2024 Paris Olympics Men’s Athletics Odds and Predictions

By:

Rick Rockwell

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The 2024 Paris Olympics marks the first time that the Athletics competitions will have an equal number of gold medals for the men and women events. In total, there are 48 medal events spanning three disciplines: track and field, road running and racewalking. Both the men and women Athletics events will feature 23 competitions apiece, along with two mixed team events. 

The track and field events will be held at the Stade de France, while race walks will be located at the Pont d’lena and the marathon races begin at Hotel de Ville before ending at Les Invalides. 

The men’s Athletics events will be held between Thursday, August 1 and Sunday, August 11, just like with the Women’s Olympics Athletics events. If you are looking to bet on the Olympics, keep reading below as we dive into the latest Paris Games Men’s Athletics odds and make our Summer Olympics Men’s Athletics predictions. 

2024 Paris Olympics Men’s Athletic Odds

Check out the latest Summer Olympics Men’s Athletic Odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

Olympics Athletics EventFavoritePrediction
Hammer ThrowEthan Katzberg (CAN) -300Ethan Katzberg (CAN) -300
Shot PutRyan Crouser (USA) -180Ryan Crouser (USA) -180
Pole VaultArmand Duplantis (SWE) -4000Armand Duplantis (SWE) -4000
Discus ThrowMykolas Alekna (LTU) -160Mykolas Alekna (LTU) -160
Long JumpMiltiadis Tentoglou (GRE) -300Miltiadis Tentoglou (GRE) -300
JavelinNeeraj Chopra (IND) +185Neeraj Chopra (IND) +185
High JumpGianmarco Tamberi (ITA) +135Gianmarco Tamberi (ITA) +135
Triple JumpPedro Pichardo (POR) +150Jordan Alejandro Díaz (ESP) +175
110M HurdlesGrant Holloway (USA) -600Grant Holloway (USA) -600
400M HurdlesKarsten Warholm (NOR) +125Rai Benjamin (USA) +150
200MNoah Lyles (USA) -250Noah Lyles (USA) -250
100MKishane Thompson (JAM) +125Noah Lyles (USA) +200

2024 Paris Olympics Men’s Athletic Predictions

Check out our Summer Olympics Men’s Athletic predictions for the following events: 

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s Hammer Throw

  • Ethan Katzberg (CAN) -300
  • Wojciech Nowicki (POL) +275
  • Pawel Fajdek (POL) +650
  • Myjailo Kojan (UKR) +1400

Most pundits believe that for any athlete to medal in this event, they will have to throw over 80 meters. Currently, the best mark in the world belongs to the odds-on favorite Ethan Katzberg of Canada. In April, he threw for 84.38 meters, which is nearly 277 feet. He also threw for 82.6 meters in the Canadian Olympic trials, which was the sixth time in eight competitions that he’s thrown for over 80m

The 2023 world champion appears poised to bring home the first hammer throw medal for Canada. Will it be gold?

For Katzberg to win gold, he will need to beat Poland’s dynamic duo of Wojciech Nowicki and Pawel Fajdek. Nowicki is the defending gold medalist having taken home the gold in Tokyo. Fajdek is a five-time world champion. Both men have extensive international experience on the biggest stages. 

With that said, Katzberg has all of the momentum right now. I like the value of Nowicki’s odds and wouldn’t fault you for going with the reigning champ. For me, I’m taking the man who keeps crushing the 80m mark. Canada makes history this year. 

Bet: Ethan Katzberg (CAN) -300

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s Shot Put

  • Ryan Crouser (USA) -180
  • Joe Kovacs (USA) +250
  • Leonardo Fabbri (ITA) +300
  • Tom Walsh (NZL) +2500

The gold medal for shot put is going to be an all-American battle. With that said, you have to like Crouser to make Olympic history by winning his third gold medal in this event. Crouser won gold at Tokyo and Rio. His biggest competition, Joe Kovacs, won silver at Rio and Tokyo. 

At the Olympic Trials in June, Crouser easily beat Kovacs by half a meter to win this competition. Crouser’s best throw at the event was 22.84 meters. His career best throws are 23.37m and 23.53m, which are the two longest shot put throws of all-time. 

Although Crouser started off the year dealing with injuries and a surgery, America’s greatest shot put athlete will claim a third gold medal as he wins this event in Paris.

Bet: Ryan Crouser (USA) -180

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s Pole Vault

  • Armand Duplantis (SWE) -4000
  • Sam Kendricks (USA) +1400
  • Ernest John Obiena (PHI) +1400
  • Thibaut Collet (FRA) +2500

Armand Duplantis’ Olympic odds are the largest of any Men’s Athletics events. In fact, he’s one of the biggest betting favorites for the entire 2024 Paris Games. 

Affectionately dubbed “the pole vault king,” Duplantis continues to break or come close to breaking world records at each event he competes in. He’s won every event that he’s participated in this year with heights of at least six meters. 

USA’s Sam Kendricks is the second betting favorite for this event. However, the two-time world champion is still far behind Duplantis this season.

Duplantis will win the gold medal and try to break his current world record of 6.24m. After he secures the gold, I expect “Mondo” to hit a 6.25m world record in Paris. 

Bet: Armand Duplantis (SWE) -4000

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s Discus Throw

  • Mykolas Alekna (LTU) -160
  • Kristjan Ceh (SLO) +250
  • Daniel Stahl (SWE) +500
  • Matthew Denny (AUS) +1600
  • Lukas Weisshaidinger (AUT) +1600

Unlike the women’s discus throw where Valarie Allman is the clear favorite and likely winner, the men’s discus throw looks to be more competitive on paper. 

Sweden’s Daniel Stahl is the reigning Olympic gold medalist for the discus throw and a two-time World Champion. Unfortunately, his 2024 season has been subpar at best. He’s been well below what we’re accustomed to seeing from this champion.

Kristen Ceh is the second betting favorite for this Olympic event. He was the 2022 gold medalist and 2023 silver medalist at the World Championships for the discuss throw. However, he came in more than seven feet behind Alekna in a recent event. 

Mykolas Alekna, the collegiate record holder for the Cal Golden Bears, has been marked as the betting favorite for this event. Alekna is the 2022 silver medalist and 2023 bronze medalist for this event at the World Championships. As mentioned, he recently crushed the competition in Hungary and is only one of three men to throw 70 meters on the year. 

In fact, Alekna has surpassed that mark four times this year. He broke the world record in April when he threw for 74.35 meters. At this point in time, Alekna is on another level compared to the rest of the competition. It’s rather surprising that his odds aren’t higher. Take the Golden Bear to win gold in Paris. 

Bet: Mykolas Alekna (LTU) -160

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s Long Jump

  • Miltiadis Tentoglou (GRE) -300
  • Mattia Furlani (ITA) +900
  • Carey McLeod (JAM) +1000
  • Wayne Pinnock (JAM) +1200
  • Simon Ehammer (SUI) +1400
  • Lester Lescay (CUB) +1400

Greece’s Miltiadis Tentoglou is by far the best long jumper in the world. In fact, he’s one of the greatest long jumpers of all-time, if not the greatest. It’s shocking that his odds aren’t higher considering how much better Tentoglou is than the rest of the field. 

Tentoglou is the reigning World and Olympic gold medalist. He is a six-time European Champion, and has a personal best 8.65 meters jump which he set in Rome last month. At that competition, Mattia Furlani set the U20 world record with an 8.38m mark. 

This event isn’t going to be close. The odds fail to reflect Tentoglou’s domination. Even at -300 odds, you are getting small betting value on the clear-cut gold medal winner in Paris. 

Bet: Miltiadis Tentoglou (GRE) -300

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s Javelin

  • Neeraj Chopra (IND) +185
  • Jakub Vadlejch (CZE) +225
  • Julian Weber (GER) +400
  • Oliver Helander (FIN) +650
  • Anderson Peters (GRN) +1000
  • Pedro Rodrigues (BRA) +1000
  • Alexandru Novac (ROU) +1000

Neeraj Chopra is the defending Olympic gold medalist in the men’s javelin event. He was the first Indian track and field athlete to win Olympic gold and he could become the first to win two. I do have some concerns over betting on Chopra since he’s only competed in a few competitions this year due to a nagging injury. 

Chopra’s best throw of 88.36m is the fourth highest distance of the 2024 season. So, even though he hasn’t competed as much, the Olympic and World Champion is still finishing in the same range of distances as the other top competitors. 

Jakub Vadlejch has won silver medals in the Olympics, Worlds and European Championships. He just won the European Championship in Rome last month, which gives him some momentum heading into Paris. Vadlejch won with a throw of 88.65m. He defeated Britain’s Julian Weber who had a high throw of 85.94 meters. Finland’s Oliver Helander finished third with an 85.75m throw. 

The gold medal for men’s javelin will come down to Chopra and Vadlejch. As an added bonus, these two have an intense rivalry, which will make this Olympics’ event even more compelling. Chopra won gold in Tokyo, while Vadlech won silver. The latter won the Diamond League last year, while Chopra finished second. That’s just a microcosm of their back-and-forth rivalry. 

While Vadlejch has been chasing Chopra, the latter is chasing the elusive 90m throw. Although Chopra has only competed in a few events this season, he still showed an explosiveness in his first event of the year back in May. And, he only lost by two centimeters to Vadlejch. 

I believe Chopra will come into the Olympics at full health and flirt with that 90m throw as he wins a second consecutive gold medal. 

Bet: Neeraj Chopra (IND) +185

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s High Jump

  • Gianmarco Tamberi (ITA) +135
  • Mutaz Essa Barshim (QAT) +165
  • JuVaughn Harrison (USA) +350
  • Woo Sang-Hyeok (KOR) +900
  • Hamish Kerr (NZL) +1200

Gianmarco Tamberi enters this event as the odds-on favorite. Having picked up the gold at the European Championships in Rome last month, the Italian and his signature-styled beard will aim to pick up the gold medal in Paris next. Tamberi won the European title with a Championship record of 2.37 meters. 

Ukranians Vladyslav Lavskyy took silver with 2.29m and Oleh Doroshchuk took bronze with 2.26m jumps. Both men are competition in this Olympic event but they’re each longshots to win with odds of +3000 to +4000. 

New Zealand’s Hamish Kerr just won at Monaco with a personal best 2.33m jump. However, as you can see, Kerr is far behind the top two men in this event. American JuVaughn Harrison struggled at the U.S. Olympic trials and only made the team due to previous jumps this season that met Olympic standards. I don’t see Harrison being a real threat for gold this summer. 

Mutaz Essa Barshim announced that the Paris Games would be his last. The four-time Olympian has been a long-time competitor to Tamberi. In the 2020 Tokyo Games, the two men tied and chose to both accept gold instead of doing a jump-off. Prior to that, Barshim had silvers in Rio and London. 

Barshim has the second-best high jump of all-time at 2.43 meters. He missed the world record by 0.02 meters. 

As for the winner of the high jump at the Paris Games, I have yet to see Barshim equal or surpass Tamberi’s best mark of the season at 2.37m. In fact, Barshim lost against Kerr in April at Shanghai/Suzhou. In May, Barshim landed another 2.31m jump in Doha. 

The Qatari is certainly capable of higher jumps, but I’m feeling more confident in Tamberi at Paris. The Italian just seems to be jumping consistently higher. 

Bet: Gianmarco Tamberi (ITA) +135

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s Triple Jump

  • Pedro Pichardo (POR) +150
  • Jordan Alejandro Díaz (ESP) +175
  • Jaydon Hibbert (JAM) +250
  • Hugues Fabrice Zango (BUR) +1200

Jamaica’s Jaydon Hibbert is trying to make this a three-man competition for the Olympic gold. However, I just don’t see anything that makes me think he’s on the same level as Diaz and Pichardo heading into Paris. Hibbert did land a 17.75m jump last month, but that is still well short of what Pichardo and Diaz recently did at the European Championships. 

The reality is, this is a two-man competition and it’s turned into an intense rivalry. And, I can’t wait to see the next twist and turn between these two competitors. 

Pichardo is the defending Olympic gold medalist and started off his season strong in April with a victory. Unfortunately, by time we got to Rome for the European Championships, he was getting beat by Jordan Alejandro Diaz. Pichardo finished with an 18.04m jump, but came up short to Diaz’s 18.18m mark which was the third best jump of all-time.

After the competition, Pichardo complained about the credibility and fairness of the event. The Portuguese star stated that the electric ruler was not present for his jump, but it was turned on after Diaz’s final jump. Diaz posted a few crying emojis on social media in response to Pichardo. 

And just like that, ladies and gentlemen, we have another heated rivalry for the Paris Games. 

Pichardo will go down as one of the best triple jump athletes of all-time. He certainly has earned it with record breaking performances and gold medals. 

However, Diaz’s jump in Rome was so impressive that I see the 26-year-old chasing after Britain’s Johnathan Edwards and his world record triple jump of 18.29 meters, which was set in 1995. This is Diaz’s time to shine. He defected from Cuba to Spain and missed the Tokyo Olympics. Diaz will more than make up for that absence with a gold medal in Paris. 

Bet: Jordan Alejandro Díaz (ESP) +175

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s 110M Hurdles

  • Grant Holloway (USA) -600
  • Hansle Parchment (JAM) +900
  • Daniel Roberts (JAM) +1200
  • Freddie Crittenden (USA) +1400
  • Rasheed Broadbell (JAM) +1400

Like a few other Men’s Athletics events, the 110m hurdles has a large favorite and everyone else hoping for a lucky break or a pulled hamstring. 

American sprinter Grant Holloway is the odds-on favorite to win this race and he’s highly motivated to finally capture Olympic gold. Holloway won silver in Tokyo along with three World Champions, eight NCAA Titles, and a host of other accomplishments. Yet, it’s the Olympic gold or bust mentality of Holloway, that has everyone excited for this race. 

To further emphasize how this is Holloway’s race to lose, the American just crushed the field at Monaco as he won with a time of 13.01 seconds. That was the fourth fastest time ever and just 0.06 seconds shy of a world record. He already has the second fastest time with 12.81. The world record time is 12.80 seconds. 

Jamaica’s Hansle Parchment is the only other competitor being given any real shot at winning this race. He’s the reigning gold medalist and Diamond League champion. With that said, the 34-year-old hasn’t run any times this year that would come close to beating Holloway’s best. Take the American to win gold at the Paris Olympics as avenges his loss to Parchment in Tokyo. 

Bet: Grant Holloway (USA) -600

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s 400M Hurdles

  • Karsten Warholm (NOR) +125
  • Rai Benjamin (USA) +150
  • Alison Dos Santos (BRA) +275
  • Kyron McMaster (IVB) +2000
  • Abderrahman Samba (QAT) +3300

The three best 400m hurdlers are expected to battle it out for gold in Paris. And, it’s going to be an incredible race as all three men have the potential to win gold. The consolation for two of those men is the silver and bronze medals. Combined, Warholm, Benjamin, and dos Santos own the 17 fastest times ever for this discipline. 

Karsten Warholm is the slight odds-on favorite as he is the defending gold medalist in this event. Warholm is also a three-time World Champion, two-time Diamond League champ, and the world record holder for the 400m hurdles at 45.94 seconds. 

Alison dos Santos holds the third fastest time in this event, won the bronze in Tokyo, and is the 2022 World Champ. Yet, oddsmakers feel he’s just a step behind the two favorites as his odds are twice Warholm’s odds. It’s a bit surprising considering how dos Santos just beat Warholm last month in Oslo. 

Rai Benjamin is America’s best shot at winning this event in Paris. And, in a recent race at Monaco, Benjamin got the better of dos Santos and Warholm in what was considered an Olympic preview. Benjamin finished first (46.67), with by Warholm second (46.73) and dos Santos third (47.18).

As of this writing, Benjamin has the fasted time this year at 46.46 seconds. Although he only brought home the bronze in the World Championships last year, as Warholm won, the American also had the fastest time in 2023, at 46.39 seconds. 

Benjamin is trending in the right direction as he’s beating the best prior to Paris. He’s also unbeaten in competitions this season. Although there’s so much parity in this event, I expect the American to continue his winning ways as he edges out Warholm for the gold medal just like he did in Monaco. 

Bet: Rai Benjamin (USA) +150

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s 200M

  • Noah Lyles (USA) -250
  • Kenny Bednarek (USA) +450
  • Letsile Tebogo (BOT) +600
  • Erriyon Knighton (USA) +1000
  • Andre de Grasse (CAN) +1600

Speaking of Monaco, Noah Lyles withdrew from the event to focus on his training for Paris. Lyles is the #1 ranked 200m runner in the world and #4 in the 100m. He will be competing in both events at Paris. It’s also believed that Lyles will end up on the American 4×100 relay team. 

Speaking of American sprinters, Kenny Bednarek is the reigning silver medalist in this race, having edged out Lyles in Tokyo. Both men finished behind Andre de Grasse who took home the gold in the 2020 Olympic Games. The Canadian finished second to Usain Bolt in 2016, and won the silver along with the bronze in the 100m race. He also took home the bronze medal in the 100m in Tokyo as well. 

Bednarek has looked strong this season with wins in various Diamond League events. However, at the Olympic Trials, Lyles put everyone on notice with an OT record of 19.53 seconds. Bednarek’s best time is 19.67 seconds, which is one hundredth of a second faster than his 2020 Olympic run. 

It’s going to be an American showdown for the 200m gold in Paris. Lyles is the favorite to win, but Bednarek offers solid value at +450 odds. Just keep in mind, if you choose to wager on someone else other than Lyles, make it a small flier. Lyles hasn’t lost a 200m event in three years and holds the American record at 19.30 seconds. 

Bet: Noah Lyles (USA) -250

2024 Summer Olympics Men’s 100M

  • Kishane Thompson (JAM) +125
  • Noah Lyles (USA) +200
  • Oblique Seville (JAM) +650
  • Letsile Tebogo (BOT) +1200
  • Lamon Marcell Jacobs (ITA) +1200

Noah Lyles should win the 200m gold at these Paris Games, but he’s no longer the favorite to win the 100m gold. Jamaica’s Kishane Thompson has come on strong over the last few months and is now the odds-on favorite to win this race at the Summer Olympics. 

The 22-year-old Thompson ran a 9.77s 100m sprint at the Jamaican Olympic Trials, which is the ninth fastest time for that event. Lyles has yet to surpass his 9.83 second mark that he ran at the 2023 World Championships 11 months ago. 

Lyles will also have competition from Jamaica’s other talented sprinter Oblique Seville who ran a 9.82s 100m at the Jamaican OT in June. 

For Lyles, he’s looking to become the first American sprinter to win the 100-200 Olympic double since Carl Lewis did it in 1984. 

Usain Bolt holds the record for fastest 100m at 9.58 seconds. He’s also the 200m world-record holder at 19.19 seconds. There’s nobody in the field that can challenge Bolt’s records for world times and Olympic times. But Lyles could possibly win the sprint double like Bolt did in his final Olympic appearance (Rio 2016). 

I’m hoping for American history and glory. I’m going with Lyles to pull off the double-double and win the 100m gold at the Paris Games. I certainly wouldn’t blame you for taking Thompson as he’s looked extremely impressive. 

Bet: Noah Lyles (USA) +200