Super Bowl 2025 Odds and Predictions

By:

Rick Rockwell

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On Sunday, February 9, 2025, Super Bowl 59 will come to us live from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Although we’re a few months out from the start of the 2024-25 NFL season, sportsbooks have already released their opening Super Bowl 2025 odds

As expected, the reigning back-to-back Super Bowl champions, Kansas City Chiefs (+550), are the betting favorites to win the 2025 Super Bowl. The team that the Chiefs vanquished in Super Bowl 58, the San Francisco 49ers (+550), is tied with them in the latest NFL odds. Will we see a threepeat for the Chiefs, or will another team rise to the occasion and win the Super Bowl in 2025?

Let’s huddle up to examine the latest 2025 Super Bowl odds, some of the available Super Bowl prop bets, and make our early Super Bowl 59 predictions for the following wagers:

Where Is Super Bowl 2025?

The Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana, will be the home for Super Bowl 59 on February 9, 2025. This marks the eighth time that the Superdome has hosted a Super Bowl and the 11th time held in the city of New Orleans.  

2025 Super Bowl Halftime Show

As of now, there’s no official word on who will headline the 2025 Super Bowl Halftime Show. Early signs point towards New Orleans’ own Lil Wayne as the odds-on favorite to be the lead act. Last year, Usher’s Halftime Show performance was met with praise from fans and critics alike.

2025 Super Bowl Odds

For a complete list of betting lines for all 32 teams, check out the latest Scores and Stats Super Bowl odds

Super Bowl 59 OddsOpening SB OddsPreseason SB Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +550+550
San Francisco 49ers +650 +550
Baltimore Ravens +1200 +900
Buffalo Bills +1400 +1200
Detroit Lions +1200+1200
Cincinnati Bengals +1400+1200
Philadelphia Eagles +1400 +1400
Dallas Cowboys +1800+1600
Houston Texans +1200+1600
Green Bay Packers +1600+1800

2025 Super Bowl Betting Favorites

The following NFL teams are considered betting favorites, according to the top sports betting sites

Kansas City Chiefs          

The Kansas City Chiefs look to rewrite the history books with a third straight Super Bowl victory. However, they will have to exceed their success from last year if they want to accomplish this historic feat. Many Super Bowl contenders have retooled their rosters with the Chiefs in mind.

The Chiefs enter the 2024-25 season with the 16th toughest schedule (.502) despite facing some elite teams like the Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, San Francisco 49ers, Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans.

Under Andy Reid, Kansas City has won at least 11 games in nine of Reid’s 11 seasons. Furthermore, they’ve won at least 11 games in all six seasons, and Patrick Mahomes has been the starting quarterback.

The Chiefs take on the Ravens and Bengals in the first two weeks of the season, which benefits them greatly because Mahomes has gone 15-4 as a starter in the month of September. They will play road games at the 49ers and Bills, but KC has already proven they can beat both teams away from Arrowhead. The Chiefs defeated Buffalo in the Playoffs last year and the 49ers in Super Bowl 58.

Kansas City has added some weapons on offense for Mahomes in receivers Marquise Brown and Xavier Worthy. These two receivers bring incredible speed to an already dangerous offense. Add in Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce, along with Isaiah Pacheco leading the rushing attack, and we have a potent Chiefs offense that should propel them to a 12-5 or 13-4 record.

Kansas City will win the AFC West for the ninth straight season and easily be one of the top teams in the conference. In fact, unless the Chiefs have a meltdown this year, they should be the favorites to win the AFC Championship.  

San Francisco 49ers

Once again, the San Francisco 49ers will embark on a mission to win the Super Bowl and fulfill the massive potential of their talented roster. Currently, the 49ers have the 12th toughest schedule (.505) for this upcoming season with challenging games against the Chiefs, Dallas Cowboys, Bills, Miami Dolphins, and Detroit Lions.

The 49ers will easily win the NFC West for a third straight season. They have more talent on both sides of the ball than any other team in the division. The Los Angeles Rams appear on an upward trend this year, but they should be nothing more than a speed bump for this San Francisco team.

I expect this squad to get out to a fast start and go at least 7-1 heading into their Bye Week. The toughest stretch will be Week 11 – Week 13 when they face the Seahawks, Packers and Bills. The games against Green Bay and Buffalo will be on the road.

With that said, I can see the 49ers finishing the 2024-25 NFL regular season with the best record in the league. A 14-3 record is not out of the question with this loaded roster. During the offseason, the 49ers added talent on both sides of the ball with rookie WR Ricky Pearsall, edge rushers Leonard Floyd and Yetur Gross-Matos, and defensive lineman Maliek Collins.

This San Francisco team should finish in the Top 5 on offense and defense and have multiple players in the running for the NFL MVP, like QB Brock Purdy and RB Christian McCaffrey. They are the odds-on favorites to win the NFC Championship, but will this finally be the year that the 49ers get over the hump and win the Super Bowl? 

Baltimore Ravens

The NFL schedule makers didn’t do the Baltimore Ravens any favors in 2024. This team has the second toughest schedule (.536), with ten games against Playoff teams from last season.

Furthermore, their first five games could be the hardest in the league as they play at the Chiefs, vs. Las Vegas Raiders, at Dallas, vs. Buffalo, and at divisional rival Cincinnati Bengals. Baltimore hasn’t had a losing September since 2015, but that’s going to be put to the test this year.

The Ravens will also have seven games that aren’t played on a Sunday, including a Saturday game vs. Pittsburgh on December 21 and a Wednesday game at Houston on December 25. Add in their December 15 contest against the New York Giants, and Baltimore has to play three games in 10 days, which is brutal for any franchise.

And if that wasn’t enough to ruffle your purple feathers, the NFL scheduled a late-November twist, with the Harbaugh brothers facing each other on national television as the Ravens travel to the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night Football.

It will certainly be a dramatic season for Baltimore based on this schedule. However, this team could surprise critics by overcoming the challenges, winning the AFC North and contending for the top spot in the Conference.

Lamar Jackson has gone 18-3 in December and January games, with a staggering 39 TDs during those months. If anyone can overcome this brutal stretch at the end of the year, it’s Jackson. A Week 14 Bye will also help fuel Jackson and the Ravens to a strong finish.

The addition of running back Derrick Henry will make this offense tough to stop. Henry’s smashmouth running style is perfect for Baltimore, especially during the colder months of the year.

A ground-and-pound attitude, along with a scary play-action passing game, has me drinking the purple Kool-Aid and believing that the Ravens could finish 13-4, win the AFC North, and challenge the Chiefs for the top spot in the AFC. 

Detroit Lions

When was the last time we said that the Detroit Lions were a Super Bowl contender at the start of a season? Well, that’s exactly what oddsmakers and handicappers are saying right now. The Lions kicked in the front door last year as they announced to the world that they were here to challenge for the NFC crown after winning the NFC North.

Although they came up short of the 49ers in the NFC Championship game, the Lions’ Super Bowl window is wide open. This year, Detroit will once again be the biggest hurdle for the 49ers to get to Super Bowl 2025. And, for some pundits, the Lions are the sexy pick to make SB 59.

Detroit’s offense was a juggernaut last season, and I expect that trend to continue this year. Led by QB Jared Goff, the Lions have an elite receiver in Amon-Ra St. Brown, arguably the best tight end in the league with Sam Laporta, and a dynamic running back duo in Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery.

What will make the Lions a true contender this season is the key additions to their defense. Detroit drafted the top cornerback in the 2024 NFL Draft with Terrion Arnold. They also traded for veteran DB Carlton Davis and added defensive tackled D.J. Reader.

These additions will greatly improve a defense that was the weak link for the Lions last season. Detroit allowed 23.8 ppg, which was 25th in the league. They also finished 23rd in total yards allowed at 348.0 yards per game.

As for their schedule, the Lions have the 11th toughest slate on the year (.509) and a rough stretch to close out the season. Detroit will Play Green Bay, Buffalo and San Francisco between Weeks 14-17.

The Lions have five primetime games in 2024. Last year, they went 4-1 during those regular season matchups. Under head coach Dan Campbell, the Lions are 5-2 in regular season primetime games.

Will this be the year that the Lions finally get to their first Super Bowl?

Best Super Bowl 59 Betting Value

Since trading Stefon Diggs, critics have been claiming that the sky is falling in Buffalo, and their Super Bowl window has been shut. However, if you actually watched the Bills games last year, you would’ve seen how Diggs became an afterthought in the offensive scheme under Joe Brady.

You would have also seen how he disappeared down the final stretch of the season, including the Playoffs, where he dropped a go-ahead touchdown against the Chiefs in the AFC Divisional Round.

The overreaction to Diggs leaving Buffalo via trade to the AFC South leader, Houston Texans, presents us with some great betting value as the Bills are listed at +1400 odds to win Super Bowl 59.

Buffalo addressed the wide receiver void left behind with the departures of Diggs and Gabe Davis by signing a platoon of free agents and drafting Keon Coleman. Additionally, they returned a young, athletic running back group led by James Cook and also had a dynamic TE duo in Dawson Knox and Dalton Kincaid. The latter is expected to have a breakout season after a stellar rookie campaign last year.

Even if the offense takes time to reach its full potential, the defense will lead the way. Last year, Buffalo’s defense was ravaged by injuries. Despite some new faces in the secondary, the Bills will see the return of one of the best linebackers in the league – Matt Milano. The pairing of Milano and Bernard will make this defense a versatile, aggressive unit that finishes in the Top 10.

Fortunately for the Bills, the back half of their schedule is easier than the first half. So, if they struggle in the beginning, they can definitely make up ground towards the end.  The Bills have the 6th toughest schedule this year (.516), but a Week 12 Bye is a timely break before taking on the 49ers in Week 13.

Buffalo closes out with two games against the Patriots and a home contest against the Jets. That’s almost like three wins in the bag. The Bills will be a Playoff team. The only question is whether they’re the AFC East champs or a Wild Card team.

Top 2025 Super Bowl Longshot

The Los Angeles Rams (+3300) are my choice for the top longshot to win Super Bowl 59. There might be teams with larger odds, but they don’t have a realistic shot at a Playoff appearance, let alone a Super Bowl victory. As for the Rams, they look like a sneaky pick on paper.

Sure, LA has the 12th hardest schedule (.505), but they have most of their tough games at home. The Rams will host the Eagles, Packers, Dolphins, Bills and 49ers.

Let’s not forget that the Rams are only three years removed from winning the Super Bowl. Injuries plagued them last year, but players like WR Cooper Kupp are 100% healthy and will make a big difference this season. Kupp and Puka Nacua will form one of the best-receiving duos in the league. Furthermore, drafting Michigan running back Blake Corum will provide a lethal 1-2 punch with the 2023 breakout running back Kyren Williams. 

The defense lost its leader when Aaron Donald retired, but they do have some solid, young pieces like rookies Jared Verse and Braden Fiske. The 2024 draft picks are going to have an opportunity to step up right away and be productive. I expect both players to join Kobie Turner in what should be a fast, athletic defense under new coordinator Chris Shula.

With plenty of talent on both sides of the ball and veteran QB Matthew Stafford at the helm, look for the Rams to earn one of the three NFC Wild Card spots. The Packers and the Cowboys, who will finish second in the NFC East, should also secure Wild Card spots. I don’t see the NFC South earning more than one Playoff spot and that will be the divisional winner.

Super Bowl 59 Winning Conference

  • AFC (-130)
  • NFC (+100)

When looking over the NFL landscape and sizing up the true Super Bowl contenders in each conference, I’ve narrowed it down to the following teams:

  • AFC Teams:  Chiefs, Ravens, Bills, Bengals, and Texans
  • NFC Teams: 49ers, Lions, and Eagles

As you can see, heading into the 2024-25 NFL season, the AFC has more contenders to win the Super Bowl. For starters, the Chiefs and Bengals have represented the AFC in the last five Super Bowls. Obviously, the Chiefs were in four of them.

You also have to like Kansas City’s chances of returning to the Super Bowl for a third straight year due to the talent they’ve added and their easy division. The Ravens, Bills and Texans all have solid teams with some of the best quarterbacks in the league.

The NFC has the 49ers as a clear-cut contender, but they’ve lost the SB twice in the last five years. Additionally, the Eagles lost two years ago and the Lions have never been to a Super Bowl in their long history. And, don’t get me started on the Cowboys who seemingly choke every time they’re in the Playoffs.

At the top, the Chiefs have to be given the edge over the 49ers, while the Ravens, Bills and Bengals are collectively better than the Lions, Eagles and Cowboys.

Take the AFC in this prop bet as they’ve gone 7-3 in the last 10 Super Bowls, and appear to have the best group of SB 59 contenders.

NFL Bet: AFC -130

Super Bowl 59 Winning Division

  • NFC West +375
  • AFC North +425
  • AFC East +500
  • AFC West +500
  • NFC North +550
  • NFC East +700
  • AFC South +900
  • NFC South +1800

The NFC West is the odds-on favorite to win this prop bet. However, as you can see from above, I’m leaning towards the AFC to be the Super Bowl winning Conference. Let’s breakdown each division further, examine why oddsmakers have them listed as they do, and make our prediction on the Super Bowl winning Division.

NFC West +375

The NFC West is the favorite for this prop bet as we enter the 2024-25 NFL season. This is largely due to the 49ers being the favorites. They are large favorites to win the NFC West and land the #1 seed in the NFC. However, have they done enough to beat the Chiefs in a potential Super Bowl rematch?

As of this writing, the 49ers are embroiled in drama with star receiver Brandin Aiyuk. If they lose him, then you have to think this team’s Super Bowl odds will worsen along with the NFC West’s odds in this prop bet.

I do believe the Los Angeles Rams can be a sleeper team in the NFC by earning a Wild Card spot. However, the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals will not contend for a postseason spot and are most likely going to be losing teams this year. So, betting on the NFC West is really all about how much you believe in the 49ers.

If you truly believe that the 49ers will win, then just pick their outright odds at +550 as that provides better value.

AFC North +425

The AFC North has two realistic possibilities with the Ravens and the Bengals. Baltimore came one game short of making the Super Bowl last year. They’ve added talent on both sides of the ball this offseason, and appear to be poised for another run at the AFC title.

The Bengals lost Joe Burrow for most of last year. Now that he’s healthy and back on the field, this team could fight for their second Super Bowl appearance in the last four years.

The Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers are both projected to finish around .500 and miss the Playoffs. However, let’s not forget the fact that they both made the Playoffs last year.

The AFC North sent three teams to last year’s Playoffs. And, they can definitely send at least two this year. I like this division’s odds over the NFC West.

AFC East +500

The AFC East has three Playoff caliber teams and the New England Patriots who are projected to be one of the worst teams in the league.

The Buffalo Bills lead the division as they’ve won the AFC East four years in a row and are the slight favorites to win it this year. However, this season, the Bills will be challenged more so than the last four years.

Both the New York Jets and Miami Dolphins have added talent to their rosters. The Jets would’ve been a Playoff team last year, but the injury to Aaron Rodgers derailed the entire season. The Dolphins were a Playoff team last season, and they appear to be better this year after a few additions on offense.

Like the AFC North last year, I believe the AFC East will send three teams to the Playoffs this year. So, you have to like the value with these odds.

AFC West +500

The AFC West will be the Chiefs and everyone else. Kansas City got better this year, while the rest of the division is retooling or rebuilding. I don’t see the Broncos, Chargers or Raiders even finishing with a winning record. It would not surprise me if Kansas City finished 6-0 in the division and earn the top seed in the AFC Conference.

With the weapons that KC has added on offense, Mahomes will have a monster season. That’s bad news for the rest of the league.

Right now, the Chiefs are +550 to win the Super Bowl outright. So, that’s slightly better than this prop bet. However, you can expect the Chiefs’ SB odds to lower with each winning week throughout the season.

NFC North +550

Is this the year that the NFC North gets back to the Super Bowl for the first time since 2011 when Green Bay beat Pittsburgh?

Last season, the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers both made the Playoffs and won games in the postseason. The Lions beat the Rams and the Packers beat the Cowboys. Unfortunately, they both ended up losing to the 49ers eventually.

The Packers were so close to upsetting the 49ers on the road in the Divisional Round, but came up short. The Lions almost upset the 49ers in the NFC Championship game, but faded late in the fourth quarter.

This year, I expect both teams to make the Playoffs again. Green Bay and Detroit have improved their rosters. In fact, the Lions could be the one team that beats the 49ers this year as they added to their defense, which was the weak link last season.

The Packers are probably one year away from being real Super Bowl contenders, but they’re at the door knocking. The Lions, as much as I root for great story, need to prove they can make the Super Bowl before I believe they can win it.

NFC East +700

Two years ago, the Eagles were the best team in the league. They looked destined to win the Super Bowl. Unfortunately, they came up short against the Chiefs in a thrilling game. Kansas City won 38 to 35.

Last year, the Eagles were predicted to be the NFC favorite once again. Unfortunately, they ran into problems late in the year and then were embarrassed in the Wild Card round by the Tampa Buccaneers.

This year, Philly added talent on the defensive side of the ball to help improve their pass defense. However, the biggest acquisition was signing running back Saquon Barkley. Adding one of the top running backs to an already explosive offense, will make this team even more dangerous.

As for the Dallas Cowboys, I have no confidence in them to win a Playoff game, let alone make the Super Bowl.

The New York Giants and Washington Commanders are both expected to finish near the bottom of the NFC. Both teams lack the overall talent to compete in the NFC East. In fact, it wouldn’t surprise me if one or both of them were contending for the top overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft.

AFC South +900

The AFC South is Houston’s to lose. After adding Joe Mixon, Stefon Diggs and Danielle Hunter, this team is a legitimate contender in the AFC Conference. They already had an explosive offense, but they now have one of the best in the league.

Second-year quarterback, CJ Stroud, has weapons all over the field and a strong running game to help balance out the offense, while keeping the opposing defenses guessing. Defensively, Hunter brings a pass rush that the Texans needed last year. We could be looking at the next team to compete against the Chiefs for the AFC title.

The Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars are .500 teams that could exceed expectations if they play to their full potential. Unfortunately, they both have fallen short of that goal in recent years especially the Jaguars. However, both teams also had key injuries that hindered their overall success last season. So, health will be an important factor as well.

With that said, I don’t see either team finishing with better records than the three from the AFC East. Additionally, I don’t see either team beating the Texans for the AFC South crown. The Tennessee Titans are rebuilding and have optimism, but they’re a year or two away from being legit contenders. So, it’s going to be hard to justify taking a flier on the South in this prop bet.

NFC South +1800

The NFC South is the worst division in football. However, they could have two teams finishing with winning records, which would be better than the AFC West. Nevertheless, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be lucky to sniff 10 wins, while the Atlanta Falcons could be an NFC darkhorse this year.

The Falcons added a franchise quarterback this offseason in Kirk Cousins. Then, they just traded for Matthew Judon from the Patriots to improve the pass rush on a solid defense. With Cousins, the weapons he has on offense, and a strong defense, Atlanta could surprise the NFC this year.

The Carolina Panthers might end up being the worst NFL team for a second straight year. They don’t have the roster to compete within the division or the conference. The New Orleans Saints seem like a .500 team at best.

Which Division Will Win The Super Bowl?

The AFC East and AFC North offer better value than the NFC West. However, if we’re going to play this in a smart and sensible way, then there is only one option – the AFC West. I will dive into that further, in the next section below.

NFL Bet: AFC West +500

Who Will Win The 2025 Super Bowl?

Until someone actually dethrones the Kansas City Chiefs, it’s hard to pick against them. I often say, don’t get cute, get the money. Well, when it comes to betting on one franchise to win the Super Bowl – it’s the Chiefs.

KC has added weapons for Mahomes, which should make this offense even more explosive. Last year, Mahomes was working with rookies and inept receivers outside of tight end Travis Kelce. This year, he will have Brown, a speedster in Worthy, the breakout WR from last year in Rice, and a dependable running game.

With a strong offensive line to protect Mahomes and open up running lanes, I expect this Chiefs offense to get back into the Top 3 in passing yards per game, total yards per game, and points per game. Last year, the Chiefs tallied 357.9 total ypg (8th), 248.6 passing ypg (6th), and 22.2 ppg (14th). Can you imagine how much more dangerous they’re going to be this season with those additions on offense?

With training camps, preseason, and a whole regular season remaining on the calendar, play this NFL Futures bet smart by taking the Chiefs to win Super Bowl 2025. If you need a refresher course before placing this wager, check out our how to bet on the Super Bowl guide

NFL Bet: Kansas City Chiefs +550

Recent Super Bowl Winners

The Kansas City Chiefs were last year’s Super Bowl winner. In fact, they’ve won the last two Super Bowls in a row, three of the last five, and have appeared in four of the last five NFL Championships. The following is a list of the most recent Super Bowl winners:

YearSuper Bowl Winner
2024Kansas City Chiefs
2023Kansas City Chiefs
2022Los Angeles Rams
2021Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2020Kansas City Chiefs
2019New England Patriots
2018Philadelphia Eagles
2017New England Patriots
2016Denver Broncos
2015New England Patriots
2014Seattle Seahawks