2024 NFL Week 7 Odds and Predictions

Industry’s Best

Handicapping Membership

Get Free Trial

Time flies, does it not? We’ve already reached Week 7 of the 2024 NFL campaign. While it’s still likely too early to start looking at playoff races, we are starting to see some contenders separate themselves from the field. Teams like the Kansas City Chiefs, Detroit Lions, and Houston Texans look like bona fide Super Bowl contenders.

Others – including the Dallas Cowboys, New York Jets, and Miami Dolphins – now face uphill climbs despite entering the season with lofty goals. It’s not over for any team off to a rough start, but the clock is ticking.

We’ve got another full slate of games on tap for Week 7, starting with a battle of rookie quarterbacks between the Denver Broncos and New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football. We’ll also have our 3rd straight week with a game in London, while the schedule concludes with a Monday Night Football doubleheader.

Let’s take a gander at the NFL odds for Week 7 and figure out the best way to bet on each game.

2024 NFL Week 7 Schedule

NFL Week 7 Predictions

Let’s dive into the odds and make our favorite NFL picks for each game on the schedule for Week 7.

Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints Odds

The Broncos head to New Orleans for what promises to be a gritty battle. This will be the first game back in New Orleans for Denver head coach Sean Payton after he stepped down as the Saints’ boss after the 2021 season.

Both teams lost in Week 6. The Saints blew a halftime lead to fall at the hands of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in blowout fashion, 51-27. Spencer Rattler drew the first start of his NFL career with Derek Carr sidelined by an oblique injury. Carr isn’t expected to return after suffering the injury back in Week 5, so Rattler will likely get another chance in this one.

The former South Carolina Gamecock completed 22 of his 40 passes for 243 yards along with a touchdown and 2 interceptions against Tampa Bay. He also carried the ball 4 times for 27 yards, but lost a fumble. Rattler – a 5th-round rookie – could have trouble in this one against a Denver defense that has exceeded expectations early in the year. To make matters worse, the Saints could also be without their top 2 receivers. Chris Olave (concussion) and Rashid Shaheed (knee) look doubtful to suit up for New Orleans in this one.

However, that Broncos defense may not be at full strength. Pro Bowl cornerback Patrick Surtain II left Denver’s Week 7 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers with a concussion. Surtain has become arguably the game’s best cover corner over the past couple of years, and Denver felt his absence on Sunday.

Whether the Broncos can put up enough points to win is the question. The offense – with rookie Bo Nix leading the way – has struggled to find its footing all year. Nix has completed about 61 percent of his throws for 1,082 yards with 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions through 6 games. After putting 34 points on the board a couple of weeks ago against the Las Vegas Raiders, the Broncos failed to find the end zone until the 4th quarter in Sunday’s loss to Los Angeles.

Denver’s defense has held up well, while the Saints have been unpredictable at times, especially on the offensive end. The Broncos are slightly favored, but playing in New Orleans might give the Saints the boost they need. Frankly, I don’t feel remotely confident in betting on either of these teams to win.

Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints Predictions

• Spread: Saints +2 (-110): The Broncos are favored, but New Orleans at home is a good bet to cover the spread or even win outright.
• Moneyline: Broncos -110 / Saints +110
  New Orleans is at least somewhat interesting as a plus-money underdog at home.
• Total: 37
  Both offenses are inconsistent, and with such a low total, the under might be the safer bet.

Betting Trends:

• The Broncos are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The Saints are 4-1 ATS at home in their last 5 matchups as underdogs.
• The total has gone under in 3 of the last 5 meetings between these teams.

Prediction: Saints +2, Under 37
Best Bet: Under 37 (-110)

New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds

The New England Patriots will head across the pond to face the Jacksonville Jaguars in London. This will be the Jags’ second straight game in London after they got blown out by the Chicago Bears at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last week. New England is a fairly sizable underdog in this one, as the Jaguars will have the advantage of having been in town for a couple of weeks already.

However, it’s hard to say the Jaguars should be favored against any team right now. Sunday’s loss to Chicago dropped Jacksonville to just 1-5 on the year, and this team looks broken. It’s fair to wonder whether head coach Doug Pederson would still have a job if the team didn’t have to worry about getting him back home from the UK. He said after the game that the team needs a culture change, which probably isn’t a great thing to say for the guy whose job it is to establish a culture.

Figuring out how to get Trevor Lawrence going would be a start. The former No. 1 overall pick hasn’t looked right all season, and the Jags are running out of time. Lawrence has completed just 60.7 percent of his passes for 1,334 yards and 8 touchdowns to 3 interceptions. Most of the yardage has come in garbage time with games already well out of reach. Jacksonville is also likely to be without running back Travis Etienne, who’s considered week-to-week after hurting his hamstring on Sunday. Tank Bigsby will likely be in line for a heavy workload against a New England defense that yielded 102 yards and a touchdown to Joe Mixon in Week 6.

The Patriots aren’t faring much better, of course. Jerod Mayo’s squad is just 1-5 with 5 consecutive losses since upsetting the Cincinnati Bengals in their season opener. However, there’s reason for optimism. Rookie QB Drake Maye made his first NFL start last week against the Houston Texans.

The North Carolina product did turn the ball over 3 times in a 20-point defeat, but his performance was encouraging, for the most part. Maye went 20-for-33 for 243 yards and 3 touchdowns, averaging 7.4 yards per attempt. Having a QB capable of taking shots down the field gives this offense a dimension it lacked with Jacoby Brissett under center. Maye is also an underrated athlete, as he contributed 38 yards on 5 carries, as well.

Both of these teams are horrible. The Pats may well be the worst team in football, but the 5.5-point spread looks a little too wide. Jacksonville shouldn’t be favored by nearly a touchdown against anybody.

New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions

• Spread: Jaguars -5.5 (-112)
  The Jaguars are heavy favorites, which I don’t fully understand. I like the value on New England to cover here at a neutral site.
• Moneyline: Jaguars -238 / Patriots +195
  The Patriots offer quite a bit of value to win this one outright at +195 against a broken Jags side.
• Total: 42.5
  Both teams have scuffled offensively, and this game could have dicey weather with showers and windy conditions in the forecast. The under looks like a decent bet.

Betting Trends:

• The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The Patriots are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
• The total has gone under in 3 of the last 5 matchups between these teams.

Prediction: Patriots +5.5, Under 42.5
Best Bet: Patriots +5.5 (-108)

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds

This looks like one of the more alluring games on the Week 7 schedule. The 5-0 Minnesota Vikings will exit their bye week at home against a Detroit Lions team fresh off of a 47-9 massacre of the Dallas Cowboys in Week 6. The NFC North looks like the NFL’s best division by quite a distance, and the over/under of 50 points tells us we’ve got shootout potential in this one.

People keep waiting on the Vikings to come crashing back to earth, but it hasn’t happened just yet. Sam Darnold is finally living up to expectations after struggling early in his career with the Jets. The former No. 3 overall pick has completed better than 63 percent of his attempts for 1,111 yards and 11 touchdowns to 4 interceptions. He’s working with a couple of elite receivers in Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison, while Pro Bowl tight end T.J. Hockenson is expected to play this week after missing the first 5 games due to injury.

The Lions’ defense gave the Cowboys major headaches last week, but I think Minnesota will have quite a bit more success through the air. Detroit has struggled to stop opposing QBs for the majority of the season, and I’m a believer in what we’ve seen from Darnold and this offense early on.

Detroit, on the other hand, has a balanced attack led by Jared Goff and a stellar running game. The Lions did just about whatever they wanted against the Cowboys, and they’ll be a handful for the Minnesota defense. Goff has been terrific again this year, with a career-best completion percentage of 71.1 percent along with 8 touchdown passes already.

Detroit’s 2-pronged rushing attack was dominant against Dallas. David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs combined for 143 yards on 24 carries with a couple of touchdowns. As a team, the Lions averaged 5.1 yards per carry while also racking up 334 yards through the air. With arguably the best offensive line in football and an embarrassment of riches at the skill positions, you can make a compelling case that the Lions are the best and most well-rounded offense in the NFL today.

Detroit will need as much offense as they can get considering their best pass-rusher – Aidan Hutchinson – went down with a season-ending injury in Week 6. This game could legitimately go either way. I think the Lions look like the more compelling bet as the underdog given the plus-money moneyline odds.

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings Predictions

• Spread: Vikings -2.5 (-110)
  The Vikings have the edge at home, but this game could easily go either way. The 2.5 spread is tight.
• Moneyline: Vikings -135 / Lions +114
  As mentioned, the value on Detroit is hard to overlook. We won’t get the chance to bet the Lions as ‘dogs very often for the rest of the season.
• Total: 50
  With both teams possessing high-powered offenses, the over seems like a solid bet.

Betting Trends:

• The Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
• The Vikings are 4-2 ATS in home games this season.
• The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 games between these teams.

Prediction: Lions +2.5, Over 50
Best Bet: Lions ML (+114)

Houston Texans vs. Green Bay Packers Odds

This looks like another fun matchup. The 5-1 Houston Texans are 2.5-point underdogs as they make a rare trip to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers. Both offenses lit up their respective opponents in Week 6. The Texans romped the Patriots, 41-21, in Foxborough, while the Packers walloped the Arizona Cardinals, 34-13.

The big news for Houston last week was the return of Joe Mixon. The Texans couldn’t run the ball worth a lick when Mixon was sidelined by a sprained ankle between Weeks 3 and 5. He returned last week in New England and immediately made a major impact, totaling 132 yards from scrimmage along with a couple of touchdowns. Houston’s offense looked no worse for the wear without the NFL’s leading receiver – Nico Collins – either. Tank Dell and Stefon Diggs both caught touchdown passes from C.J. Stroud as Houston enjoyed a stress-free victory on the road.

This week’s matchup will be considerably more daunting. The Packers’ offense has been downright explosive with Jordan Love under center this season. They’ve scored at least 24 points in each of Love’s 4 starts, and he threw 4 touchdown passes in the aforementioned blowout win over Arizona in Week 6.

While the passing game generated most of the attention, the Packers also got the job done on the ground. Green Bay rushed for 179 yards as a team against the Cardinals with Josh Jacobs and Emanuel Wilson combining for over 100 yards. The Packers’ offense has been a big-play machine with Love healthy, while the Texans have struggled to limit explosive plays against better offenses early in the year.

Given the relatively tight spread, this game could be decided by one or two key plays. The over/under of 47.5 points looks a little low given the capabilities of both young quarterbacks.

Houston Texans vs. Green Bay Packers Predictions

• Spread: Packers -2.5 (-122)
  This game is close to a toss-up with the Packers listed as slight home favorites. The Texans look like a solid ‘dog bet.
• Moneyline: Packers -148 / Texans +124
  The Packers are the safer pick, but Houston offers value as a potential upset.
• Total: 47.5
  Both offenses are elite, making the over look like the clear play.

Betting Trends:

• The Packers are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.
• The Texans are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• The total has gone under in 3 of the last 5 meetings between these teams.

Prediction: Texans +2.5, Over 47.5
Best Bet: Over 47.5 (-110)

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants Odds

The Philadelphia Eagles enter this NFC East matchup as favorites coming off of a closer-than-expected win over the Cleveland Browns last week. The Eagles’ aerial attack could be too much for the New York Giants’ defense to handle, though New York has shown resilience, particularly when relying on its run game. The Giants will need to control the clock to stay competitive, but Philly’s balanced offense makes them tough to stop.

For whatever reason, the Eagles haven’t quite fired on all cylinders to this point. Since putting 34 points on the board in a Week 1 win over the Packers, Philly’s offense hasn’t scored more than 21 points in any game. The addition of Saquon Barkley has proven useful, while AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith both returned from injuries last week. While Barkley was quiet, both Brown and Smith found the end zone on long strikes from QB Jalen Hurts.

The Giants, meanwhile, are 2-4 coming into this one following a home loss to the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday night. The big news to monitor for New York this week will be the health of Malik Nabers and Devin Singletary. Nabers has missed back-to-back games with a concussion he suffered in Week 4, while Singletary hasn’t played in either of the last 2 games because of a groin issue.

Nabers’ absence has hurt the offense, but rookie Tyrone Tracy Jr. has thrived with Singletary sidelined. The rookie running back was the best player on the field for the Giants on Sunday, as he topped 100 total yards with a touchdown on 23 total touches. That impressive showing came on the heels of a 129-yard outing in Week 5 against Seattle. Once Singletary returns, it’s safe to assume Tracy will continue to play a sizable role in the backfield.

The 3.5-point spread reflects Philadelphia’s dominance in this rivalry, but New York’s impressive ground game could help keep it close. Given the Eagles’ firepower, expect a competitive but possibly low-scoring game, making the under a tempting pick.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants Predictions

• Spread: Eagles -3.5 (-110)
  Philadelphia should be able to cover with their superior offense, but the Giants’ defense could make things tough.
• Moneyline: Eagles -180 / Giants +150
  Philadelphia is the safer bet, but the Giants have some upset potential if they control possession. Nabers coming back could also give the Giants’ passing attack a much-needed boost.
• Total: 43.5
  With both teams’ defenses stepping up, the under might be the best option.

Betting Trends:

• The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The Giants are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the last 6 matchups between these teams.

Prediction: Eagles -3.5, Under 43.5
Best Bet: Eagles -3.5 (-110)

Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds

The Seattle Seahawks will take on the Atlanta Falcons in an old school #BirdBattle in the ATL. This game is another one with shootout potential given the massive 51-point over/under. The Seahawks’ dynamic passing game should give Atlanta’s defense a challenge, but Seattle’s defense will need to tighten up to stay competitive. Atlanta, meanwhile, will rely on their balanced offensive approach, which has been particularly potent at home.

The Falcons had high hopes coming into the year after backing up the Brinks truck to bring Kirk Cousins over from Minnesota. While the veteran got off to a sluggish start, this offense has really come around over the past few weeks. The Falcons have rattled off 3 wins in a row, all against their NFC South bunkmates.

While Cousins was solid in Sunday’s win over the Carolina Panthers, the real story for the Falcons was the ground game. Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier scored 2 rushing touchdowns apiece while combining for a whopping 200 yards on 33 attempts. We’ve also seen a bit of a resurgence out of tight end Kyle Pitts. After he was held without a catch back in Week 4, Pitts has responded with 10 catches for 158 yards over the last 2 games.

The Seahawks need to turn it around. Seattle has dropped 3 straight games following a promising 0-3 start, including a tough 36-24 setback last Thursday night at home against San Francisco. Head coach Mike Macdonald said after their Week 5 loss to the Giants that they needed to commit to running the football. Unfortunately, it simply didn’t work against the 49ers. Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet combined for just 52 yards on 20 carries against San Francisco, which comes out to a paltry 2.6 yards per attempt.

The Seahawks’ best chances for success will likely come through the air. Geno Smith leads the NFL in passing yards (1,778), but he’s only connected on 6 touchdown passes through 6 games. Star wideout DK Metcalf has been boom-or-bust, while the Seahawks have had a tough time getting Jaxon Smith-Njigba consistently involved.

The 2.5-point spread reflects how close this game could be, but with both offenses capable of putting up points, the total of 51 might be in play for the over. The Seahawks will need to find a way to slow down Atlanta’s running game if they want to cover or pull off the upset.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Predictions

• Spread: Falcons -2.5 (-118)
  Atlanta’s home-field advantage gives them a slight edge, but this game could be tight.
• Moneyline: Falcons -148 / Seahawks +124
  The Falcons are the safer bet at home, and they come into this one in far better form than the struggling Seahawks.
• Total: 51
  Given both teams’ offensive abilities, the over is alluring.

Betting Trends:

• The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as underdogs.
• The Falcons are 5-0 ATS at home in their last 5 games.
• The total has gone over in 3 of the last 5 games between these teams.

Prediction: Falcons -2.5, Over 51
Best Bet: Over 51

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns Odds

The Cincinnati Bengals enter this AFC North clash as solid favorites over the woeful, miserable, no-good Cleveland Browns. The Bengals are just 2-4 coming off of their win over the Giants on Sunday night, while the Browns fell to 1-5 with a loss in Philadelphia. Both teams entered the season with decent expectations, yet neither has come remotely close to living up to them just yet.

There’s hope for Cincinnati, however. This offense looks potent with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins both healthy, and both of their victories so far in 2024 have come on the road. At this point, it’s likely just a matter of time until Chase Brown takes over for Zack Moss as the Bengals’ primary running back. Moss averaged just 2.2 yards per carry on 6 attempts against New York, while Brown rushed for 5.3 yards per attempt and scored a touchdown on 10 tries. Brown is now averaging 5.5 yards per carry for the season, and the Bengals will need his explosiveness out of the backfield in order to keep defenses off balance.

I’m not sure what more there is to say about the state of the Browns. Deshaun Watson is the worst quarterback in the NFL, yet Kevin Stefanski can’t bench him because he’s also one of the highest-paid players in the league. Watson put forth another dreadful effort in Philly on Sunday, as he threw for just 168 yards and was held without a touchdown. Watson has multiple TD passes just once through 6 games this season, and Cleveland also isn’t getting much out of the ground game.

Help could be on the horizon, however. There’s a chance Nick Chubb returns to the field in this one after suffering a devastating knee injury back in Week 2 of last season. Even if Chubb does play, however, he’ll likely be limited after such a long layoff. It’s also asking too much of Chubb to expect him to suddenly resurrect what has been a dormant offense all year. To make things more difficult, the Browns just traded their best receiver – Amari Cooper – to Buffalo.

Cleveland’s defense has struggled to contain high-powered offenses, which could be a problem against a Cincinnati team capable of scoring points in bunches. The 5.5-point spread is sizable, but given how poorly they’ve played all year, it may be tough for the Browns to cover. The total of 43 reflects a more defensive battle, though Cincinnati’s offense could push the over.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns Predictions

• Spread: Bengals -5.5 (-112)
  I just don’t think the Browns can score enough points to keep pace with Cincinnati, even at home.
• Moneyline: Bengals -245 / Browns +200
  Cincinnati is the safer bet, but the -245 moneyline offers little value.
• Total: 43
  This could be a low-scoring affair, but Cincinnati’s offense might push the game over the total.

Betting Trends:

• The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
• The Browns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• The total has gone over in 4 of the last 6 games between these teams.

Prediction: Bengals -5.5, Over 43
Best Bet: Bengals -5.5 (-112)

Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills Odds

The Buffalo Bills are sizable favorites at home against the middling Tennessee Titans. Buffalo’s defense has been one of the best in the league, and they’ll look to shut down Tennessee’s running game. The Titans will need a big game from Tony Pollard to keep this game competitive, but Buffalo’s balanced attack on both sides of the ball makes them tough to beat.

The Bills bounced back from back-to-back losses with a 23-20 win over the Jets on Monday Night Football. While Buffalo was without leading rusher James Cook in that one, backup Ray Davis stepped up in a big way. The rookie out of Kentucky totaled 152 yards on 23 touches to lead the Bills. Josh Allen also stepped up with touchdown passes to Mack Hollins and Dawson Knox as Buffalo was able to overcome a 2nd-half comeback by New York.

The Bills needed a top receiver, and they got one by acquiring the well-traveled Amari Cooper from Cleveland in exchange for draft considerations earlier in the week. Buffalo has found success with a skeleton crew of receivers since the offseason departure of Stefon Diggs, but the addition of Cooper will bring some much-needed stability.

The Titans fell to 1-4 on the year with a 20-17 home loss to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 6. Getting Will Levis going will be a key for Tennessee moving forward, but it’s looking increasingly likely that he simply isn’t the answer to the team’s long-term QB question. Levis has only thrown for 699 yards on the season, and he was held to just 95 yards through the air by an Indianapolis pass defense that was previously viewed as a major weakness.

Calvin Ridley hauled in zero passes despite 8 targets, while DeAndre Hopkins led all Titans with just 54 receiving yards. Tennessee got another productive game from Pollard (93 yards, 1 TD), but this team just doesn’t pack a punch offensively.

Tennessee’s defense has shown cracks against high-powered offenses, and Buffalo will look to exploit that with their passing game. The 8.5-point spread is steep, but Buffalo’s dominance makes them a strong bet to cover, especially if they get out to an early lead.

Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills Predictions

• Spread: Bills -8.5 (-108)
  Buffalo is the superior team, and they should cover the spread at home against a weaker Titans squad.
• Moneyline: Bills -470 / Titans +360
  The Bills are the heavy favorites, but the -470 moneyline offers next to no value.
• Total: 41.5
  With both defenses performing well, the under is a solid play.

Betting Trends:

• The Bills are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• The Titans are 3-5 ATS in their last 8 games.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams.

Prediction: Bills -8.5, Under 41.5
Best Bet: Bills -8.5 (-108)

Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts Odds

The Colts are slight favorites in this AFC matchup against the Miami Dolphins in Indianapolis. Indy improved to 3-3 with that win over the Titans in Week 6, while the 2-3 Dolphins will hope to generate some momentum on offense coming off of their bye week.

The Colts have injury question marks once again. Anthony Richardson and Jonathan Taylor both missed their 2nd straight games on Sunday, yet their backups stepped up in a big way. It’s not a stretch to say veteran QB Joe Flacco is the player who gives Indianapolis the better chance to win these days. Flacco enjoyed another stellar game on Sunday in a spot start, Flacco threw for a couple of touchdowns after a 2-TD showing in Week 5.

Richardson, despite his struggles, will be the starter again this week if he’s healthy enough to play. While the former Florida Gator has shown occasional flashes, his accuracy is still a work in progress. If Taylor misses a 3rd consecutive game, the Colts will likely rely on a running back-by-committee approach featuring Tyler Goodson and Trey Sermon.

The Dolphins will again be without QB Tua Tagovailoa as he continues to recover from his latest concussion. Tyler Huntley has started the last 2 games without Tua, and things haven’t gone well at all despite a win in Week 6 over New England. Huntley’s next touchdown pass will be his first of the season, while the running game hasn’t been much better.

Miami has no shortage of playmakers on offense between Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, De’Von Achane, and Raheem Mostert. Huntley doesn’t have to carry the offense by himself, and it’ll be on Miami’s coaches to put him in a position to succeed.

Indianapolis will rely on their running game to control the pace, as their offensive line should be able to win the battle in the trenches. If the Colts’ quarterback – whether it’s Richardson or Flacco – can avoid mistakes, Indianapolis should have the edge.

Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts Predictions

• Spread: Colts -3 (-130)
  I’ll believe the Dolphins can put points on the board with Tyler Huntley at QB when I see it.
• Moneyline: Colts -166 / Dolphins +140
  The Colts’ -166 moneyline odds don’t give us a ton of upside, but I don’t have much faith in Miami to win on the road.
• Total: 43.5
  I like the under here given the potential offensive struggles on both sides.

Betting Trends:

• The Dolphins are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• The total has gone over in 4 of the last 6 matchups between these teams.

Prediction: Colts -3, Under 43.5
Best Bet: Under 43.5 (-112)

Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders Odds

The Washington Commanders are heavy favorites against the struggling Carolina Panthers. Carolina has shown flashes of potential on offense but has struggled with consistency. Their defense has been leaky, which could pose a problem against Washington’s high-octane attack.

The Panthers won Andy Dalton’s first start of the season back in Week 3, but they’ve since dropped each of their last 3 games to fall to 1-5. Dalton does give the team a better chance to win than Bryce Young does, but Carolina is still quite clearly one of the worst teams in football. Despite upticks in performance from Chuba Hubbard and Diontae Johnson since Young’s benching, it’s hard to see this team scoring enough to keep up with the surprisingly potent Commanders in this one.

Washington should be able to move the ball effectively, especially through the air. Jayden Daniels has been electric through his first 6 NFL games, and he put on another solid showing despite the loss last week in Baltimore. The LSU product completed 24 of his 35 throws for 269 yards and a couple of TDs against a strong Ravens defense on the road.

We’ll see whether Brian Robinson Jr. returns to the lineup this week after sitting out against the Ravens. Washington has been one of the most prolific rushing attacks in the league this season, but they struggled in Robinson’s absence last week. As a team, the Commanders totaled just 52 yards on 18 carries – 2.9 yards per run – in last week’s setback.

I’m a bit reluctant to trust a rookie QB as a 7.5-point favorite, however, regardless of how well he’s played to this point.

Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders Predictions

• Spread: Commanders -7.5 (-110)
  I get why the Commanders are so heavily favored, but the Panthers aren’t a terrible bet to cover such a large number.
• Moneyline: Commanders -375 / Panthers +295
  I don’t think Carolina can win this one outright, while Washington’s -375 moneyline odds offer no upside.
• Total: 52
  This total is sky-high, and I’m not sure I trust Carolina to hold up its end of the bargain.

Betting Trends:

• The Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The Commanders are 4-1 ATS at home in their last 5 games.
• The total has gone under in 3 of the last 5 meetings.

Prediction: Panthers +7.5, Under 52
Best Bet: Under 52 (-112)

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Rams Odds

The Los Angeles Rams will come off of their bye week and into this game as heavy favorites over the flailing Las Vegas Raiders. The Davante Adams saga is finally over, as the Raiders traded the disgruntled receiver to the Jets on Tuesday morning. The Raiders are off to a disappointing 2-4 start after back-to-back blowout losses to the Broncos and Steelers.

Las Vegas benched QB Gardner Minshew after the Denver game, but things weren’t much better for Aidan O’Connell in his first start of the ’24 campaign. The 2nd-year QB completed 27 of his 40 throws for 227 yards but averaged just 5.7 yards per attempt. The Raiders once again struggled to generate much of a ground game, with Alexander Mattison, Ameer Abdullah, and Dylan Laube combining for a week 57 yards on 19 carries.

Frankly, there’s nothing to write home about for the Raiders these days. The departure of Adams takes the team’s one major playmaker out of the mix, and there really just isn’t much for O’Connell to work with. Even against a Rams defense that has taken a step back this season, I don’t see how anyone can bet on Vegas with any confidence these days.

The Rams are only 1-4 themselves coming out of the bye. LA’s offense was beset by early-season injuries to All-Pro receivers Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp, and they haven’t quite recovered. Matthew Stafford is enough of a gamer to keep the Rams competitive, but the absence of those reliable playmakers has put a dent in the offense’s productivity. Nacua and Kupp will both miss this week’s game, as well.

The Raiders’ defense has been gouged by opposing running backs all year, so expect Los Angeles to lean on Kyren Williams to carry the offense in this one. Williams is only averaging 3.8 yards per carry on the season, but he’s found the end zone 7 times, as well. This is about as good of a get-right spot for Williams as you can ask for.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Rams Predictions

• Spread: Rams -6.5 (-112)
  The Rams aren’t very good, yet I still think they’re likely to cover against this disastrous Raiders outfit.
• Moneyline: Rams -310 / Raiders +250
  I suppose a low-dollar flier on the Raiders at +250 is viable, but I’d never risk the Rams at -310.
• Total: 43
  Points could come at a premium in this one, so I like the under on 43.

Betting Trends:

• The Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the last 6 games between these teams.

Prediction: Rams -6.5, Under 43
Best Bet: Under 43 (-105)

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds

Super Bowl 58 rematch? Super Bowl 58 rematch. The Kansas City Chiefs have beaten the San Francisco 49ers twice in recent Super Bowls, and San Francisco will be out for revenge when the 2 teams meet in California on Sunday afternoon. The Chiefs are 5-0 coming out of their Week 6 bye, while the 3-2 49ers got back into the win column with a solid showing last Thursday night in Seattle.

While the Chiefs are unbeaten, they also haven’t hit their stride just yet. All 5 of their wins have been fairly close, and the offense has yet to fully click into gear. With Rashee Rice and Marquise Brown out for the year and Isiah Pacheco sidelined for the next few weeks, Kansas City needed others to step up. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Travis Kelce did just that in their Week 5 win over the Saints. The 2 veterans combined to catch 16 passes for 200 yards, while veteran Kareem Hunt rushed for 102 yards and a touchdown in the victory.

The Niners needed a strong performance last week on the heels of consecutive losses, and they got just that. Deebo Samuel caught 3 passes for 102 yards while George Kittle found paydirt twice in the 49ers’ 36-24 win over their NFC West rivals. The injury bug bit them again, however. WIth Christian McCaffrey already on injured reserve due to Achilles trouble, backup Jordan Mason injured his shoulder in last week’s game. The injury isn’t expected to be serious, but Mason’s status for Sunday’s game is still up in the air.

If Mason can’t play, San Francisco will have to resort to Isaac Guerendo and Patrick Taylor to handle most of the carries. We can also expect Samuel to be involved in the run game, as usual. Guerendo carried the ball 10 times for 99 yards last week, though his numbers were boosted by a late 76-yard scamper that helped to put the game out of reach.

San Francisco will look to control the clock with their running game and limit the number of possessions Kansas City gets. If they can keep Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense off the field, they’ll have a good chance to cover and win. Still, betting against the Chiefs hasn’t been a profitable endeavor at all in recent years.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers Predictions

• Spread: 49ers -1.5 (-110)
  Betting against the Chiefs always makes me nervous, and it’s not like the Niners are at full strength, either.
• Moneyline: 49ers -122 / Chiefs +102
  It isn’t always pretty, but the Chiefs almost always find a way to win. The spread is small enough to where simply taking the KC moneyline looks like the smarter route.
• Total: 47.5
  Even with injuries on both sides, I think the over on 47.5 is a decent gamble. There’s still plenty of talent on both offenses.

Betting Trends:

• The Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• The 49ers are 6-0 ATS at home in their last 6 games.
• The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams.

Prediction: Chiefs +1.5, Over 47.5
Best Bet: Chiefs ML (+102)

New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Odds

The New York Jets are slight road favorites over the Pittsburgh Steelers in what could be a low-scoring AFC matchup. These are 2 of the best defensive teams in football, while both offenses have had issues. The 37-point over/under in this game is tied for the lowest of Week 7, and justifiably so.

The Jets’ offense did look better in Monday’s 23-20 loss to the Bills, however, and they did make a big splash by adding Davante Adams via trade from the Raiders on Tuesday. Whether Adams will suit up on Sunday night remains to be seen, but he should have little trouble reestablishing a rapport with his old Packers teammate, Aaron Rodgers, whenever he does make his debut. New York’s passing attack looked just fine on Monday with Garrett Wilson and Allen Lazard both having big games, but Adams’ arrival makes a talented offense even deeper.

We’ll see what happens with the Steelers. Despite a solid 4-2 start, head coach Mike Tomlin hinted that Russell Wilson could draw the start on Sunday night. Wilson hasn’t played since suffering a calf injury in the preseason, though Justin Fields hasn’t necessarily seized the full-time job in Wilson’s absence. Russ was likely to be the team’s starter coming out of camp had he stayed healthy, though there’s a chance we see both QBs in action in this game.

The uncertainty with Pittsburgh’s QB situation has me leaning toward favoring New York in this one, even on the road. Wilson has been awful as the Broncos’ starter over the past couple of years, and I don’t expect the change of scenery to make him look any better. Fields’ athleticism could come in handy against the Jets’ furious front 7, and I don’t think Wilson has enough mobility to give Pittsburgh’s offense much of a boost.

Give me the Jets to get the job done in the Steel CIty on Sunday night.

New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions

• Spread: Jets -1.5 (-110)
  The Jets’ defense should give them the edge in what is likely to be a low-scoring game.
• Moneyline: Jets -122 / Steelers +102
  The Jets are the safer bet, though the Steelers could keep it close at home.
• Total: 37
  Given both teams’ offensive struggles, the under seems like the best option.

Betting Trends:

• The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as favorites.
• The Steelers are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games as home underdogs.
• The total has gone under in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams.

Prediction: Jets -1.5, Under 37
Best Bet: Jets -1.5 (-110)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

The Baltimore Ravens head to Florida to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as 3.5-point favorites in what could be a high-scoring affair. This is the first of 2 Monday Night Football games on the schedule for this week, and this one is a potential Super Bowl preview.

The Ravens started the season 0-2, but they’ve since rattled off 4 straight wins to pull into a virtual tie with the rival Steelers atop the AFC North. Baltimore has scored at least 28 points in each of those 4 victories, including a 30-point outburst last week against the Commanders. Derrick Henry added another 2 touchdowns to his ledger, while Baltimore finally got Mark Andrews and Zay Flowers heavily involved through the air.

This Tampa Bay defense simply isn’t as good as it was just a few years ago when it led Tom Brady to another Super Bowl title. The Buccaneers have struggled to keep opponents from moving the ball up and down the field, so the matchup against Lamar Jackson and this stacked offense is downright daunting.

If anyone can score enough to keep pace, however, it’s likely this Bucs offense. Tampa Bay scored 51 points in their Week 6 win in New Orleans with big games out of Baker Mayfield and Chris Godwin. However, it was rookies Sean Tucker and Bucky Irving who stole the show. With Rachaad White sidelined by an injury, the Buccaneers’ backup running backs combined to rush for 217 yards on 28 carries with 2 touchdowns in the win.

This looks like it has the potential to be a high-scoring affair, so I’m a little surprised the over/under is sitting at just 48.5 points. We saw the Bucs fly past that total on their own last week, and we know what the Ravens are capable of offensively. I think this one will soar past the total, amking the over the best bet on the board.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions

• Spread: Ravens -3.5 (-110)
  This spread gives me a little pause with the game taking place in Tampa, but it’s hard to bet against the Ravens right now.
• Moneyline: Ravens -185 / Buccaneers +154
  Tampa Bay has the offense to pull the upset, but they’re going to struggle to slow down Lamar and co.
• Total: 48.5
  Over! Over! Over!

Betting Trends:

• The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• The Buccaneers are 4-2 ATS as underdogs in their last 6 games.
• The total has gone over in 3 of the last 5 matchups between these teams.

Prediction: Ravens -3.5, Over 48.5
Best Bet: Over 48.5 (-110)

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Chargers Odds

The 2nd game in the Monday night doubleheader will pit the Arizona Cardinals against the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium. Arizona fell to 2-4 on the year after a drubbing in Green Bay, while the Bolts went into the Mile High City and picked up an easy win over a hapless Broncos side. LA is now 3-2 on the year in their first season under head coach Jim Harbaugh.

Even with Justin Herbert running the show, we know the Chargers want to run the ball under Harbaugh. They found sucecss on the ground against Denver, running for 128 yards with a touchdown. JK Dobbins (95 yards) continued his impressive start to the season. Finding a groove through the air will be a key to whether LA can make a surprise playoff appearance this season. Herbert does have 6 touchdowns through 5 games, but he’s only thrown for a measly 815 yards.

The Cardinals have been inconsistent at best on offense this season. Kyler Murray was largely held in check on Sunday by the Packers. It didn’t help that rookie wideout Marvin Harrison Jr. left the game early with a concussion, however, while James Conner finished the game with just 6 carries for 24 yards. If he’s healthy, getting Harrison Jr. more involved should be a focal point going forward. MHJ has scored 4 touchdowns through his first 6 NFL games, but he’s only caught 17 of his 37 targets to this point.

This game could legitimately go either way, and I don’t think the Chargers have enough offensive firepower to blow anybody away. That said, finding a consistent rhythm has been an issue for Arizona thus far. If they can’t get the ground game going against a solid Chargers defensive front, Murray could struggle to find room through the air.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Chargers Predictions

• Spread: Chargers -2.5 (-110)
  Los Angeles has the edge at home, but Arizona’s offense could keep it closer than expected.
• Moneyline: Chargers -118 / Cardinals +102
  The Chargers are slight favorites, but Arizona offers upset potential with their dynamic offense.
• Total: 44
  This game looks like a safe bet for the under given the question marks on both offenses.

Betting Trends:

• The Cardinals are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• The Chargers are 3-3 ATS at home this season.
• The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 games between these teams.

Prediction: Chargers -2.5, Under 44
Best Bet: Under 44 (-110)

NFL Week 7 Best Bets

After reviewing the matchups, these wagers are our top picks for NFL Week 7:

• Ravens vs. Buccaneers over 48.5 (-110)
• Cincinnati Bengals -5.5 (-112)
• Seahawks vs. Falcons over 51 (-112)

Betting on these individually can provide solid returns, but parlaying them offers the chance for a much bigger payout. A $100 bet on this parlay could return $596.50 if all three bets hit! You can choose to bet on these individually or combine them for a higher payday with an NFL Week 7 parlay.