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South Florida Bulls

CFB3 predictions

The Bulls won three of their four games as underdogs in 2025, at +170, +600 and +115, and only one FBS team outscored their 43.0 points a game. South Florida football odds paid best when the Bulls were getting points.

The underdog price

South Florida won 9 of 12 and covered 8, but the money came from the four games it was not favored in. The Bulls won three: 34-7 over Boise State at +170 to open, 18-16 at Florida at +600 as 18.5-point underdogs, and 63-36 at North Texas at +115. The miss was a 12-49 loss at Miami. Those four returned 7.85 units; only three FBS teams made more as underdogs.

One unit on the Bulls to win, every game0+2+4+6+6.12 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 12 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As a favorite the price ran the other way. Eight games, six wins, and 1.73 units down, because both losses came at short prices: 31-34 at Memphis at -150 and 38-41 at Navy at -360. Over the full season the moneyline closed 6.12 units up; five FBS teams did better.

Against the spread

8-4, with fourteen FBS teams covering more often and twelve level. Home was the stronger half: 6-0 straight up and 5-1 against the number, the miss a 54-26 win over Charlotte that fell short of 28.5. Away the Bulls went 3-3 both ways.

The Bulls at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 6 (100.0%)covered 5 of 6 (83.3%)Away (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Favorite (8)won 6 (75.0%)covered 5 of 8 (62.5%)Underdog (4)won 3 (75.0%)covered 3 of 4 (75.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The Bulls 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-28 v Boise State Broncos 34-72025-09-06 at Florida Gators 18-162025-09-13 at Miami Hurricanes 12-492025-09-20 v South Carolina State Bulldogs 63-142025-10-03 v Charlotte 49ers 54-262025-10-10 at North Texas Mean Green 63-362025-10-18 v Florida Atlantic Owls 48-132025-10-25 at Memphis Tigers 31-342025-11-06 v UTSA Roadrunners 55-232025-11-15 at Navy Midshipmen 38-412025-11-22 at UAB Blazers 48-182025-11-29 v Rice Owls 52-3Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
9-3 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Points and the total

South Florida scored 43.0 points a game; one FBS team scored more. It allowed 23.33. The over hit seven times in 12, a share 22 FBS teams beat.

The season ended in the Cure Bowl, a 10-24 loss to Old Dominion.

Questions and answers

What did South Florida pay when getting points?

Three outright wins in four underdog games, 7.85 units.

How often did South Florida beat the spread in 2025?

8 times in 12, and 5 of 6 at home.

How many points did South Florida score in 2025?

43.0 a game in the regular season, second among FBS teams.

Past games

  1. South Florida at Roadrunners · 8 OctNo bet
  2. Temple at South Florida · 3 OctOur number has South Florida by 13.8.
  3. South Florida at Bowling Green · 26 SepOur number has South Florida by 4.9.

American Conference