2024 Paris Olympics Women’s Breaking Odds and Predictions

The 2024 Paris Games will mark the debut of breaking into the Olympic slate of events. Also referred to as break dancing, which was created in the Bronx in the late 1970s, breaking becomes the first dance discipline to make the Olympics. 

Both the women’s and men’s breaking competitions will feature 16 participants each. A panel of nine judges will score their routines and the participants with the highest scores move on until the medal round decides the winner.

The breaking competitions will be held at the Place de la Concorde and will span the final days of the Olympic games on August 9^th and 10^th. 

If you are looking to bet on the Olympics, keep reading below as we dive into the latest Paris Games Women’s Breaking odds and make our Summer Olympics Women’s Breaking predictions.

Breaking Down The Scoring and Competition Format

The women’s breaking competition will feature a round robin format where two participants go head-to-head in a best of three dance battle. When one dancer finishes, her opponent will immediately begin. This round-robin format continues into the quarterfinals, then the semifinals, and eventually the medal winning battles. 

Nine judges will score each b-girl on the following six criteria:

• Creativity
• Performativity
• Personality
• Musicality
• Technique
• Variety

Performativity and creativity comprise 60% of the overall score. The other four criteria will make up 40% of the dancer’s score per battle. 

Paris Olympics Women’s Breaking Odds

Check out the latest Paris Olympics Women’s Breaking odds courtesy of the best sports betting sites:

Paris Olympics Women’s Breaking Favorites

The following competitors are considered the odds-on favorites to win the Women’s Breaking gold medal:

B-Girl 671 – Liu Qingyi (CHI) +300

Liu Qingyi has reached the top of the breaking game in just a few short years. It’s rather remarkable how she went from an unknown to one of the favorites for winning gold at the Paris Games.

Liu Qingyi qualified for the Olympics by winning gold at the 2023 Asian Games. She was the silver medalist at the 2022 World Championships, just narrowly losing to B-girl Ami, who is another of the betting favorites to win Paris gold.

As the top female breaker in China, Liu Qingyi admits that Japan is their biggest rival especially B-girl Ami and B-girl Ayumi who have combined to win three World Championships. Will we see these two countries sweep the breaking medals in Paris or can another competitor upstage the powerful Asian breakdancers?

B-Girl Ami – Ami Yuasa (JAP) +300

B-girl Ami is one of two Japanese breakdancers that are regularly sweeping podiums in major competitions around the world. Real name Ami Ayusa, B-girl Ami first won a doubles competition with her sister in 2016. That victory was a launching pad to a prolific career in breaking.

Yuasa would also win the 2018 BC One World Final, the 2019 and 2022 WDSF World Breaking Championships, and the 2023 BC One World Final. Most recently, she won the OQS in Budapest and was second in Shanghai. Her friend B-girl Ayumi swapped spots in those two events. 

Will we see the two friends represent Japan in a gold medal dance battle?

B-Girl Nicka – Dominika Banevic (LIT) +300

At just 17-years-old, Dominika Banevic has danced her way to the top of breaking as she won both the World and European Championships last year. Although she lost against B-Girl 671 at the BC One B-Girl World Final, B-girl Nicka is a serious threat to win gold in Paris. 

She’s as technically sound as they come and has an all-around skillset that make her one of the best, and at such a young age. Whether she wins gold or not in Paris, the future of breaking is very bright with B-girl Nicka around.

B-Girl Ayumi – Ayumi Fukushima (JAP) +500

As mentioned above, B-girl Ayumi regularly switches places with B-girl Ami on the podiums of international breaking competitions. She’s a multi-time All Japan Breaking Champion and the 2021 World Champion. At age 41, Ayumi Fukushima will be the oldest competitor in the breaking events. Yet, she seems to defy age when dancing. 

After two-decades of honing her craft, B-girl Ayumi is still a threat to win major competitions. She won at Shanghai a few months ago in the OQS and finished a close-second to B-girl Ami in Budapest last month. Ayumi is a real threat to finish on the podium in Paris. The only question is which medal will she win? 

Paris Olympics Women’s Breaking Sleepers

The following breakdancers are my sleeper picks to challenge for a podium finish and maybe even the gold medal:

B-Girl Sunny – Sunny Choi (USA) +2000

It’s a bit surprising to see America’s top female breakdancer with odds this high, especially since she just won gold at the Pan American Games last year. B-girl Sunny also captured the 2022 World Games silver medal among many other accolades throughout her breaking career. 

Sunny’s dance style and trademark smile leave an impression on anyone watching Choi compete. B-girl Sunny is a legit contender for medaling in Paris. However, at 35 years old, Choi acknowledged to ESPN that the Olympics will probably be the end of her competitive career:

In addition to her quest for gold, Choi also wants to open a breaking studio and youth center in Queens. 

B-Girl Elmamouny – Fatima El-Mamouny (MOR) +6600

Morocco’s Fatima El-Mamouny qualified for the Olympics by winning the first ever WDSF African Breaking Championship in 2023. As an international competitor for the last few years, that victory solidified B-girl Elmamouny as a legitimate contender for gold in any competition that she participates in. 

In addition to winning competitions and breaking cultural barriers, El-Mamouny continues to build up breakdancing in her native country by teaching others the dance that she loves and excels at. With odds of +6600 to win gold, El-Mamouny is my favorite longshot for the Paris Games Breaking competition. 

Paris Olympics Women’s Breaking Predictions: Who Wins Gold? 

Japan, China, United States and Lithuania will not only battle it out for the first ever Olympic gold medal in breaking, but to also finish on the podium. There are at least five legitimate contenders for the gold and up to half of the 16-woman field are podium threats. 

Unlike the men’s competition which has fewer legitimate gold medal contenders, the women’s field is wide-open. And, that makes this breaking competition a must-watch event as we witness cultural, artistic and athletic beauty unlike anything we’ve ever seen before in the Olympic Games. 

Although I will be rooting for B-girl Sunny to win gold, I think the winner will come from B-girls Ami, Nicka or 671. Honestly, you could pick anyone of those three B-girls and probably win your bet. 

As much as I enjoy watching the Japanese duo of B-girls Ami and Ayumi, I think the Olympic gold will go to Nicka or 671. There are no flaws to B-girl Nicka’s breaking, but B-girl 671 has this on-stage swagger and aggressiveness that leads me to believe she wins the gold medal in Paris. 

Bet: B-Girl 671 - Liu Qingyi (CHI) +300