NFL Predictions

New York is getting 2.5 at home against a team that won three games last season. Give me the Giants, and the over 44.5 alongside.

Seattle went 14-3 last season and is laying a touchdown at home to an 0-3 team. Give me the Seahawks, and no bet on the total.

Take the under 47.5 in Chiefs at Raiders. The total has climbed five points on three weeks of scoring, and last season says these two do no…

No home field in London, and last season says Indianapolis by nine. Give me the Colts at -3.5.

Houston is 0-3 and laying only 3 at home to a team that allowed 30 a game last season. Give me the Texans -3.

Minnesota -10.5 is about five points longer than last season's rates support. The pick is Miami +10.5.

Jacksonville is getting 2.5 in Cincinnati. I am taking the Jaguars and the points.

Take the over 43 in Jets at Bears, and Chicago -3.5 with it. The market marked the Bears down on one bad game, and last season says that ga…

No bet on Packers at Buccaneers. The total has fallen nine points since 16 September, and nothing in the scores explains it.

Baltimore has gone from 8.5 to 11.5, and that is too close to my number. No bet on this spread.

San Francisco is laying 2.5 to a team that had the better season last year. I am still taking the Broncos and the points.

Buffalo -6.5 is about five and a half points longer than last season's rates support. The pick is New England +7 where it is dealt, and +6.…

Fifty-one is more than four points above what last season's scoring supports. The pick is under 51.

Last season's rates make Los Angeles about a one-point favourite in Philadelphia, and the market has three. The pick is Philadelphia +3, wi…

Take the under 47.5 in Falcons at Saints. Neither team scored 21 a game last season, and the total has gone up anyway.

Dallas lays 3.5 to a team that finished last season with the better differential. I am taking the Buccaneers and the points.

Seattle was plus 191 last season and lays only 3.5 at home. I am taking the Seahawks and laying the points.

Last season's rates put this game at about 47 points, and DraftKings has 49.5. The pick is under 49.5, and no bet on the side.

No bet on Bengals at Dolphins at Cincinnati -6. Last season's scores say Miami, this season's say Cincinnati, and I can't see what the pric…

No bet on Colts at Steelers at Pittsburgh -2.5. Last season's scores put this game within about a point of the market, on the side and on t…

No home field in London, and last season says Jacksonville by about five. Give me the Jaguars and the point and a half.

Washington lays 2.5 at home after finishing last season 37 points worse than New York. I am taking the Giants and the points.

Baltimore lays 4.5 in Atlanta, and my number is Ravens by 2.4. No bet on this game at the early line.

Denver won 14 games last season and is getting 2.5 from an 0-3 team. Give me the Broncos and the points.

Last season's rates make this game close to even with about 43 points in it. The picks are Cleveland +2.5 and over 38.5.

Take Arizona +8.5 against Detroit. Last season's scores put this game near a field goal, and this season has not shown me a Detroit team th…

Last season's rates make Houston about a touchdown better than Tennessee in Nashville. The pick is Houston -3.5.

A 14-win team is laying 8.5 at home to a 3-win team. I am taking the Patriots and laying the points.

Two teams whose games averaged about 40 points last season, and a total of 44.5. Give me the under, and leave the spread alone.

The total is about four points too high for what these two teams scored and allowed last season. The pick is under 54.5, and the spread is…

Pittsburgh is laying 3 in Cleveland. I am still taking the Steelers.

Final: Chicago Bears 27, Philadelphia Eagles 7, Monday 28 September at Soldier Field.

Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 30, Cincinnati Bengals 27, Sunday 27 September at Acrisure Stadium.

Final: San Francisco 49ers 36, Arizona Cardinals 30, Sunday 27 September at Levi's Stadium.

Final: Buffalo Bills 24, Los Angeles Chargers 16, Sunday 27 September at Highmark Stadium.

Final: Kansas City Chiefs 24, Miami Dolphins 10, Sunday 27 September at Hard Rock Stadium.

Final: Detroit Lions 31, New York Jets 24, Sunday 27 September at Ford Field.

Final: Cleveland Browns 21, Carolina Panthers 18, Sunday 27 September at Huntington Bank Field.

Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 35, New England Patriots 6, Sunday 27 September at EverBank Stadium.

Final: Las Vegas Raiders 35, New Orleans Saints 27, Sunday 27 September at Caesars Superdome.

Final: Denver Broncos 30, Los Angeles Rams 26, Sunday 27 September at Empower Field at Mile High.

Final: Baltimore Ravens 34, Dallas Cowboys 31, Sunday 27 September at Maracanã Stadium.

Final: Washington Commanders 33, Seattle Seahawks 31, Sunday 27 September at Northwest Stadium.

Final: Indianapolis Colts 19, Houston Texans 17, Sunday 27 September at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Final: New York Giants 12, Tennessee Titans 7, Sunday 27 September at MetLife Stadium.

Final: Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16, Sunday 27 September at Raymond James Stadium.

Final: Atlanta Falcons 35, Green Bay Packers 14, Thursday 24 September at Lambeau Field.

Los Angeles won 28-6. Our best bet was the Giants +6.5 at -105, and it lost by 15.5 points.

Cincinnati won 20-6 in Houston. We had two positions and split them: the Texans to win lost, and the under 45.5 won with 26 points scored.

Cleveland won 23-19 in Tampa. We took the Browns +8.5 and they won the game, so the call landed by 12.5.

Kansas City won 33-30 in overtime. We laid the 6.5 with the Chiefs and the call lost by three and a half.

Dallas won 37-20. We had two positions here and split them: Washington +4 lost by 13, and the over 51 won with 57 points scored.

San Francisco won 35-13. We took Miami +13.5 and the call lost by eight and a half.

Philadelphia won 24-20. We took the over 39.5 and it cashed with 44 points on the board.

Denver won 20-13. We took the Jaguars and the points at +2.5, and the call lost by four and a half.

Green Bay won 20-17 in overtime. We took the Packers at -3.5 and the call lost by half a point.

Carolina won 34-3 in Atlanta. We took the Falcons and the points at +2.5, and that call missed by 28 and a half.

Las Vegas won 26-14. We took the Raiders and the 6.5, and they did not need the points.

New Orleans won 24-17 in Baltimore. We took the Saints and the 8.5, and they won the game outright, so the call landed by 15.5.

Seattle won 31-7 in Arizona. We laid the 4 with the Seahawks and they covered it by 20.

New England won 20-3. We passed on the spread, so there is no result to report on the call itself.

Minnesota won 9-3 in Chicago. We took the Vikings and the points at +4.5, and they won outright, so the call was right for more than it nee…

The Bills vs Lions recap starts with Josh Allen taking control before Detroit could settle into Thursday night. Buffalo scored touchdowns o…

Buffalo was -3 on Sunday night and is -5.5 now. Take Detroit and the points.

Start with the picks worth reviewing.

The Bears vs Panthers recap became an offensive avalanche. Chicago beat Carolina 59-37 after entering the game as the three-point favorite,…

The Bills vs Texans recap came down to Josh Allen doing what elite quarterbacks are paid to do. Buffalo trailed in the fourth quarter befor…

The Browns vs Jaguars recap validated Jacksonville’s status as a substantial favorite. The Jaguars won 34-10 behind four Trevor Lawrence to…

The Buccaneers vs Bengals recap was decided by possession value. Cincinnati won 33-27 as a four-point favorite, while Tampa Bay lost four f…

The Cardinals vs Chargers recap delivered one of Week 1’s biggest market shocks. Arizona beat Los Angeles 26-14 despite entering as a nine-…

The Commanders vs Eagles recap delivered a Philadelphia win without a Philadelphia cover. The Eagles beat Washington 24-22 after entering a…

The Cowboys vs Giants recap closed Sunday with another favorite going down outright. New York beat Dallas 28-20 after the Cowboys entered a…

The Dolphins vs Raiders recap rewarded Las Vegas favorite bettors and anyone expecting Miami’s offense to struggle. The Raiders won 27-13 a…

The Falcons vs Steelers recap belonged to Pittsburgh’s defense. The Steelers won 20-13, with T.J. Watt turning a fourth-quarter Cooper Rush…

The Jets vs Titans recap rewarded anyone willing to challenge the home favorite. New York won 23-10 after Tennessee entered laying 1.5 poin…

The Lions vs Saints recap produced the clearest distinction between winning a football game and covering a spread. Detroit escaped 31-30 in…

The Packers vs Vikings recap turned dramatically in the final quarter. Green Bay led 22-17 after three periods, but Minnesota scored 22 una…

The Ravens vs Colts recap delivered one of Sunday’s cleanest favorite performances. Baltimore beat Indianapolis 41-23 after entering as a 3…