game close.
Moneyline: Buccaneers (-265) – Tampa Bay’s superior defense and better quarterback play make them the clear pick.
Total: Under 46.5 (-110) – With Carolina struggling to score and Tampa Bay relying on their defense, this game should fall short of the total.

Betting Trends:

• The Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the Panthers.
• The Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the Buccaneers’ last 5 games.

Prediction: Buccaneers 24, Panthers 13
Best Bet: Buccaneers -6 (-110)

Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints Odds

The Los Angeles Rams were dealt a tough home loss to the Philadelphia Eagles last week, where their defense was gashed by Saquon Barkley, who rushed for over 250 yards. Now, they’ll face a similarly dynamic challenge in Alvin Kamara as they head to New Orleans. The Saints are fresh off their bye week and will look to feed Kamara, who has been the centerpiece of their offense this season. With Los Angeles struggling to contain elite playmakers, this matchup could tilt in New Orleans’ favor if Kamara is able to exploit the Rams’ defensive vulnerabilities.

Alvin Kamara got off to a red-hot start this season, scoring 6 touchdowns through the Saints’ first four games. However, he’s cooled off considerably, failing to find the end zone in any of the last five games—a surprising drought for one of the NFL’s most versatile weapons. While Kamara has struggled to finish drives, Taysom Hill stole the spotlight in the Saints’ Week 11 win over the Browns. Hill delivered a jaw-dropping performance, scoring three touchdowns on just seven carries while racking up an absurd 138 rushing yards. With Hill’s dynamic role and Kamara’s ability to break out at any moment, the Saints have multiple ways to attack a Rams defense that has struggled against explosive playmakers.

The Rams remain on the fringes of the playoff picture, thanks in part to Matthew Stafford’s quietly solid season. Stafford has been on fire recently, throwing 6 touchdown passes over the last two games and surpassing 200 passing yards in five straight contests. Meanwhile, the Saints’ defense, which looked impressive during a 2-0 start, has struggled in recent weeks, allowing big plays and failing to contain opposing quarterbacks. With this game taking place in the Superdome, where offense tends to thrive, there’s definite track meet potential as two capable offenses square off in a fast-paced environment.

The implied total for this game sits at 48.5, which is on the higher side for the week, but it still doesn’t feel high enough given the circumstances. With Stafford playing at a high level and the Saints featuring playmakers like Kamara and Hill, this matchup has all the makings of a shootout in the fast-paced Superdome environment. Both defenses have struggled recently, making the over a great play in what could easily turn into a high-scoring affair.

Spread: Rams -3 (-102) – The Rams’ offense is in better form and should be able to take advantage of New Orleans’ defensive lapses.
Moneyline: Rams (-155) – With better quarterback play and more reliable scoring options, the Rams are the safer pick outright.
Total: Over 48.5 (-110) – Both teams have offensive potential, and this game could turn into a shootout late.

Betting Trends:

• The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• The Saints are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.
• The total has gone over in 4 of the Rams’ last 5 games.

Prediction: Rams 31, Saints 24
Best Bet: Over 48.5 (-110)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens Odds

This game could be one of the highlights of the week, as two powerhouse teams square off. This Week 13 matchup between the Ravens and Eagles could be a potential Super Bowl 59 preview as two of the league’s top teams face off in a “bird battle.” Both teams are riding high after primetime victories over Los Angeles squads in Week 12. The Ravens defeated the Chargers on Monday Night Football, while the Eagles dominated the Rams on Sunday Night Football. Beyond the implications for playoff positioning, this game could play a significant role in the MVP race. Saquon Barkley and Lamar Jackson have both been sensational this season, and their performances here could determine who enters Week 14 as the frontrunner for the league’s top individual honor.

Saquon Barkley has been on an absolute tear, putting together back-to-back monster performances. Last week, he rushed for 255 yards and two touchdowns in the Eagles’ dominant win over the Rams. The week before, he shredded Washington for 146 yards and two more scores. Barkley has already surpassed 1,300 rushing yards with 10 touchdowns on the year, keeping him on pace for a potential 2,000-yard season. If he hits that milestone, his MVP case would be nearly impossible to ignore, especially as the centerpiece of one of the NFL’s top teams.

The Eagles will hope to have DeVonta Smith back in the lineup after he missed last week’s game with an injury. Even if Smith remains sidelined, the Ravens will have their hands full trying to contain Barkley and AJ Brown. Brown continued his stellar season last week, hauling in over 100 receiving yards and a touchdown against the Rams. With Baltimore’s defense giving up big plays throughout the season, both Barkley and Brown have the potential to cause serious damage, making this a tough matchup for the Ravens’ secondary.

Lamar Jackson is putting together one of the best seasons of his career, already surpassing 3,000 passing yards with 27 touchdowns to just 3 interceptions. He’s eclipsed last year’s passing touchdown total, showing significant growth as a passer while running less than in previous seasons. A big reason for that shift is Derrick Henry, who has been a perfect fit alongside Lamar in the Ravens’ backfield. Henry has rushed for over 1,300 yards with 13 touchdowns, quietly building his own MVP case. However, Jackson’s stellar play has largely overshadowed Henry’s contributions, making it easy to overlook just how valuable both have been to Baltimore’s success this season.

Simply put, I don’t think the Ravens should be favored in this matchup, even at home. The Eagles have won seven straight games and arguably have the best case as the NFL’s top team outside of Detroit. Philly’s dominance on both sides of the ball, combined with their ability to win in a variety of ways, makes them tough to bet against. I’ll gladly jump at the chance to back the Eagles as an underdog here and grab the value while it’s available.

Spread: Eagles +3 (-115) – You can argue Philly shouldn’t be an underdog against anyone as they ride a 7-game winning streak.
Moneyline: Eagles (+130) – Baltimore’s defensive struggles give me confidence in the Eagles to put points on the board.
Total: Over 51 (-108) – Both offenses are too good to expect anything but a shootout in this one.

Betting Trends:

• The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• The Eagles are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games as road underdogs.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the Eagles’ last 5 games.

Prediction: Eagles 34, Ravens 31
Best Bet: Eagles ML (+130)

San Francisco 49ers vs. Buffalo Bills Odds

The San Francisco 49ers are reeling after last week’s blowout loss to the Packers in Green Bay, a game where Brock Purdy was sidelined with a shoulder injury. If there were any lingering doubts about Purdy’s effectiveness and value to the team, last week’s performance likely silenced them. San Francisco’s offense looked disjointed without their young quarterback under center, underscoring his importance. Purdy’s status for this week’s matchup in Buffalo remains uncertain, and the hefty 7-point spread reflects that uncertainty. If Purdy is cleared to play, it wouldn’t be surprising to see that spread shrink significantly, as his presence would give the 49ers a much better chance to compete.

If Purdy is unable to play, the 49ers will likely turn to Brandon Allen for another start under center. However, perhaps the bigger concern for San Francisco is the form of Christian McCaffrey. Since returning from Achilles issues, McCaffrey has struggled to regain his explosiveness, totaling just 31 yards on 11 carries in last week’s loss to Green Bay. Over three games, he’s averaging just 3.5 yards per carry and has yet to score a touchdown this season. For a team that heavily relies on McCaffrey to spark their offense, his continued struggles could spell disaster. If he doesn’t round into form soon, the 49ers risk running out of time to secure a playoff spot—a shocking possibility for the reigning NFC champions.

The Buffalo Bills come into this matchup as the fresher team, having had a bye week to rest and prepare. At 9-2, Buffalo is cruising atop the weak AFC East and already looks like a lock for the division title. They’ve won six straight games, riding a combination of Josh Allen’s dynamic play and a stingy defense that’s hitting its stride. With an extra week of preparation and the 49ers dealing with injury issues on both sides of the ball, it’s hard to imagine Buffalo’s winning streak ending here. The Bills are in prime position to capitalize on San Francisco’s struggles and keep rolling.

Spread: Bills -7 (-105) – Buffalo’s defense should keep the 49ers’ offense in check, while their offense has enough firepower to cover the spread.
Moneyline: Bills (-305) – Buffalo’s home-field advantage and more consistent play on both sides of the ball make them the clear choice.
Total: Under 44.5 (-108) – With two strong defenses and December weather likely playing a factor, expect a lower-scoring game.

Betting Trends:

• The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• The 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
• The total has gone under in 6 of the Bills’ last 8 games.

Prediction: Bills 27, 49ers 17
Best Bet: Bills -7 (-105)

Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos Odds

The Cleveland Browns claimed a thrilling victory in the snow last Thursday night, edging out the Steelers in a dramatic divisional clash. Now, they’ll head west for a tough Monday night matchup against the red-hot Broncos in Denver. The Broncos have been one of the league’s hottest teams, riding a wave of momentum as they look to improve to 8-5 with a win at home. This game features a sluggish 42-point over/under, reflecting the defensive strengths of both teams and the likelihood of a slower-paced battle at Empower Field.

For much of the season, it seemed like Jayden Daniels had Offensive Rookie of the Year honors locked up, but Bo Nix is making a stronger case with each passing week. The Broncos’ rookie quarterback has thrown for over 2,500 yards with 16 touchdowns to just 6 interceptions, showing poise and efficiency in Denver’s offense. On top of his passing prowess, Nix has added a valuable rushing element, contributing another 300 yards and 4 touchdowns on the ground. With Denver surging and Nix playing at a high level, the race for Rookie of the Year is heating up as the season progresses.

Bo Nix has developed a strong rapport with Courtland Sutton, who is just 28 yards shy of matching last year’s receiving total. The duo showcased their chemistry in last week’s win over the Raiders, connecting for two touchdown strikes to help Denver keep their hot streak alive. However, they’ll face a much tougher test this week against a Browns defense that stifled a previously surging Steelers offense in Week 12. If Nix and Sutton can overcome Cleveland’s elite pass rush and secondary, it will further solidify their standing as one of the league’s most promising QB-receiver tandems.

While both offenses have shown significant improvement since the start of the season, this game still has the makings of a defensive battle. Denver boasts arguably the NFL’s most underrated defense, a unit that has quietly been instrumental in their recent hot streak. Meanwhile, Myles Garrett reminded everyone last week why he remains one of the best defenders in the sport, wreaking havoc in the Browns’ win over the Steelers. With two strong defenses squaring off and a 42-point over/under, betting the under feels like the smart play in this Monday Night Football clash.

Spread: Broncos -5.5 (-110) – Denver’s defense and home-field advantage should allow them to pull away late and cover the spread.
Moneyline: Broncos (-230) – With Cleveland’s offensive struggles and the difficulty of playing in Denver, the Broncos are the safer pick.
Total: Under 42 (-110) – Both defenses are elite, and neither offense is likely to put up big numbers in this low-scoring affair.

Betting Trends:

• The Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
• The Browns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• The total has gone under in 5 of the Browns’ last 6 games.

Prediction: Broncos 23, Browns 13
Best Bet: Under 42 (-110)

NFL Week 13 Best Bets

After analyzing the Week 13 matchups, here are our top betting picks:

• Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline (+130)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6 (-110)
• Dallas Cowboys -3.5 (-110)

Each of these bets offers value as standalone wagers, but combining them into a parlay can create the opportunity for a much larger payout. A $100 parlay on these three bets would return approximately $745 if they all hit. You can choose to bet on these individually or go for the higher payout with a Week 13 parlay.