2024 Paris Olympics Women’s Tennis Odds and Predictions

Just like with the Olympic Men’s Tennis event, the Women’s Olympics event will also play at the hallowed grounds of Roland Garros for the 2024 Paris Olympics. The home of tennis’ French Open, will be the backdrop for an exciting tournament featuring the best women tennis players in the world today. 

Despite a disappointing run at Wimbledon earlier this month, Iga Swiatek is the large betting favorite to win gold in Paris this summer. She’s followed by Coco Gauff, Elena Rybakina, and Marketa Vondrousova on the boards. Vondrousa is the reigning silver medalist having come up short in Tokyo against Belinda Bencic.

Like with the men, the Women’s Olympic tournament gets underway on July 27^th, making it one of the first events for the Paris Games. 

If you are looking to bet on the Olympics, keep reading below as we dive into the latest Paris Games Women’s Tennis odds and make our Summer Olympics Women’s Tennis predictions.

Paris Olympics Women’s Tennis Odds

Check out the latest Paris Olympics Women’s Tennis odds courtesy of the best sports betting sites:

Paris Olympics Women’s Tennis Favorites

The following players are considered the odds-on favorites to win women’s tennis gold in the Paris Olympics:

The #1 women’s tennis player in the world, Iga Swiatek has let me down a few times. Most recently, I picked her to finally get over the hump and win the 2024 Wimbledon Championships. Unfortunately, that didn’t happen as she was bounced in the third round. She was also bounced in the third round of this year’s Australian Open as well, which left me looking silly once again.

Other than the French Open, Swiatek’s best performance came in the 2022 Australian Open when she lost in the Semi Finals. Fortunately for Swiatek, and those of us who believe in her overall potential, Roland Garros is a clay court and Iga is a modern-day, female version of Rafael Nadal.

Swiatek has won four of the last five women’s French Opens, including three in a row. Her career record at Roland Garros is 35-2. Let that sink in for a moment. She’s also won four of the last six WTA 1000 clay-court tournaments that she’s entered after making the finals in five of those events. 

Swiatek won 14 of her 15 sets at the 2024 French Open. In fact, she was so dominant at this year’s French Grand Slam that she won 10 of those 14 sets by a 6-2 margin or worse. In other words, Roland Garros is Swiatek’s home and it’s going to take an injury or an act of God for anyone else to upstage the modern “Queen of Clay.”

Coco Gauff +500

When Swiatek is in the field for a clay-court tournament, everyone else is a longshot. That’s just the reality of women’s tennis on this surface. However, go to another surface and Swiatek is average at best. 

Gauff is the #2 ranked women’s player in the world and has had some success at Roland Garros in her career. For starters, she has made the Quarter Finals in four straight appearances. In 2022, she lost in the Finals to Swiatek. This year, she lost to Swiatek in the Semi Finals. 

As a singles player, Gauff is 20-5 at Roland Garros. As a doubles player, she’s 17-5 with three straight Semi Finals appearances or better, a 2022 Finals appearances, and winning this year’s French Open doubles title with Katerina Siniakova.

If there’s anyone who could benefit from a Draw that doesn’t include Swiatek until the Finals, that would be Gauff. Coco is 15-0 against everyone else at Roland Garros over the last three years. 

Elena Rybakina +900

Perhaps, the one lady who actually likes playing Swiatek on clay is Elena Rybakina. She’s 2-0 against Swiatek over Iga’s last 33 clay-court matches. Everyone else is 0-31 over that span against the world’s #1 player. 

Unfortunately, Rybakina struggles against other players at Roland Garros especially those ranked lower than her. In six French Open appearances, Rybakina’s best result was a Quarter Finals exit on two occasions. One of those results came this year when she lost to the 12^th seeded Jasmine Paolini. Rybakina was the 4^th seed in the tournament.  

Although she’s beaten Swiatek twice over the last few years on clay, Rybakina’s best surface is grass where she did win the 2022 Wimbledon and has fared well over the last three years. That’s not going to help her at Paris this summer. Despite finishing 4^th in the Tokyo Games, I would avoid Rybakina at these Olympics. Even if she can stun Swiatek, she won’t beat other players like Goff. 

Best Paris Olympics Women’s Tennis Betting Value

The following women tennis players offer the best betting value for the Paris Games:

Danielle Collins +2500

The 30-year-old American, Danielle Collins, announced that she was retiring from the sport of tennis at the end of the year. What better way to go out than with a gold medal?

At +2500 odds, Collins is a bit of a longshot considering how dominant Swiatek is on clay. However, let’s not write her off so fast. She’s 16-4 in clay matches this year. And, all four of those losses are against players who aren’t even in the Olympics. For example, at the 2024 French Open, Collins was upset by an unranked Olga Danilovic. The latter is not participating in the Olympics. 

Collins has won a few smaller tournaments this year and is playing with a lot of confidence despite her poor showing at Roland Garros in late-May. With that said, she does offer small value considering her recent stretch of success in the first half of the 2024 season. 

Barbora Krejcikova +3300

Speaking of value, Babora Krejcikova comes into the Olympics with the most momentum. The 28-year-old won at Wimbledon earlier this month, which is the second Grand Slam title of her career. Krejcikova also won the 2021 French Open, which is the only time that Swiatek hasn’t won in the last five years. 

Unfortunately, since that 2021 title, Krejcikova has been bounced in the first round of the French Open the last three years. One more note on the recent Wimbledon winner, she also won doubles gold at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. So, Krejcikova has all of the ingredients to compete for a medal at this year’s Paris Games: recent Grand Slam success, French Open title, and an Olympic gold medal. 

Best Paris Olympics Women’s Tennis Longshot

Jasmine Paolini (+4000) is my longshot to win the gold medal at the Paris Olympics. The 28-year-old has appeared to find her game. After years of inferior tennis, in regards to the Grand Slams, Paolini has turned it on this year. 

After losing in the 4^th round of the 2024 Australian Open, the Italian tennis player has made it to the Finals of the French Open and Wimbledon over the last two months. 

She lost to Krejcikova at Wimbledon in a fantastic three-set battle. However, she was blasted out of Roland Garros by Swiatek, which every opponent of Iga’s was this year.

Paolini also made it to the French Open doubles Finals with her partner Sara Errani before losing to Gauff and Siniakova. Currently, Paolini is 15-3 in Grand Slam play. When you combine that stellar record with her recent success at Roland Garros, she makes for a great longshot selection to win gold at the 2024 Summer Olympics.

Paris Olympics Women’s Tennis Predictions: Who Wins Gold?

Currently, Roland Garros is Swiatek’s world and the rest of the women tennis players are just living in it. The reality is, Swiatek’s odds of -185 are small considering how dominant she is on clay courts. 

Swiatek opened as a -160 favorite for the 2024 French Open and she ended up crushing the field. By time she reached the Finals of the tourney, she was a -2000 favorite to beat Paolini. 

I don’t see a rematch of the French Open Finals occurring in the Olympics, but I do think both Swiatek and Paolini will medal. Coco Gauff seems to be the likely silver medalist. The reality is, since we’re making this prediction well before the Olympic Women’s Draw, the second odds-on favorite could change based on who ends up in Swiatek’s side of the Draw. 

As for now, take Swiatek to win this tournament with one hand tied behind her back. Goff and Paolini are my choices to also medal depending on the Draw. 

Bet: Iga Swiatek -185